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What is UK’s best chance for a conference win?

John Sommers II, Reuters

John Sommers II, Reuters

John Sommers II, Reuters

Your UK football stat of the day comes from The Cats’ Pause’s Jon Hale, who tells us that of the 56 players listed on UK’s Week 1 depth chart, only SEVEN have played in an SEC game UK won. Wow. That’s actually pretty depressing.

Surely that will change this season, right? Here’s the schedule:

08/30/14 vs. UT Martin Lexington, Ky. 12:00 p.m. ET
09/06/14 vs. Ohio Lexington, Ky. 3:30 p.m. ET
09/13/14 at Florida Gainesville, Fla. 7:30 p.m. ET
09/27/14 vs. Vanderbilt Lexington, Ky. TBA
10/04/14 vs. South Carolina Lexington, Ky. TBA
10/11/14 vs. ULM Lexington, Ky. TBA
10/18/14 at LSU Baton Rouge, La. TBA
10/25/14 vs. Mississippi State Lexington, Ky. TBA
11/01/14 at Missouri Columbia, Mo. TBA
11/08/14 vs. Georgia Lexington, Ky. TBA
11/15/14 at Tennessee Knoxville, Tenn. TBA
11/29/14 at Louisville Louisville, Ky. TBA

Here are my picks UK’s best chances for a conference win, ranked from easiest to hardest:

1. Vanderbilt: Dores fans are still crying about James Franklin leaving, and although Derek Mason talks the talk, this game is in Commonwealth and by far UK’s best shot for a conference win.

2. @ Missouri: Picks 2-4 were tough for me, but Mizzou lost a lot of players and this could be a huge win for the Cats on the road.

3. @ Florida: Tradition says the Cats will fall on their faces in the Swamp. The game is already circled in Will Muschamp’s calendar because if the Gators lose, he’ll probably be fired. However, this is the game for this young squad to show that the old Kentucky football is gone, and if the offense is running on all cylinders heading into Gainesville, I like the Cats’ chances for an upset.

4. Mississippi State: This is a trendy upset pick because the Cats hung with the Bulldogs last year in Starkville; however, I’m not as eager to jump on the bandwagon as others. Mississippi State returns most of their starters and will be very good this year. But, UK always plays them competitively and the game is in Commonwealth, so we’ll see.

5. @ Tennessee: Tradition doesn’t bode well for the Cats in Neyland either, and they’ll be coming off a bruising game against Georgia.

6. South Carolina: I’ve noticed a lot of people picking this as an upset special for Kentucky. I’m not sure why. South Carolina is right up there with Georgia as the elite in the East, and Spurrier is still Spurrier.

7. Georgia: I wish, but no.

8. @ LSU: Again, I really wish, but no, especially in Death Valley. Tailgating will be nice, though.

Article written by Mrs. Tyler Thompson

No, I will not make you a sandwich, but you can follow me on Twitter @MrsTylerKSR or email me.

54 Comments for What is UK’s best chance for a conference win?

  1. ChicagoCat
    11:21 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    (1) Vandy – new coach, game at home, hard fall back down to earth for Vandy
    (2) @Tennessee – not buying Butch Jones in his first year
    (3) Miss St. – always play them close at home
    (4) @Florida – pleeeassseee! No? Fine.

    • memphis
      11:29 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Would you buy Butch Jones in his second year?

    • NowThatsFunny
      11:33 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Would you buy Butch Jones in his second year…at Tennessee? UK hasn’t won in Knoxville since ’76. Not saying it’s not possible….but probably not going to happen this year.

    • NowThatsFunny
      11:34 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Scratch that. ’84. But still…

    • ChicagoCat
      11:44 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Whoops, totally forgot he was hired the same year as Stoops. Shows you how much attention I paid to college football last year.

  2. Jimmy Engler
    11:22 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Rebecca Stamps is the hot girl on full house. Can dense Cameron Blue is married. The one girl is fine was in a pic with candence.

