I don’t know about you guys, but I feel pretty confident about tomorrow’s game. Combine the early kickoff with Missouri’s weak defense and Kentucky’s soaring confidence and I think the Cats have a very good chance of bringing home their fifth win. Apparently Vegas does not agree. According to the odds at Westgate, Missouri is now a 6.5-point favorite, the latest uptick in a perplexing spread.
On Monday, Missouri opened as a 3.5-point favorite, so, when you take away the 3-point home field advantage boost, means they were barely favored over the Cats. That seems pretty reasonable to me; however, over the past four days, during which news broke that two of the Tigers’ star defensive players are out for the season, the spread has moved three more points in Mizzou’s favor:
May I remind you that Missouri is 2-5 with wins over Eastern Michigan and an 0-7 Delaware State team? And they just lost to Middle Tennessee State?
Normally, Vegas is spot on with this stuff, so what am I missing?