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BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: What Needs to Change in Offensive Situations?

Football is so often just a situational game.  Getting your team in the right down and distance, field position, calling the right play at the right time.  Certainly general talent works too but how a team like Navy ever beats Notre Dame tells you more than talent is involved.  Navy wants to get you in certain situations and then execute.  Kentucky is in a similar mold in the SEC.  The talent has certainly increased but it will never be as deep as the elite powers in this league.  So UK has to execute in the situations they want to be in.

Below are UK’s offensive numbers last year in each down and distance situation.  Take a look at these numbers and then comment on where you wanted to see the offense improve in situations this year:

1st Down
Pass: 55-99, 839 yards, 5 TD, 3 INT, 7 sacks for -50 yards (1 fumble lost)
Run: 255 rushes for 1,649 yards (6.5 ypc), 12 TD

It will be interesting to see if UK still runs the ball at a 2:1 ratio or close to it or if they move more towards a 50-50 split.  Obviously it seems UK formed an identity in the 2nd half of the year running the ball.  And you know what Benny Snell gets you and don’t yet know if Stephen Johnson can throw it consistently.  So it would seem the safe play is to keep running it.  But good defense have to be kept on their heels.

2nd Down and Long (6 yards or more)
Pass: 37-61, 476 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT, 8 sacks for -51 yards (1 fumble lost)
Run: 119 rushes for 726 yards (6.1 ypc), 1 TD 

UK did a nice job most of the season getting themselves out of 2nd and long situations, often times with the running attack.  Rich Brooks always said getting manageable 2nd and 3rd down situations was a HUGE key to a successful offense.  It seemed UK did a nice job last year with that strategy.

2nd Down and Short (5 yards or less)
Pass: 9-15, 172 yards, 1 TD, 1 sack for -5 yards (1 fumble lost)
Run: 48 rushes for 246 yards (5.0 ypc), 4 TD

Here’s the way to look at this stat above.  When UK completed the pass or ran the ball on 2nd and short (a total of 57 times), they averaged 7.3 yards per play.  That’s a very good percentage.  Only 6 incomplete passes all year on 2nd and long.  They will need to continue to be this efficient on “easier” situations like 2nd and short.

3rd Down and Long (6 yards or more)
Pass: 29-67, 502 yards, 5 TD, 5 INT, 8 sacks for -65 yards (converted 20 of 75)
Run: 21 rushes for 172 yards (8.2 ypc), 2 TD (converted 5 of 17)

3rd down and long is a bad situation all around, even for great teams.  But UK was just 25 for 92 last year.  That’s really bad.  They completed just 43% of their passes in this situation.  They were sacked 8 times as well.  If there is a glaring area in need of improvement, it is here.

3rd Down and Short (5 yards or less)
Pass: 14-27, 182 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 2 sacks for -4 yards (converted 13 of 28)
Run: 39 rushes for 244 yards (6.3 ypc) (converted 27 of 39)

When you have a great rushing attack, these conversions should be pretty simple.  UK did a nice job last year converting these “must convert” downs.  40 of 67 for the season is pretty good.

Article written by Bryan the Intern

30 Comments for BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: What Needs to Change in Offensive Situations?

  1. ukjaybrat
    10:02 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    I see they are trying to trick us today with a 9:50 post AND a 10:00 post

  2. runningunnin.454
    10:04 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    “I wanna see the sun blotted out from the sky,
    I wanna see it painted, painted, painted….painted black”.
    The Rolling Stones

  3. ClutchCargo
    10:14 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    The ability to complete short to intermediate passes should go a long way toward improving the third and long situation. Hopefully, we have that this year.

    • ukjaybrat
      10:21 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      If SJ can consistently hit CJ Conrad, and we improve the turnover ration even just a little bit, i think we can be a 9 win team.

    • runningunnin.454
      10:22 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      Hopefully, we can avoid penalties, and stay out of third and a mile.

    • Realme
      10:23 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      It’s like you guys read an article of some sort before coming to the show thread.

    • Booby Petrino
      10:36 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      I just assumed they were talking about something said on the show.

  4. Realme
    10:29 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    Kroger could contribute to Matt’s campaign and he’d still be complaining about them.

  5. runningunnin.454
    10:37 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    Aliens landed at Kelly, Ky in 1955. The UFO-ologists still claim it was real. When the sheriff and State Police arrived, the people had fired shotguns through the walls and windows, and all the dogs were under the house.
    Of course, when you fire shotguns, the dogs will retire under the house.

    • Realme
      10:51 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      I think aliens are more likely to be real than ghosts.

  6. If Boom doesn’t make it in the NFL, maybe he could go to the CFL. Thing is, they’re already deep into the 17 season. I don’t know if they sign guys this late, but if so, maybe someone needs a fill in for an injured player.

    • I don’t know how much guys make up there, but Anwar Stewart had a nice long career in Montreal and was very involved in the community. He recently returned to UK to finish his degree.

      BTW, my wife’s Blue Bombers just handed the Eskimos their first loss of the season. Huzzah!

    • No one else cares about the CFL? Hello? 😛
      JK. I didn’t exactly follow it until I married a Canuck, although I did watch it on ESPN once in a while.

    • Realme
      11:48 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      I didn’t know the CFL existed before today, but hopefully Boom will stay in blue and join your wife’s team if he can’t get picked up by another NFL team.

  7. runningunnin.454
    10:49 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    Bird Averitt was from Hopkinsville. He played for Pepperdine U. and the Kentucky Colonels winning the ABA Championship in ’75; he played pro ball for 5 years.

    • I don’t know which is greater: your rapier wit or your comprehensive knowledge.

      I was really made when Matt (I think) said recently that Louisville could have kept the Colonels after the ABA/NBA merger for pocket change compared to what it would take now, but John Y. Brown and I believe a couple others said no. Why would Brown do that? Did he just not think the team would make money?

    • runningunnin.454
      11:18 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      Ha, Methuselah was witty and knew everything.

  8. runningunnin.454
    11:15 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    The recruiting battle will be prolonged for this next class; the recruits won’t know who’s leaving for the league, and who’s staying. Get ready for a long siege.

    • Realme
      11:20 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      Yes and the local sports media will try to add drama until it’s unbearable.

  9. Realme
    11:23 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    Yes, I’m sure the pilots need to be told not to look at the sun.

  10. Realme
    11:27 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

    If Romeo and Cal don’t mesh well, then the U19 experience was a good thing. Learn that before it’s too late.

    • J-Dub421
      11:33 am August 21, 2017 Permalink

      I’d like to get Romeo, but would rather have Quickley.