    • "Work" is a relative term
      11:28 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Find somewhere to sleep it off, Jimmy.

    • Willie DuPont
      11:42 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Exactly. I hate it when rabbits come to my house and try to take my pancakes away. Limbaugh!

    • cracka
      11:54 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      best comment thread on here … hahaha

      the guy below saying we could mustard 7 wins is pretty good, too, though

    • Uncle
      5:16 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      I haven’t seen it yet but I do plan to ketchup on my reading.

  3. Common Sense
    11:29 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    1 – Vandy
    2 – Miss St
    3 – Mizzou
    4 – Tenn
    5 – Florida
    6 – UGA
    7 – SCar
    8 – LSU

  4. WeAreUK69
    11:34 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    (1) Vandy — simply put ..We Must !!
    (2) @ UT — youthful team much like us, Stoops will not let a new streak start
    (3) Miss St — tough, physical team ..the kind of team we need to show how tough & physical we are
    (4) @ Missouri — lost lots of talent & team we shouldn’t start a losing streak with
    (5) @ Florida — simply put .. It’s Time !!


    7-5 regular season … 8-5 with a nice trip to Music City & put a beatdown on some ACC clowns

    • UKBlue1!
      11:46 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      This could happen… year. We have a lot more talent but it is not enough and too young to mustard 7 wins this year. It would take a lot of teams piling up injuries and just playing a bad game for us to win 3 or 4 sec games. To get to seven wins we will need to win 3 sec games and go undefeated out of conference.

    • FDAULS
      12:31 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      T’wood truly be a season to relish if we don’t have to play ketchup too much and can somehow mustard 7 wins.

  5. Lmao
    11:37 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Lmao…after reading the hype on here about this great turn around, shouldn’t the question be “which SEC team can beat UK” ?

    • ukjaybrat
      11:39 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      your lack of intelligence shocks me. hater. go back to your own blog

    • Lmao is what children write
      11:43 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      ukjaybrat: The problem is, is they don’t have any.

  6. Get Real
    11:39 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    If one of the teams were to forfiet.

  7. Flo Rida
    11:39 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Too soon for any chance except Vandy and maybe Mizzou. Vandy only because we play them at home, and it will not be easy at all. Still think Mizzou wins going away after we battle them for 3 qtrs. Maty Mauk has a chance to be really, really good. As for Florida, are you joking? Even if the offense is hitting on all cylinders after playing UT Martin and Ohio (chuckle), an early hot September game in the Swamp will show how thin our roster still is. And Florida will have a top 5-10 defense this year. We better get Vandy or play them really close, or the wheels may come off by the time the Miss St game rolls around….

  8. UKBlue1!
    11:41 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    1.Vandy 50/50 best chance
    2.Mizzu 20/80 road
    3 UT 15/85 road
    4 MSU 10/90 a much better team than Mizzu and UT, They could finish 3rd in the West this year.
    5 GA and UF 1/99
    7/8 USC and LSU will win by 3 touchdowns or more.

    • Reality
      11:47 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      You really think they’ll be better than Alabama, Auburn, or LSU? 4th maybe, A&M isn’t going to be the terror they were on offense with Manziel. As for Ole Miss… well… lol.

    • UKBlue1!
      1:49 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      1. Alabama 2. LSU 3. MSU 4.A&M 5.AU 6 Ole Miss 7. Ark…my 2 cents.

  9. Chris
    11:46 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    I said this yesterday and I agree with the analysis. Have absolutely no clue why some delusional UK fans think we have a chance to beat SC. SC is going to roll us flat.

    • Chris
      11:48 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Hell they had their WR throwing TD passes to their QB during a bowl game against Wisconsin last year.
      UK pulls the upset.

    • Reality
      11:49 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      It’s because of how well we played them last year. The final score isn’t a good indicator of how close that game was because SC scored a couple of possessions in a row at the end. UK played them all the way to the mid-4th quarter last year.

