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Early odds set UK football’s over/under win total at 4

Darrell Bird |

Darrell Bird |

Darrell Bird | posted early SEC over/under win totals for this season, and the Cats have the lowest over/under set at 4 wins. Here’s the complete list:

  • Alabama 10.5
  • Arkansas 5.5
  • Auburn 9
  • Florida 7.5
  • Georgia 8.5
  • Kentucky 4
  • LSU 8.5
  • Mississippi State 7
  • Missouri 8.5
  • Ole Miss 7
  • South Carolina 8.5
  • Tennessee 4.5
  • Texas A&M 8.5
  • Vanderbilt 6

Considering the Cats’ back-to-back 2-10 records, that’s hardly surprising, but still a bit depressing. Or just realistic? Here’s the 2014 schedule:

Screen Shot 2014-05-21 at 11.18.07 AM

I see four winnable games in UT Martin, Ohio, Vandy, and Louisiana-Monroe. Potential wins against Mississippi State and Tennessee. Upset alerts at Florida and at Louisville (just because). Realistically, four wins is a safe bet, but the “Why not” in me has me picking over.

What about you? Over/under four wins for the Cats this fall?

H/t Saturday Down South

Article written by Mrs. Tyler Thompson

No, I will not make you a sandwich, but you can follow me on Twitter @MrsTylerKSR or email me.

55 Comments for Early odds set UK football’s over/under win total at 4

  1. Yep
    1:04 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink


  2. Heisenberg
    1:06 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    I’ll take the over and go with 5 wins this season.

  3. Tater
    1:09 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    My prediction is 6-6 …..

  4. The Loco Pollo
    1:09 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Agreed on the “why not” stance. Overly optimistic me sees a 4-0 start as possible and that would be amazing, mainly because it would involve a win in the swamp. 6-6 would be a very successful season, I believe.

    • Billy Hill
      1:22 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      So you think UK, which hasn’t won an SEC game in over 2 years, is going to go into the Swamp and upset Florida? Yeah. Good luck with that.

    • Downtown
      2:29 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      And I bet TN was thinking it would never lose to the Cats again either. Oh wait….Matt Roark???

  5. Tater
    1:10 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Bowl time BABY!!!!

  6. BigBlue
    1:11 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    5 Wins:

    UT Martin
    Miss State

    • SuperCat
      6:00 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Riiiight.. dont get me wrong.. I’m all for a good upset, but i just dont see it in the cards. sadly, we are talking about a team that hasnt won an SEC game in almost 1000 days or an In state game in the last 6… trust me, Id like to see us get more than 2 wins next season… but it would be a miracle given our schedule.

  7. NL
    1:13 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Us over…easiest call is vandy at six. I’m going under. No way they win more than six. Franklin left them out to dry

    • Smart Money
      3:54 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      I think Vandy is a decent bet but it seems to me Mizzou is by far the best bet on the list as an under. With their losses at wideout now including DGB and just 4 returning starters on defense there’s absolutely no way they win nine. UCF is also a threatening addition to their non-conference matchups. In fact, it may be time for me to break out the ole wallet.

  8. Billy Hill
    1:20 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    4 is probably the right number.
    UT Martin
    Miss State

  9. Jason
    1:25 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    4 wins about right

    UT Martin
    UL Monroe

    • Luther
      1:40 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Right! It’s twice as many as last year and a win over Vandy would also give us a much needed SEC win…

  10. Joe
    1:26 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    That Vandy game is huge. If UK comes out of that game 3-1, then they could sneak up on some people. Come out of that game at 2-2 or worse and four wins is about the limit of possibility.

  11. The CAT
    1:28 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    4 is about right and hopefully we will be competitive in the other 8. I’d be ok with that.

  12. Jesus
    1:30 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    It pains me to say under, and we miss on Harris because of that.

  13. jeff j
    1:31 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    im lookin at 6-0 with up set @ fla the rest are home games we’ll see………………

  14. RICK
    1:36 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink


  15. jeff j
    1:36 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    im lookin at 6-0 with up set @ fla the rest are home games we’ll see………………sure 6-0 to start, odds are against fla.

  16. inlinefor9
    1:37 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Have been thinking 4 for a while, with a shot at 5. This season specifically, I would be very happy with 5.

