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Can Kentucky Football surpass the seven-win threshold?

Seven is a lucky number for the Kentucky football program. Over the last 25 years it has been the benchmark for the program. In some cases, reaching seven wins is a milestone, while in others it has been the expectation.

Since Hal Mumme came to town in 1997, Kentucky has won seven regular season games nine times. Only once have the Wildcats exceeded the seven-win mark in the regular season, 2018.

It’s safe to say that history is not on the side of over bettors this fall. A few win totals have floated around so far this offseason. William Hill is arguably Las Vegas’ most respected sportsbook, and they serve as the proprietor for the local books in Southern Indiana. Thursday evening they unveiled regular season win totals, setting Kentucky at seven wins (-125 on the over).

Even though history tells us it’s not likely that Kentucky can win more than seven regular season games, if they just hit seven you get your money back. Nobody likes to play for the push and you don’t have to with four non-conference Ws, including one in the Governor’s Cup, easy road trips to South Carolina and Vanderbilt, and instability within the division as the SEC East welcomes three new coaches.

The bar has officially been set at seven wins for the 2021 Kentucky football team. This year is a good time to raise it even higher.

Before you check out the entire list of season win totals, here are a few notable numbers:

Indiana 7.5 (-130 over)
Louisville 6.5 (-120 over)
Tennessee 6 (-130 under)
Mississippi State 6 (-115 over)
Western Kentucky 5.5 (-120 under)
South Carolina 3.5 (-165 over)
Vanderbilt 3 (-140 over)

Article written by Nick Roush

"Look upon the doughnut, and not upon the hole." @RoushKSR

3 Comments for Can Kentucky Football surpass the seven-win threshold?

  1. thedem
    8:50 pm June 18, 2021 Permalink

    In the Stoops era, we’ve now gone from a MAX expectation of 6 wins (maybe 5?) to a MIN expectation of 7 wins. That’s tough to do in the SEC for a traditional “non-power” school.

  2. satcheluk
    10:40 pm June 18, 2021 Permalink

    I laid a sizable sum on that line. I figure 7 is the floor sans some black swan event, so it would seem a safe bet. I believe 8 is more likely than 7.

  3. kjd
    8:49 am June 19, 2021 Permalink

    All depends on Coen’s offense and QB choice.