Earlier this week the SEC finally threw all of us a bone by releasing the schedule for 2020 and that got all of the juices flowing. On 11 Personnel, we dove head-first into the new slate and what it means for Kentucky. Not long after the release, season totals started to leak out and now we have point spreads for Week 1 when toe meets leather on September 26th.
Opening Week 1 SEC lines from @betonline_ag
Alabama (-21) @ Missouri
Florida (-10.5) @ Ole Miss
Georgia (-24) @ Arkansas
Kentucky @ Auburn (-7.5)
Mississippi State @ LSU (-17.5)
Tennessee (-3) @ South Carolina
Vanderbilt @ Texas a&M (-28.5)
— SEC Mike (@MichaelWBratton) August 20, 2020
Things are starting to become real and it’s time to pick up those Phil Steeles and get ready for the season. In order to make our plays on some season totals, we need to project how the league is going to finish by going game-by-game down the list. However, I saved you some time and took care of this menial task this week.
After writing out every single game and picking winners and losers for each, I have put together how the 2020 season will play out. To everyone’s surprise, Georgia will be playing in the SEC Championship Game for the fourth season in a row and they’ll be meeting Alabama once again in Atlanta. Now let’s breakdown how they each got there and what happened in the divisions along the way.
1.) Georgia (8-2)
2.) Florida (7-3)
3.) Kentucky (6-4)
4.) Tennessee (6-4)
5.) South Carolina (3-7)
6.) Mizzou (3-7)
7.) Vanderbilt (0-10)
Florida and Georgia take up most of the oxygen during the talking season and it’s because they have the two most talented rosters in the division. Kirby Smart has had his way with Dan Mullen as a head coach and as long as he keeps getting an idle week each year before the Cocktail Party, I’m going to ride with the team in the silver britches. Meanwhile, Florida may be closer to the second tier in the division than most talking heads want to admit, but Birmingham gifted them a schedule where they’ll be a favorite in 7-8 games.
The next tier comes down to Kentucky and Tennessee and that game falls favorable to the blue team. The Wildcats draw the Vols in a great spot sandwiched between Alabama and Georgia while UK’s schedule is backloaded. Right after those two are South Carolina and Mizzou who figure to be fighting uphill all season. I didn’t draw out a Vanderbilt schedule because you just don’t need to see how it plays out. The Commodores are going to be a double-digit underdog in every game and are in for a rough season.
As far as upsets go, I really do think South Carolina is going to get someone in perhaps the final run from Will Muschamp similar to how they beat Georgia in Athens last season. This time it will be Auburn in the middle of October before the Gamecocks end the year losing five out of six.
Oh, Kentucky is getting Georgia because the schedule breaks just right. The Dawgs have to go through Alabama and Tennessee in the two weeks prior and the Florida contest awaits just around the corner. A win here could possibly vault the UK program into the top-10 with a 4-1 mark. However, what comes up must come down and that will occur in CoMo the very next week in a sad Halloween for the Big Blue Nation.
1.) Alabama (9-1)
2.) Texas A&M (8-2)
3.) LSU (8-2)
4.) Auburn (5-5)
5.) Ole Miss (4-6)
6.) Mississippi St (2-8)
7.) Arkansas (1-9)
If you just look at the rosters, I’m not sure there is anyone in the SEC on Alabama’s level this season and I believe we’ll see that play out on the field. I fully expect five-star true freshman Bryce Young to be Bama’s QB1 by the time they host Georgia on October 17th. The Tide will enter Tiger Stadium undefeated and Ed Orgeron will beat them for the second year in a row, but being the league’s only one loss team will get them to Atlanta.
It certainly seems like Louisiana State has the conference’s best schedule and a hot start is there for the taking. Road trips to Gainesville and the Plains will be tough while the bye week gives them plenty of time to prepare for the Tide on Masters Saturday. However, a rivalry could be forming with Texas A&M and the Aggies will knock off the Tigers in College Station. The 8-2 mark will give Jimbo Fisher the breakthrough season the Texas Ags have been waiting for.
The pendulum swings back and forth at Auburn under Gus Malzahn and this year it is on the negative side after going 9-3 in the regular season with an Iron Bowl win last year. Let the hot seat rumors bubble up in the .500 season. Ole Miss will rise above the rest, but that’s largely due to them drawing Vanderbilt from the East. Expect long years in Fayetteville and Starkville as the new coaches were hammered with the new schedule by each adding an additional game with Georgia.
Check out the entire schedules written out if you please. Football is coming*.