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Luckett’s Locks: Finding the comfort zone

(Photo: © Getty Images)

(Photo: © Getty Images)

We are fresh off our first winning weekend of the season as are total plays went undefeated last week and we finished up at 3-2 to boost our season record to .500 at 7-7. The #FadeSyracuse movement is officially dead, but we are moving on to another conference cellar dweller this week in addition to some more total plays in the SEC. They treated us well last weekend and we’re looking to keep it rolling with the calendar turning to October.

Another fun college football Saturday is set for all of us to enjoy and while it’s not a jam-packed slate, there are plenty of enticing games to keep you interested. The board is loaded with some juicy spreads and this feels like it just could be a big weekend.

Now let’s get to the best plays on the card.

North Carolina @ Boston College (+14)

For the first time since the weekend after Labor Day, North Carolina will be taking the field. The Tar Heels opened the season with a sloppy win over Syracuse and then were forced to have the last two weeks off thanks to an idle week and the in-state matchup with Charlotte being called off due to COVID-19 issues for the 49ers. They’ve been chomping at the bit to get back in action, but they are facing a team that could surprise some folks in the ACC. BC also happens to have the best social media account in college football.

 

Jeff Hafley is off to a 2-0 start at Boston College with a dominating win against Duke on the the road and a come from behind victory at home last week against Texas State. The Eagles look plucky and this is a program that is on a 19-5-4 ATS run in its last 28 ACC games. Meanwhile, Carolina has been sitting and will be going to sleepy Chestnut Hill. Take BC as the two touchdown home dog.

Oklahoma State (-21.5) @ Kansas

We’ve moved on from #FadeSyracuse and have landed at #FadeKansas in sleepy Lawrence. In year two under Les Miles, the Jayhawks are off to an embarrassing after being whipped by Coastal Carolina in their opener and allowing 47 points to a limited Baylor offense last week. KU looks like the worst team in the Power Five to this point and they are up against a squad they haven’t faired well with.

Oklahoma State’s defense is actually getting the job done in Stillwater as the Pokes are 2-0 fresh off a nice home win against West Virginia. It’s sounding like the Cowboys could be getting quarterback Spencer Sanders back in the lineup this weekend and that should cure some of their offensive problems. They cover the three touchdowns and a hook with ease as they may be the best team in a very flawed Big XII.

LSU (-20.5) @ Vanderbilt

Last week we saw LSU employ one of the worst defensive game plans I’ve ever seen against Mike Leach’s Air Raid attack while new quarterback Myles Brennan struggled in his first game trying to fill the massive shoes left behind by Joe Burrow. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt hung with Texas A&M for four quarters while true freshman quarterback Ken Seals looks like he could potentially be a very nice building block for the program. Plus they are wearing some super clean lids for the night kickoff on the West End.

However, it’s time to look a little deeper.

LSU gets star cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. back this weekend and Bo Pelini’s aggressive 4-3 scheme should be able to feast on a Vanderbilt attack with serious lack of options at the skill positions. Meanwhile, the Commodores put up just 3.8 yards per play against A&M and that game was only close because of three Aggie turnovers. LSU gets right this weekend in Nashville and wins in convincing fashion.

Auburn @ Georgia Under 44.5

Back to the old well. It’s time to play the Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry for the 125th meeting between AU and UGA and this time the matchup is taking place earlier in the season. The Tigers are set to travel to Athens to take on the Dawgs and Kirby Smart has had his way with Gus Malzahn in this series owning a 4-1 head-to-head record since taking over in 2016. The only Auburn victory was turned around a few weeks later with a big 28-7 Georgia win in the 2017 SEC Championship.

USC transfer J.T. Daniels was cleared this week, but there are major quarterback questions in Athens after redshirt freshman D’Wan Mathis really struggled in his first start. They’ll be hosting an Auburn offense that had issues running the ball against Kentucky and lived on a bunch of created receptions by Seth Williams. Only once has this total gone over 35 points since Smart took over and I’m fully expecting another defensive slugfest. Play the under.

Best Bet: Arkansas @ Mississippi State Under 69

Well, well, well. Everyone is drinking the Mike Leach kool-aid now, aren’t they? State was the biggest story in college football this past week as K.J. Costello threw for an SEC record 623 yards with the Bulldogs putting up 44 points and 8.3 yards per play in just their second win in Death Valley since 1991. The people can’t get enough of the content.

However, I don’t think new Arkansas defensive coordinator and former Missouri head coach Barry Odom is going to give Leach’s Air Raid one look at press man coverage this weekend. The Hogs will drop into a zone and make Costello dink-and-dunk his way down the field. Arkansas was feisty in their opener limiting Georgia to just 4.3 yards per play while their offense has some issues to work through.

Zig while everyone else is zagging and take the under.

Article written by Adam Luckett

Twitter: @AdamLuckettKSR

1 Comment for Luckett’s Locks: Finding the comfort zone



  1. nadkin
    7:05 pm October 2, 2020 Permalink

    Dang the Pirate eats tacos faster then me, almost deep throating that defenseless taco, what that taco do to you mister Pirate?