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BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: How We’ve Fared Against the SEC’s Worst

© Jeff Blake | USATSI

© Jeff Blake | USATSI

Kentucky hosts likely the SEC’s worst team on Saturday in Arkansas.  It is hard to see the Hogs winning an SEC game this year and even if they squeak one out in there somewhere they probably won’t have more than 1 win in league play.  Since the year 2000, Kentucky has played 22 SEC games against teams that finished either win 1 or 0 conference wins.  They have gone 17-5 in those games with an average winning margin of 13.2 points in those 17 wins.

But more important is that Mark Stoops is a perfect 5-0 in those type of games in his tenure:

2000 (2-9)
Vanderbilt (1-7): LOST 24-20

2001 (2-9)
Vanderbilt (0-8): WON 56-30

2002 (7-5)
Vanderbilt (0-8): WON 41-21
Mississippi St (0-8): WON 45-24

2003 (4-8)
Vanderbilt (1-7): LOST 28-17
Mississippi St (1-7): WON 42-7

2004 (2-9)
Vanderbilt (1-7): WON 14-13

2005 (3-8)
Ole Miss (1-7): LOST 13-7
Mississippi St (1-7): WON 13-7

2006 (8-5)
Mississippi St (1-7): WON 34-31
Vanderbilt (1-7): WON 38-26

2009 (7-6)
Vanderbilt (0-8): WON 24-13

2010 (6-7)
Ole Miss (1-7): LOST 42-35
Vanderbilt (1-7): WON 38-20

2011 (5-7)
Tennessee (1-7): WON 10-7
Ole Miss (0-8): WON 30-13

2012 (2-10)
Tennessee (1-7): LOST 37-17

2014 (5-7)
Vanderbilt (0-8): WON 17-7

2015 (5-7)
Missouri (1-7): WON 21-13
South Carolina (1-7): WON 26-22

2017 (7-6)
Vanderbilt (1-7): WON 44-21
Tennessee (0-8): WON 29-26

Now, while Stoops is 5-0 in those games, his average winning margin in those 5 games was just 9.9 points per game, almost a touchdown less than the overall average.  And in home games, he has won games by 10, 8, and 3 points.  So while even with the challenges UK is facing right now I expect them to win, I would also expect a very tight game, even against the SEC’s worst.

Article written by Bryan the Intern

6 Comments for BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: How We’ve Fared Against the SEC’s Worst

  1. bbn606
    10:35 am October 9, 2019 Permalink

    Arkansas looked better against A&M than we did against SC.

    • mashburnfan1
      12:50 pm October 9, 2019 Permalink

      and they looked far worse against San Jose St than we did vs UF. Means nothing, will be settled on the field on that day.

  2. DelrayCat
    10:43 am October 9, 2019 Permalink

    The problem we face with Arkansas is tempo. They want a high scoring, high possession game. Sure, their defense is not very good. But they can definitely score points. We’re going to need 24-28+ to win. Luckily they’ve been terrible on the road in the SEC in the last few years. These teams are dead even talent-wise…don’t kid yourself.

  3. Bluenblood
    11:17 am October 9, 2019 Permalink

    Dude you gotta quit looking backwards Ark played tough v AM and agree we are even on talent. -6.5 spread is generous but always hoping the Cats surprise all of us. Go Cats!!!

  4. SuperTroy18
    12:32 pm October 9, 2019 Permalink

    Lets hope our guys are more motivated than they’ve been. We definitely have the talent to do something the rest of the way. Stoops has lost a few to teams we were much better than. Ole Miss at home a couple seasons ago. UT last season. WKU in his first two seasons, I think. There’s no excuse if we lose to Arkansas, especially on J. Lorenzen night. Gotta get that W on Saturday. Season depends on it.

    • mashburnfan1
      12:56 pm October 9, 2019 Permalink

      WKU loss is because we had almost no SEC talent on the roster when he got here. I do hate how we struggle vs teams we are supposed to be way better than. Mizzou, Vandy, UT and whoever it was we played before U6 last year. EKU, EMU, and several more over the years. Part is Gran play calling. I watched UCLA put up 50 in a half vs WSU, I believe on the road, and thought Gran can’t score 50 in a game vs FCS teams or EMU type teams. UCLA is not that good at all. I know it is PAC 12 and Wash St is not a defensive stopper but still.