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UK is a 7.5-Point Favorite over Southern Miss. Really? Yes, Really

UK Athletics

UK Athletics

UK Athletics

Recently, published its SEC opening week odds and have the Wildcats as a touchdown favorite over the visiting Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Reactions to the early line varied.

A faction of the BBN was unsettled by only being favored by a score over a Conference USA opponent. Another portion was surprised that the spread was over the mandatory three to four points automatically allotted to the home team. With no current body of work to judge by; predictors lie within coaching staff continuity, previous year’s results, returning and incoming personnel, game location, and the ultra-significant factor of which team has the better quarterback.  Let’s take a look:

Kentucky Wildcats

— Coaching continuity: Gone from previous staff: Offensive Coordinator Shannon Dawson, Receiver Coach Tommy Mainard, Running Back Coach Chad Scott, Defensive Back Coach Derrick Ainsley, Outside Linebacker Coach Andy Buh.

— 2015 record: 5-7

— 2015 Common opponents: Charlotte 58-10 win, Mississippi State 16-42 loss

— 2015 quality win: None

— Worst 2015 loss: At Vanderbilt

— Best returning player: Boom Williams

— Number of returning starters: 9 Offense, 4 Defense

— 2015 result from similar opponent: Beat Louisiana Lafayette 40-33

— Athlon preseason ranking: 56

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

— Coaching continuity: New head coach and staff

— 2015 record: 9-5

— 2015 Common opponents: Charlotte 44-10 win, Mississippi State 16-34 loss

— 2015 quality win: At Louisiana Tech 56-24

— Worst 2015 loss: At Marshall 10-31

— Best returning player: Quarterback Nick Mullens

— Number of returning starters: 6 Offense, 6 Defense

— Athlon preseason ranking: 68

In a season in which the Cats have a number of defensive line and pass rush questions, it will be going up against one of the nation’s most productive quarterbacks in 4,000-yard passer Nick Mullens. A touchdown and a half seems somewhat logical. Keeping constant with “it’s personnel not personal” theme, strip the logos off the helmets. Talent differences between the two are not overly significant.

Article written by Freddie Maggard

Former University of Kentucky Quarterback and Andy Griffith Fan Club President

10 Comments for UK is a 7.5-Point Favorite over Southern Miss. Really? Yes, Really

  1. scorpiocard
    4:15 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

    Bet your farm, and your neighbor’s farm, on the Golden Eagles.

    • 25OR624
      5:48 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

      While I will not bet my farm or my neighbors – which is a typical uavel-fecal-matter-move – I tend to agree that the odds are abnormal.

  2. jhnny
    4:16 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

    “Talent differences between the two are not overly significant.”

    How can this possibly be true? With UK’s recruiting success over the last four years, how can this possibly be true?

  3. Patches
    4:28 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

    If the Cats do not roll these guys it will be another sad and long year of football. Time to man up and be an SEC team against these non conference opponents. This team is not good enough to just show up and win they need to make every play the most important one.

  4. onsides
    4:57 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

    Heard Stoops has been extremely drunk in public this weekend.

    • onsides
      5:00 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

      Video? I dunno………………….

    • 25OR624
      6:18 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

      St. Oops doesn’t strike me as a ‘Torn’ A Doh!

      Given the recent history, I imagine what keeps him up at night are consistent and nightmares of him struggling to swim in the SEC Ocean….fighting against drowning in Mother Earth’s overwhelming waves of salty SEC Ocean shots targeting his gullet – lungs – and backside.

      Either way, given the results of of his short tenure, and conscience, I easily picture him: Torn in the study.

  5. BluKudzu
    7:46 pm June 5, 2016 Permalink

    I have no doubt Freddy knows football. I know he is kind of limited to the opinions he can offer, due to the political part of his job.
    I believe the line to be way off and based on what we know, and how our defense has performed since Stoops has been the head coach, it is not likely going to be a cover for UK.
    I do hope I am wrong, but I’d not believe so.
    Add to that the head case at QB that likes to dance more than play football, you get the idea.
    I just know there were way too many problems with EVERY phase of the game, and to think those have been rectified enough to beat a 50-50 team, when we struggled against far less, just is very difficult to do.
    Stoops might be the coach, but this program is in shambles.

  6. kentuckyrld
    9:14 am June 6, 2016 Permalink

    This may be the key game to the season. A loss to Southern Mississippi will set a tone that none of us want. The comment in the blog about talent being nearly equal is very telling in that even though the recruiting appears to have been better over the last couple of years than it has been in the past, recruiting is not the only important part of a football team. Player development is a key part. In my opinion, the players are not getting enough better to make a difference. When a Southern Miss. team comes in and people think the talent is about equal, it shows that UK is still not ready to compete in the SEC. I fear this is going to be a long ugly season of football in the bluegrass.

  7. BigCat12
    10:21 am June 6, 2016 Permalink

    The sour comments from some of these “fans” is pathetic. Already claiming that we can’t keep up with Southern Miss. While this game is definitely an early challenge, UK has the better team and there is no debate about it. I get the pessimist attitude but a new season brings new hope. Every year the team has shown better promise under Stoops. With the Towles inaccuracy out of the equation things can only go up.