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Can The Cats Win The Battle on The Ground?

When it comes to the Cats and the Cards on the field the team that wins the rushing war wins the game.  An interesting claim and one that John Clay created a spreadsheet to verify with a resounding “True.”

The Saturday the Cards will bring one of the nation’s most efficient offenses into Lexington to try to knock off the Cats. Louisville is ranked 18th in yards per game, second in third down conversions, and fifth in passing yards. Not too surprising when you have one of the Heisman favorites in ultra accurate Teddy Bridgewater. The Cards haven’t needed to rely on the run so far this year but they feature some talented guys in the backfield. If Senorise Perry and Michael Dyer are racking up the yards and killing the clock the above statistic could hold true. The Cards may want to limit the time Kentucky’s explosive offense is on the field and to do that they will need to run the ball.

Kentucky, after a monster game against Miami, is ranked 13th in total yards and rising. Surprisingly, the air raid offense that Neal Brown brought to Lextown has featured a ton of run based plays. The Cats are ranked 25th in rushing yards and they will certainly want to limit Bridgewater’s touches as much as possible. Sanders, Kemp, Timmons, and Whitlow will be looking to gain big on the ground throughout Saturdays game. If they are able to then maybe the Cats pull off the upset.

So what do you think? Are the Cats going to win the battle on the ground and go on to win the game? Or will this one be decided by the team who can sling the ball around for the majority of their yards? As always sound off in the comment section below.

Article written by Andrew Cassady

Follow me @ACassady_KSR

7 Comments for Can The Cats Win The Battle on The Ground?



  1. Blue Jesus
    5:48 pm September 12, 2013 Permalink

    We get this stat every year, and with good reason, it has been true for the last 17 years. But I think the streak may end soon, maybe not this year but within the next three. This year UK has had more rushing yards than Louisville, and even if UK has more rushing yards Saturday it’s hard to imagine winning still. Plus, both these offenses in general are more pass oriented, so it seems reasonable to suspect that one year a team will be having a lot of success in the air won’t deal much with the run game. Also, I think the stat is a little skewed. The winning team is likely to run it more to run out the clock, so it seems natural that more often than not the team with more rushing yards is the winning team.



  2. NL
    5:48 pm September 12, 2013 Permalink

    I think this year could be a year where the above statistics do not hold true. TB is good enough to overcome a poor performance by Dyer and Perry



  3. Larry David Peveto
    6:05 pm September 12, 2013 Permalink

    I am with Crazy Curtis on this one
    Cats in a three goggle



  4. Gabe
    6:09 pm September 12, 2013 Permalink

    Stoops needs to do something unexpexted like start Zaderius Smith or Mister Cobble at QB



  5. CatGrad7072
    7:24 pm September 12, 2013 Permalink

    4: Mister Cobble at QB? Now, that’s a pocket passer for you!



  6. Beatle Bum
    8:21 pm September 12, 2013 Permalink

    Clay built a spread sheet and we stole it.



  7. Go Long
    11:22 am September 13, 2013 Permalink

    No way we win with the run. Big plays are our only hope. We better be looking to go deep early and often.