Saturday Down South (SDS) is no stranger to bold predictions, nor showing no love for our beloved football Cats. This week was no different. SDS made two predictions this past week that caught my attention.
The first prediction was predicting the next 10-win season for every SEC football team. It was a pleasant surprise to see that they predicted Kentucky to have a 10-win season in just two years.
Here is what the prediction in all said:
10-win seasons 2008-17: 0
Next 10-win season: 2020
Skinny: Mark Stoops is slowly upgrading both lines, giving the Wildcats a chance to stand toe-to-toe with the SEC’s more physical teams. Will he be around when the Cats finally win ten games for the first time since 1977? That’s a fair question. Going 7-6 in consecutive seasons and playing in a bowl certainly is better than most falls in Lexington, but if Louisville can do it … the pressure will be on Stoops to break through soon.
While it’s nice to see them giving Kentucky some love, it seemed insincere because, in this post, SDS gave a three-year timetable for EVERY team, except Vanderbilt. SDS also predicted that Arkansas and Missouri would join Kentucky in 2020 for the next time those teams will see ten wins.
Later in the week, SDS would make another prediction. This time, they predicted the next time each SEC team will have a losing record. What did they predict for Kentucky? This season, 2018. The full prediction read:
Losing seasons 2008-17: 6
Predicting next losing season: 2018
Skinny: It certainly could happen this year if the Cats lose Benny Snell early in the season, forcing them to lean heavier than they’d prefer on a first-time starting quarterback. ESPN’s FPI already is projecting 5-7. Kentucky has strangely owned South Carolina, a key reason it finished 7-6 each of the past two seasons, but if that doesn’t continue, a 7-loss season seems realistic.
While this prediction does seem more in-depth, and realistic(unfortunately) I can’t help but notice the only rationale for their prediction is ‘if the Cats lose Benny Snell early in the season.’ Which, in my opinion, is a lousy prediction, it’s just shooting in the dark. I recognize that 5-7 is a possible scenario this season, but if you’re basing your whole prediction on the health of a player, who (knock on wood) has been relatively healthy in his college career, your prediction doesn’t have a great foundation. I then pose the question, what if everything goes according to plan and Benny stays healthy the whole year? How many games does Kentucky win then?
What I’m trying to say here is, you cannot predict the success of a football without accounting for one of the major components that will allow them to have a successful season. That’d be like someone saying, “I don’t believe the Lakers will make the playoffs because if Lebron goes down early in the season…”
To SDS’s credit, Kentucky’s strength of schedule is much more robust than last year, but the Cats will have their pivotal games at home such as South Carolina and Missippi State, and I believe the Cats can get some on the road as well.
Just an overview Kentucky will play on the road against a Tennessee program that is still recovering from the Butch Jones era.
A Missouri team that is slightly improved, but a team that Kentucky has beaten the last three years.
At Louisville, a team without Lamar Jackson and the last time we played in Louisville we walked away with the win and a series that has been nip and tuck during the entire Stoops era (excluding last year).
Then, of course, there’s Florida, while I’m not going to make a bold prediction here after learning the lesson from last year, UK could sneak up on the Gators. New coach, with a new team, in against the first true home game against a formidable opponent…it’s not entirely out of the question.
While I have my doubts about Saturday Down South’s predictions, I want to know, do you agree with their predictions?
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