  17. UKfansNKY
    1:39 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Wins over…………UT Martin
    Ohio U
    South Car. – upset
    Miss. St.
    Missouri – upset

    GO CATS!!!

    • kevin wants his alleve back
      3:21 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Are you serious?

    • Don't forget
      4:29 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Also Vandy, Miss St and Louisville are upsets.

  18. ChicagoCat
    1:44 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    I’ve been saying over/under should be 4 wins for a while now. I still agree until our cats prove otherwise on the field. 6 wins to me seems like a pipe dream, 4-5 wins is the most realistic. Both Vandy and Louisville take a step back this year, the question is how much back and how far forward have the Cats gone.

    • Cats in a Show Me State
      3:32 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      I would add Mizzou to the list of teams taking a step back and for some reason everyone seems to think Mississippi State will have a big year because they bring back a comparable number of starters to the Cats but they beat absolutely nobody outside of their rivalry game against Ole Miss in overtime. It took them overtime to beat Arkansas, they beat Bowling Green by one and us by six and we were driving. Obviously we haven’t proven anything on the field but there some opportunities this season. I would agree though that four is the perfect over/under and a bet I wouldn’t touch.

  19. ribin
    1:47 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Go with the over — 5 possibly 6

  20. Cincy Cayt
    1:48 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    I say 3 and we can still call it progress and hopefully continue recruiting and developing. It would also help if those 9 losses were close.

  21. So you're telling me there's a chance...
    1:50 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    There is an extremely unrealistic (to say the least) chance for 9 wins this season. The 4 wins everybody else is saying, then Florida, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Louisville — none of those teams are unbeatable. Still not going to happen but….. what if?

  22. Reality
    1:54 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    4 is definitely doable, anything past that is just icing on the cake. A win over the dirty birds at the pizzeria would be Christmas come early (not that we’ll have to wait long to beat them at hoops), but UTM, OU, Vandy, and ULM, are all very winnable games.

  23. Reality Check
    2:04 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Anyone who thinks Vandy is a given W needs to check themselves. This isn’t your fathers Vandy team. Past 2 years Vandy has gone 9-4 with wins over Georgia, Auburn, Florida, and Tennessee. Also coming off back to back bowl wins. Vandy is no push over and we’ll likely be a 2 score underdog in this game. Vandy beat us 44-0 in 12, and 22-6 last year. Vandy’s football program is currently where we’d like to be in 3 years.

    • Rip VanWinkle
      2:09 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      This also isn’t a Vandy team w James Franklin anymore. They took a serious hit in coaching, talent, and momentum when he left.

    • Reality
      2:27 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Without James Franklin for Vandy and with much more of Stoops and Company’s recruits on the field for us, we have a much better chance at beating them. We went to Nashville without an offense last year and really only lost 15-6 (before Franklin decided to go for a TD on the last play and we didn’t bother defending too hard).

      Not saying our offense is going to put up Big 12 style numbers this year, but our defense is steadily becoming a solid group that will keep us in close games.

    • A Different Team
      3:39 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Certainly not a guaranteed win but Vandy only returns 11 starters and just 3 of those are on defense. Add to that the departure of Franklin and odds are the Commodores have an uphill battle and there’s only a snowball’s chance in heck they open as a two touchdown favorite. If they do bet the Comminwealth on the Cats.

  24. UKsportsBigMARV
    2:09 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Wins – UT Martin, Ohio, and ULM
    50/50 games – Vandy – Miss st.
    Would need some luck – FL, Ga, ,Tenn, Louisville
    Unlikely wins – SC & LSU

    I would love to be sitting at 5 wins going into the Pizza Pit.

    With that being said, I think 4 is the correct #.

  25. 2and10Again
    2:39 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    No way UK gets 4 W’s THIS season. MAYBE next season. Sad to say UL has a far superior coach who beat us at WKU. Does anyone REALLY think Petrino is going to be coaching kids with less talent than WKU ? I Bleed Blue, but this is as silly as a 40-0 T-shirt….

    • Hey Seuss
      2:45 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      You bleed blue, and I’m Jesus….

      Troll on tard, troll on…..

    • Side
      2:47 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      So because he has a differing opinion he is automatically a troll?

