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Kentucky led one of Saturday’s Most Improbable Comebacks

Raise your hand if you thought when EKU went up by two touchdowns with seven minutes to go Kentucky was going to lose the game. (Not me, I never doubted for a second….) Well if you were one of those who saw the future of UK football flashing before your very eyes then don’t feel too bad because according to ESPN Kentucky led one of the most unlikely comebacks in college football on Saturday.


According to the worldwide leader, Kentucky had just a 6.2% chance of pulling off the comeback against Eastern. Yet against the odds they flipped the switch and dominated the remainder of play to win the game. They should have never been down two touchdowns in the fourth quarter against an FCS foe but the grit they showed to comeback and win the game was the game’s silver lining. Like Freddie said last night, it could’ve always been worse.

Article written by Andrew Cassady

Follow me @ACassady_KSR

5 Comments for Kentucky led one of Saturday’s Most Improbable Comebacks

  1. Duane
    11:22 pm October 5, 2015 Permalink

    So,you’re saying there’s a chance…..

  2. android guy
    8:24 am October 6, 2015 Permalink

    These in-game odds that ESPN has been doing lately are fun for fans, but they have little legitimacy in terms of actual science.The fact that four games with an 8.2 percent chance of victory or less occurred on just one weekend is proof that their numbers are not really accurate.

    • Craig
      10:48 am October 6, 2015 Permalink

      No, that’s not at all proof of that. How many teams this season have led by 14 with 9 minutes to play? How many times has the trailing team won? A cluster of hits doesn’t prove it wrong.

    • android guy
      12:56 pm October 6, 2015 Permalink

      It does when each game is over 9% of a particular team’s season, a greater percentage than the percentage odds on any of these examples spit out by ESPN’s math illiterates. And if they combine all teams together, that’s an even worse fallacy because each team must be viewed as mutually exclusive for an analysis to have any meaning at all.

  3. jhnny
    10:40 am October 6, 2015 Permalink

    I wish you would have linked to the original article