While we wait on the spread to come out for tomorrow’s game, let’s look at what the pundits and computer models are saying about Kentucky vs. Auburn.
ESPN‘s Myron Medcalf, Jeff Borzello, John Gasaway, and Jordan Schultz
KenPom: Auburn 72, Kentucky 69 (39% chance of winning)
ESPN Matchup Predictor: Auburn
Sagarin Predictor: Auburn -2
Sports Illustrated’s Pat Forde: Kentucky
Forde went with the Cats, while his colleagues (Jeremy Woo, Molly Geary, Max Meyer, and Michael Shapiro) all chose Auburn. Here’s his reasoning:
“This is a payback game for the Wildcats, who were denied a Final Four trip last March by the Tigers. Auburn is coming off a great comeback win at Mississippi, but it was a double overtime marathon that could deplete the legs Saturday. Maybe the GameDay energy will serve as a replacement for that, but this feels like yet another game where Kentucky plays up to (or down to) the opponent and the situation—in this case, that means playing up.”
I never thought I’d say this, but I hope Pat Forde is right.