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BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: How Close in Just the Last 10 Years

Joe Robbins/Getty

Joe Robbins/Getty

Joe Robbins/Getty

Over the last 10 years, Kentucky has seen bowl teams, even potentially the best UK team in 30 years, but also seen a couple 2-10 teams and more disappointments than one can count.  And now, after that entire 10 years, we are basically back to the same spot we always are, with little hope of a good football team.  Mark Stoops did his best on the radio show yesterday to pump up the fanbase, and he is very convincing, but at the end of the day we still have the same under-performing WR’s and the same QB from the Louisville game set up to play again next year.

But I am here to tell you friend that UK is really not as far away as you think.  You can simply look at the amount of close games at Commonwealth Stadium in the last 10 years, and the multitude of times UK has not been able to pull those games out and realize UK has blown multiple opportunities to have a big season.  Below is every time in the last 10 years UK has lost AT HOME by 8 points or less:

2006 (could have been 9-4)
South Carolina 24, Kentucky 17

2007 (could have been 10-3)
#15 Florida 45, #8 Kentucky 37
#19 Tennessee 52, Kentucky 50

2008 (could have been 10-3)
South Carolina 24, Kentucky 17
#14 Georgia 42, Kentucky 38
Vanderbilt 31, Kentucky 24

2009 (could have been 9-4)
Mississippi State 31, Kentucky 24
Tennessee 30, Kentucky 24

2010 (could have been 7-6)
#8 Auburn 37, Kentucky 34 

2011 (could have been 6-6, plus a bowl game)
Louisville 24, Kentucky 17

2012 (could have been 4-8)
Western Kentucky 32, Kentucky 31
#13 Georgia 29, Kentucky 24

2015 (could have been 7-5, plus a bowl game)
Florida 14, Kentucky 9
Auburn 30, Kentucky 27

14 games in 10 years.  Over these 10 years, UK has gone 65-79.  Flip just half of these 14 games, and UK is .500 over the last 10 years, with the 2013 and 2014 years unchanged, a combined 7-17.  So again, flip those 7 games and eliminate the ’13 and ’14 seasons, and UK is 65-55.  Suddenly a down program is at least a winning one.

Looking at that list above it’s not hard to figure out why some fans, especially older ones, have begun jumping ship.  I am sure if I went back beyond 2006, I would find similar close losses at home throughout UK history.With that said, Mark Stoops has WON several close games at Commonwealth over the last 2 years, South Carolina, UL-Lafayette, Missouri, and Eastern Kentucky.  His 4-2 mark in these tight games is a positive improvement over Rich Brooks and Joker Phillips.

Now, let’s see if he can move past winning those games against the lower levels and beat the Florida’s and Auburn’s of the world in a tight game.

Article written by Bryan the Intern

14 Comments for BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: How Close in Just the Last 10 Years

  1. Hermes
    8:05 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    This is spurious analysis. You neglect to factor in the fact that each year might have been much worse if a couple of things had been different. This year, for example, Kentucky was very, very lucky to beat EKU and La. Lafayette. If Kentucky had lost these games, they would have been 3-9. You can play this game with wins and losses every year. The bottom line is Kentucky loses far more than it wins and, often, it is beaten soundly by multiple touchdowns. I love UK football (even more than basketball) but we are not yet, nor have we been close to being a top level SEC competitor. I hope that changes by 2017.

  2. klassact32
    8:25 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    What a load of bull shit if I have ever heard it. One of the major points you conveniently leave out is the level of competition. WKU, EKU and La. Lafayette? You might as well call those three wins a loss!!! I am utterly speechless as to what to even say to this load of crock.

  3. Catsby80
    8:29 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    If ifs and buts were candy and nuts, we’d all have a merry Christmas… How about you throw a list on there of all the HOME games UK has won by 8 points are less?

    Listen, I love the Cats as much as the next fan, but these kinds of analysis are really quite pointless. Sure we have been close in a lot of games, but close doesn’t get you wins. Gotta find a way to get over the hump.

  4. kentuckyrld
    8:30 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    Just another in a long line of extremely dumb articles. CLOSE doesn’t matter. You either win or you are a loser. UK is a loser and will continue to be a loser until they hire an experienced and proven coach who can recruit in the SEC. The current staff cannot recruit and cannot develop talent. It is a recipe for continued disaster. Nothing good will happen in the football program until the basic problem is solved.

    • Catsby80
      8:51 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

      The current staff cannot recruit?…. What? That is just not true.

    • dean winchester
      9:38 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

      I agree that this analysis is pretty pointless. But….this staff can recruit….they have developed several players (bud, big z, melvin lewis, conrad, westry) but reasonable minds can disagree on these things. But honestly what proven coach are we going to get? I don’t think there is a richt or another proven winner who would come here, not at this time even if stoops left for whatever reason.

    • fatbrat
      11:53 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

      One of the only things this staff does well at this time is recruit Have you even been following this team? As far as development, well, there seems to be an issue with the development of players especially at QB.

  5. ukjaybrat
    8:35 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    you’re only seeing the close losses, we have just as many (if not more) close wins in that span. we could have been a lot worse throughout history (as inconceivable as that sounds)

  6. Rajonrondo9
    8:41 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    Coulda, shoulda, woulda, doesn’t matter what almost happened.

  7. TimB
    8:49 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    The folks who do sports statistical analysis for a living claim that most teams will be around .500 in close games because there is a fair amount of luck involved in sports. So, the true measure of a team is their record in blowouts. In fact, a few years ago when the Baltimore Orioles won an enormous amount of 1 run games in a row, the experts predicted that the next season, they would not be as good because they were too “lucky.” They were right.

    So, to truly evaluate the last 10 years, you need to compare the Cats record in close games vs blowouts. You can’t expect them to win every close game

  8. FBI Informant
    8:50 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    Did Stoops pay the intern to try his best and spin his tenure. Holy cow. This is a joke.

  9. CrazyCayts
    8:56 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    I have to agree with most of you, this is a ridiculous post… Pretty much a waste of space.

  10. Sentient Third Eye
    9:21 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    This is just the nature of football. This past season nine SEC teams each had five plays or less that determined where their final records fell between 4-8 and 8-4. Welcome to the SEC.

  11. dean winchester
    9:56 am December 17, 2015 Permalink

    Honestly I am still on the Stoops ship, but this post….we all want UK to succeed, coming close doesn’t matter. Coming close is same as a moral victory….and everyone on here has seen enough moral victories to last us a lifetime. [email protected]!&$ moral victories. Please quit reminding us how many games we have played close. We played wisconsin close in bb, I dont want to rehash it either.