It’s officially playoff time for the PGA Tour and the action will begin this weekend at TPC Boston for The Northern Trust. Even with two major championships set to take place in the fall, the PGA Tour calendar will wrap up in the next three weeks and it all begins this weekend.
The top-125 golfers in the FedEx Cup Standings are ready to battle it out in the next three tournaments and awaiting the winner will be a smooth $15 million payout in Atlanta. All of the big names will be present in Massachusetts this weekend and that is good news for the viewer after a dull weekend at the Wyndham Championship, but shouts to Jim Herman for winning as a superdog.
Jim Herman (+50000) with the massive upset at the Wyndham Championship as he edges out Billy Horschel with a final round 63
— Barstool Bets (@barstoolbets) August 16, 2020
Understanding the Format
Only 70 golfers will move onto next week and it doesn’t go by who just makes the cut at TPC Boston. This will be determined by the FedEx Cup points system so there will be plenty of players jockeying for position. Players in the top-10 such as Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Webb Simpson, Bryson DeChambeau and Daniel Berger should all be pretty safe. However, some prominent names lower could be in trouble.
Phil Mickelson, Rickie Fowler, Tommy Fleetwood, Jordan Spieth and Justin Rose are all players who need to have very productive performances this weekend in order to move onto the next round of the playoffs at the BMW Championship in Illinois. However, Brooks Koepka will be absent and we won’t see him until the U.S. Open starts in September.
— PGA TOUR Communications (@PGATOURComms) August 19, 2020
The winner and top-10 of the leaderboard always get plenty of attention, but what happens around the cut line could also be of major importance this weekend.
Despite some lackluster results since the PGA Tour returned from the COVID-19 hiatus, Rory McIlroy finds himself still in the top-10 of the FedEx Cup standings and the defending tour champion will have a solid shot to repeat if he can put together three good weekends of golf. He’s starting at a place where he’s had a lot of success.
Per Justin Ray of the 15th Club, McIlroy is 35-under at TPC Boston since 2014 and this is the best score of anyone in the field. McIlroy is still looking for his first top-10 finish since the coronavirus break. The world No. 1 has made a bunch of cuts, but is looking to become a factor on Sunday. This may just be the weekend for him.
Tiger Is Here
For just the third time since mid-February, Tiger Woods will be playing in a PGA Tour event and he will be looking to improve on the two top-40 finishes put together at the Memorial and PGA Championship. Once again, Woods needs a strong finish just to make he sure he makes it to next weekend since he currently sits at No. 49 in the FedExCup standings.
Woods is still trying to iron out the issues with his putter and is currently sitting on 40-1 odds to win the tournament. We’ll see if the Big Cat can build on his recent performances and keep playing as the playoffs move forward. Golf is always better when the GOAT is involved.
All things are setting up for a birdie fest up in Boston this weekend and keeping that in mind is how we’re going to pick our winner for this weekend. It’s worth noting that in a field this packed, it’s likely that the victorious individual will be one of the best players in the world so the odds may not be great.
Webb Simpson currently ranks second on the PGA Tour in birdie percentage and he is fresh off a very solid performance in Greensboro. At 28-1, we’re riding the No. 6 golfer in the world to raise the trophy this weekend as he looks to pickup his third win of the season. He is a legit FedEx Cup contender and will be looking to cap off a great season with a bang.
Patrick Reed has three top-15 finishes in his last four starts and the former Masters champion currently sits at sixth in the FedEx Cup standings and ranks ninth in the World Golf Rankings. His game is starting to round into form and Reed ranks eighth in birdie average. He has the ability to stay in the hunt if this turns into a shootout and we’re rolling with him for a top-10 finish at +275.
Due to his dominance on this course, let’s go ahead and sprinkle a little something on Rory McIlroy to make the cut. The price is steep at MGM (-834) but it feels like a pretty safe play for a guy who is consistently making cuts despite not playing well.