    • Far Better?
      3:43 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      He is when he says Petrino is “a far better coach” based on the limited sample size of Stoops’ head coaching career. That would be the same Petrino that upon entering the SEC promptly took an 8-5 Razorbacks team and turned them into a 5-7 juggernaut. More than likely a Cards fan. At best a Cats fan bitter over not hiring Petrino.

    • It's In the Cards
      3:45 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Correction: clearly a troll when he predicts 2-10. The odds the Cats don’t win at least three are laughable with the influx of talent and the non-conference slate.

    • What?
      6:56 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      He took Arkansas to a sugar bowl…

    • Not in year one
      6:28 am May 22, 2014 Permalink

      The point was in Petrino’s first season in the SEC he won three less games than his predecessor. Not exactly an auspicious start. Stoops’ team remained flat at only two wins. Either way year one in the conference is a worthless measuring stick let alone year one as a head coach. Keep in mind Stoops’ FSU defense was in the top ten and a year after he left was part of a national championship. Much too soon to concede the better coach title to Petrino.

  26. Bluecat
    2:55 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Cats win sIX games and go to Stoops first bowl as UK coach. Cats surprise with solid competitive play in ten of twelve games leading up to bowl game versus North Carolina. Finish 7-6.

  27. ChrisNAshland
    3:13 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Wouldn’t it be something if we had 5 wins and the game against Louisville at the end would determine bowl eligibility?

  28. gobgblu37
    3:28 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    I predict that if we can find a way to beat the gators the next day we get two 5* commitments. D Harris and CeCe Jefferson. Both of these guys love the coaching staff and are just looking for a reason to commit. GBB!!!

  29. seems right
    3:40 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    4 seems like a push. Under 4.5 would be a lock. 4 is the likely outcome. 3 is possible as well. Take the under and you will not lose but may push. If you find it at 4.5 put $10 grand on it…..that would be a lock.

  30. RealUKFan
    3:48 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    4 wins would be great. That is a significant improvement over the last couple of years and would be something to build on for the future. SEC wins are hard to come by and it may be another couple of years or three before we make any really good movement in that area.

  31. matt
    5:13 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Only at kensucky you can win 2 games and get a raise and contract extension. Hahahahahaha

    • scat
      5:41 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      Only at lousevile you can employ two trashy coaches. Hahahahahahaha

    • Now That's ReCarded
      6:27 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

      And only Louisville would rehire a guy who starts interviewing for other jobs one year into his first tenure, hides it from his boss and his former boss (whose job he’s trying to take), lies about it until confronted with evidence, interviews with at least three other teams over the next three years, signs a ten year extension saying he’ll never leave Louisville then takes another job six months later. Now having burned another employer leaving before the end of his first season and subsequently embarrassing himself, his family and the institution he left that team for while simultaneously breaking the law in hiring his mistress Louisville once again decides he’s the right coach for the team. And you make fun of which program again?

  32. Louisiana-Monroe/Ohio
    6:10 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Puzzling why we went out and got two mid-major opponents that are decent. There are 11 loseable games on this schedule.

  33. Nuts I Tell Ya
    6:15 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Call me crazy, but I can foresee all the stars aligning, and the Cats starting 6-0 before reality sets in. Then they stumble to a 7-5 finish and despite the latter-season disappointments, Stoops still receives several Coach of the Year accolades and considerations.

    I know, I know, but seriously . . . assuming that the Gators remain just as dysfunctional as they were last year, it’s possible.

  34. Confucious
    6:26 pm May 21, 2014 Permalink

    Just like last year, there is so much optimism here. And, just like last year, the optimism will be slowly replaced by sadness.

  35. bobedthom
    9:03 am May 22, 2014 Permalink

    Not Picking 11-1, but LSU is the only team that didn’t have major losses on both sides of the ball and BIG questions coming in.

    Miss St
    All have rebuilding to do and we gave a couple of them trouble last year. I think there will be an upset or two in that group and we will be VERY CLOSE to Bowling.
    5 or 6 Wins are very possible.

  36. It's Humid in Houston
    1:11 pm May 22, 2014 Permalink

    I love the Cats, but I’m not sure this is the year we see improvement in our record. I think we will have a better chance of winning in most of the games this year, but 4 wins might be a stretch. I agree with the previous poster that the 2 mid-majors are pretty good. Ohio was very tough last year and has upset us in Commonwealth before.