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Odds Watch: Not much change after the week off

Without a game last weekend, little has changed in how Kentucky looks going into its next seven games, according to the numbers we use here at Odds Watch headquarters. But we started this thing in Week 1 with intentions of updating it every single week throughout the year, and we follow through on commitments around here. It’s one of our core values.

Anyway, Odds Watch is back for its seventh edition in Week 7 of the college football season to forecast what’s ahead for the Wildcats. There are minor changes from last week, but the biggest line move (per the Sagarin ratings) is Vanderbilt getting two more points in that Nov. 16 game in Nashville. It is the only line that moved more than a single point from a week ago.

As usual, here’s a glossary in case you’re lost:

Sagarin Predictor — Jeff Sagarin’s College Football Ratings provide predictions for upcoming games by comparing the two Sagarin ratings for each team, plus an additional amount of points for home field advantage. For example: In Sagarin’s Week 2 ratings, Kentucky has a 76.06 rating; Eastern Michigan is a 61.52; and he sets home field advantage at 2.25 points. So you add home field (2.25) to Kentucky’s rating (76.06) and subtract Eastern Michigan’s rating (61.52) to get a difference of 16.79 points. Round to the nearest half-point to find Sagarin’s predicted point spread is Kentucky favored by 17 over the visiting Eagles.

ESPN FPI — Kentucky’s win probability in each game, using ESPN’s Power Football Index.

Actual Score — The actual score of the game, obviously.

Opening Line — The opening betting line on the game, via

Closing Line — The betting line on the game at kickoff after taking into account the number of bets and money on each side.

Go Cats.

Article written by Drew Franklin

I can recite every line from Forrest Gump, blindfolded. Follow me on Twitter: @DrewFranklinKSR

4 Comments for Odds Watch: Not much change after the week off

  1. Ridge Runner
    4:02 pm October 8, 2019 Permalink

    At this point after losing Terry.. I’ll just applaud whatever we can muster together.

  2. nocode96
    4:45 pm October 8, 2019 Permalink

    Not football, but coach K just publicly came out in support of fair pay to play law for college students. I wonder how espn and other talking heads will view this controversial topic now? Lol

    • Iamheasyouarehe
      5:24 pm October 8, 2019 Permalink

      They will fall all over themselves praising K for his bravery.

    • nocode96
      5:42 pm October 8, 2019 Permalink

      Yep, and I’m sure the same people that would’ve blasted Cal had he said this publicly first will be staunchly backing K.