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Saturday Down South Makes Two Bold UK Football Predictions

Saturday Down South (SDS) is no stranger to bold predictions, nor showing no love for our beloved football Cats. This week was no different. SDS made two predictions this past week that caught my attention.

The first prediction was predicting the next 10-win season for every SEC football team. It was a pleasant surprise to see that they predicted Kentucky to have a 10-win season in just two years.

Here is what the prediction in all said:

Kentucky

10-win seasons 2008-17: 0

Next 10-win season: 2020

Skinny: Mark Stoops is slowly upgrading both lines, giving the Wildcats a chance to stand toe-to-toe with the SEC’s more physical teams. Will he be around when the Cats finally win ten games for the first time since 1977? That’s a fair question. Going 7-6 in consecutive seasons and playing in a bowl certainly is better than most falls in Lexington, but if Louisville can do it … the pressure will be on Stoops to break through soon.

While it’s nice to see them giving Kentucky some love, it seemed insincere because, in this post, SDS gave a three-year timetable for EVERY team, except Vanderbilt. SDS also predicted that Arkansas and Missouri would join Kentucky in 2020 for the next time those teams will see ten wins.

Later in the week, SDS would make another prediction. This time, they predicted the next time each SEC team will have a losing record. What did they predict for Kentucky? This season, 2018. The full prediction read:

Kentucky

Losing seasons 2008-17: 6

Predicting next losing season: 2018

Skinny: It certainly could happen this year if the Cats lose Benny Snell early in the season, forcing them to lean heavier than they’d prefer on a first-time starting quarterback. ESPN’s FPI already is projecting 5-7. Kentucky has strangely owned South Carolina, a key reason it finished 7-6 each of the past two seasons, but if that doesn’t continue, a 7-loss season seems realistic.

While this prediction does seem more in-depth, and realistic(unfortunately) I can’t help but notice the only rationale for their prediction is ‘if the Cats lose Benny Snell early in the season.’ Which, in my opinion, is a lousy prediction, it’s just shooting in the dark. I recognize that 5-7 is a possible scenario this season, but if you’re basing your whole prediction on the health of a player, who (knock on wood) has been relatively healthy in his college career, your prediction doesn’t have a great foundation. I then pose the question, what if everything goes according to plan and Benny stays healthy the whole year? How many games does Kentucky win then?

What I’m trying to say here is, you cannot predict the success of a football without accounting for one of the major components that will allow them to have a successful season. That’d be like someone saying, “I don’t believe the Lakers will make the playoffs because if Lebron goes down early in the season…”

To SDS’s credit, Kentucky’s strength of schedule is much more robust than last year, but the Cats will have their pivotal games at home such as South Carolina and Missippi State, and I believe the Cats can get some on the road as well.

Just an overview Kentucky will play on the road against a Tennessee program that is still recovering from the Butch Jones era.

A Missouri team that is slightly improved, but a team that Kentucky has beaten the last three years.

At Louisville, a team without Lamar Jackson and the last time we played in Louisville we walked away with the win and a series that has been nip and tuck during the entire Stoops era (excluding last year).

Then, of course, there’s Florida, while I’m not going to make a bold prediction here after learning the lesson from last year, UK could sneak up on the Gators. New coach, with a new team, in against the first true home game against a formidable opponent…it’s not entirely out of the question.

While I have my doubts about Saturday Down South’s predictions, I want to know, do you agree with their predictions?

To see the full list Saturday Down South’s ten win predictions click here, for the losing season predictions click here.

Follow me on twitter: @BrentW_KSR

Article written by Brent Wainscott

Twitter: @BrentWainscott_

12 Comments for Saturday Down South Makes Two Bold UK Football Predictions



  1. Bill Selfs Hair Piece
    9:17 pm July 14, 2018 Permalink

    Let’s do the math on this: we beat SCAR and go 7-6. But if we lose to SCAR we’ll go 5-7. Am I missing something?



    • kjd
      10:08 pm July 14, 2018 Permalink

      I guess regular season 6-6 and win the bowl game 7-6 (13 games).



  2. Cincy Cayt
    9:50 pm July 14, 2018 Permalink

    I just hope we as a fan base react appropriately to whatever happens. Let’s not lose our minds if we go 4-8 or 5-7. Let’s also not stop pushing for improvements if we go 6-6 or 7-5. It really depends on how we play in the games. 2018 is important but let’s not overreact.



  3. CoachCat
    11:49 pm July 14, 2018 Permalink

    Anyone expecting a 10 win season out of Stoops is delusional



  4. ziplock
    1:25 am July 15, 2018 Permalink

    SDS has hated Kentucky for years. It would probably be good for the coaching staff to read all the UK stories aloud for the team. It’s all bulletin board material. I haven’t went to that site since they promoted “Kentucky’s Dirty Play” a few years back. here it is. I went to the site after all, Dorian Baker, https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/kentucky-football/kentucky-baker-lays-big-hit-lsu-2014/



  5. UKFootballYall
    8:45 am July 15, 2018 Permalink

    SDS panders to the fan bases that buy the most crap and advertising on their site. In fact, the can’t say enough good things about them to generate more revenue. I used to occasionally check out the site but they are clearly biased and have long standing opinions that will not go away even if we win the National Championship. To hell with them!



  6. BBNBRIAN
    9:25 am July 15, 2018 Permalink

    I have never heard of SDS, but I can’t say that I disagree with them. Stoops can recruit and we have some outstanding players, that goes without saying and I think the majority of fans will agree with me. Where Stoops has his short comings is in staff hiring and between the lines play calling. He can’t win the big game (and please don’t use the Lamar Fumble Gift as a counter point) and will never be anything more than a mediocre head coach.



  7. BluKudzu
    10:49 am July 15, 2018 Permalink

    I find nothing wrong in the opinion of SDS. It is a view based on past performance. I find it unlikely that anyone would give us props based on the accomplishments under Stoops on the job training program.
    Until changes are made by Stoops, this is all you should expect; a battle to get to .500, and maybe a bowl on the lower end, where we get dusted by whoever we play.
    Until we prove we are worthy, we deserve the coverage we get; the non cover two.



  8. krautdog
    1:27 pm July 15, 2018 Permalink

    I think what he is referring to is the additional plays Snell is going to get increasing his injury risk.



  9. nellis234
    2:22 pm July 15, 2018 Permalink

    I don’t know why I read SDS anymore, so much crap they put out. Idk when they have actually put a positive Kentucky article out. I’m pretty sure they wrote an article on how it’s bad for the SEC that Kentucky basketball keeps winning