      Besides, if Joker can do it…

    • Chris
      11:56 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Dog. 3 consecutive 11 win seasons. I just don’t see it. Not yet. We aren’t sneaking this one out.

    • Reality
      12:01 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      I sincerely doubt we will win, but it can’t hurt to have a glimmer of hope for it. Kind of like playing the lotto!

      Plus, beating Spurrier pretty much guarantees a visor/clipboard slam fest and an amazing post-game presser that will live on YouTube forever. We can dream just for that possibility.

  10. ChicagoCat
    11:47 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Lots of people saying Mizzou here… I really don’t see Mizzou losing that much from last year. Matty Mauck was arguably better than their starting QB last year and Mizzou runs a pretty consistent system. They will be very tough on the road.

    • Reality
      11:51 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

      A huge part of their offense ran through Green-Beckham though, and he’s gone. Too bad for them he couldn’t keep out of trouble, he was a serious threat on offense. He’s like if Willie Cauley-Stein played football. Hey speaking of, did you guys know that WCS played football?

  11. Tom
    11:51 am August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Funny we are trying to figure out ONE SEC team we can beat.
    How many other coaches in the conference would keep their jobs if they only won a conference game?
    We’re happier than a pig in slop just to be in the SEC in football.
    No one has told us yet we have to be competitive.
    Baby steps.
    If we win two is there enough money is the athletic budget to keep our version of ‘Stoops’ at Lexington?
    Wonder who came calling to draw him away last year to get him that million dollar raise?

    • aTom
      12:08 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Can you show me a link where Mark Stoops got a million dollar raise last year? He had a year added to his contract, but no raise.

      It’s no surprise that you’re a reactionary idiot but at the very least try to stick to verifiable facts rather than making things up.

      The only thing funny here is your repeated and asinine use of the words “we” in reference to Kentucky fans. Maybe you’re more comfortable talking basketball and picking a “football school” to follow? At least as long as the basketball team is good, that is.

      The good thing about sidewalk/fake fans like you is that you’re so painfully obvious that it makes you easy to ignore.

    • CPACAT
      3:33 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Okay aTom, there is your link…reply?

    • Alamo_CatFan
      5:14 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      He asked for a link that shows he got a MILLION dollar raise. He’s still waiting…

  12. Come off it
    12:02 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    You are joking yourselves!

    Vandy maybe… All the others are LOSES!!!! And that is ok. Joker left jack [email protected] and it will take time so Please stop setting expectations on this team while Stoops is building a program from NOTHING!.

    3 wins that’s it folks. Vandy maybe 4. Anymore and well, you just dont understand football!

    • ChicagoCat
      12:15 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      The article didn’t ask which games UK *will* upset its opponents, it attempts to rank the games in terms of chances of an upset. I don’t see anyone here proclaiming we *will* beat any of these teams.

  13. Come off it
    12:04 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Tom: Shut the [email protected] up.
    Go pick your nose or something, we don’t need you a a UK Football Fan. Stoops is doing a wonderful job getting the recruits he needs. It will take a few years to see marked inprvement, and if you don’t see that then you need to think about following another sport because you don’t understand this one.

    • Lmao
      12:44 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Lmao. Glad you don’t determine “wonderful job” by the amount of wins! You fools passed on your only opportunity for a winning program (Petrino). Now be happy with that great recruitment!

    • UKfan
      12:59 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      so if we beat the dirty birds at the pizza palace with you still be sack hanging petrino?

    • Lmao
      3:55 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Much like you hung it on Western last year?

  14. Come on People!!!
    12:39 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    I dont get this “holier than thou” talk of South Carolina…. We are talking about a team last year that was also picked to win the east, had an experienced starter at QB plus Clowney….How many did we lose by down there with friggin Jalen Whitlow at QB?

    Oh yeah, thats right a whopping 7 points….and if Josh Forrest makes a tackle…we get the ball with 2 minutes to go with a chance to tie!

    You cant convince me that South Carolina loses Clowney and Shaw and are all of a sudden better….No way…. Plus the game is in CWS now.

    I wonder if some of you even watched the game last year…Including Ms. Tyler Thompson

    • UKfan
      1:02 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      All I know is I will be at that game this year…sitting 4 rows up behind the players..screaming my lungs out. I think we have a shot at every game except LSU. With that said, if we show drastic improvement this year I will be pleased.

    • Chris
      1:42 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      Well then say all you want just don’t get pissed when we lose again. SC is a good team. They finished 4th and are starting 9 for a reason.

  15. JP
    12:40 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    IMO this is the order I would have in terms of likelihood, and I think we win the first two on the list

  16. STEVE!
    1:07 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    There have been at least two stories this week stating we COULD lose to UT-Martin. How can we expect to beat any SEC teams if we are concerned about UT-Martin? Maybe UT-Martin is being hyped to help sell tickets? Mizzou was the East Champ last season. Do we really think they have dropped so far that beating them on the road is our second best chance for a win?

  17. WTF?!
    1:29 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    No, tailgating will not be nice at LSU. That place is a swamp, literally and figuratively. The *only* way it would be tolerable to go to a game there is if they had not won a game in about three years and were not expected to win one for three more and your team was ranked #1. Even then, those drunken morons would be close to unbearable.

  18. Like It Is
    2:02 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    KSR picks the Florida game as an upset special every year and the game is always a joke. Optimistic is great, psychotic not so much.

  19. St. Paul Raiders
    2:15 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Date Opponent Proj. Rk
    30-Aug UT Martin NR
    6-Sep Ohio 103
    13-Sep at Florida 29
    27-Sep Vanderbilt 61
    4-Oct South Carolina 7
    11-Oct UL-Monroe 106
    18-Oct at LSU 12
    25-Oct Mississippi State 26
    1-Nov at Missouri 22
    8-Nov Georgia 10
    15-Nov at Tennessee 55
    29-Nov at Louisville 16

    This is the schedule with with each team’s ranking based on advanced statistical analysis from SB Nation. Vandy and Tennessee are the only teams we should realistically entertain thoughts of upsetting. Beating any of these teams is not impossible, but most are VERY unlikely. The main reason I copied and pasted that chart is that anecdotal evidence is garbage. Saying things like “tradition doesn’t bode well” is fine if you’re interested in fluff. If you’re legitimately interested in making a list of possible upsets using statistics of past performance and current recruiting is the logical and most insightful way to go.

    • St. Paul Raiders
      2:19 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      The reason we lost to UT for 26 straight years wasn’t tradition, it was because they had better players, top to bottom, than us. It’s hard to imagine that and no fan wants to believe that we could have been so far inferior to another school (two counting UF) that we couldn’t even get lucky once and pull out a win. That finally happened with Matt Roark and a diminished UT team.

    • football school
      4:40 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      What’s are projected ranking? Based on this, 6-6 or 7-5 is a legitimate possibility if we’re around 60th or so. We’ve had better recruiting classes the last two years than R Brooks ever got & we did ok with him around.

    • St. Paul Raiders
      4:54 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

      I guess that would have been useful information, huh? The same rankings have UK at #75.

  20. glenda auxier
    2:33 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    i am just a uk fan i don’t care how they get it done just do it show them cats what we are made out of ky ruff and tuff.

  21. football school
    4:47 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Nobody ever thought we could beat Georgia in ’06 or LSU in ’07 or S Carolina in ’10, but I did and I still do. Blue kool-aid? Hell yeah. Why cheer for a team or even call yourself a fan if its always naysaying & pessimism? We have some players now and will be competitive in every game this year. And when you’re competitive, you have a chance. We were close last year in several losses. We’re better this year and we will be bowling! Go Cats!!!

  22. football school
    4:49 pm August 27, 2014 Permalink

    Awaiting moderation? Positive thinking about football and I get awaiting moderation?