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What if Calipari stays at Kentucky another 20 years?

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – APRIL 03: Head coach John Calipari of the Kentucky Wildcats looks on during practice for the NCAA Men’s Final Four at Lucas Oil Stadium on April 3, 2015 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
INDIANAPOLIS, IN - APRIL 03: Head coach John Calipari of the Kentucky Wildcats looks on during practice for the NCAA Men's Final Four at Lucas Oil Stadium on April 3, 2015 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

Yesterday, John Calipari broke the Big Blue internet when he released a video of himself working out and talking about staying at Kentucky for another 20 years. In the past, Calipari has hinted at retiring at Kentucky, but watching him sweat and bob on the elliptical while fantasizing about how many draft picks, championships, and All-Stars he would accumulate over the next twenty years is the most concrete statement we’ve had yet.

“I gotta get my body right. Can I coach to my mid-70’s? Maybe. And what would that mean if I’m at Kentucky for another 20 [years]? What would that mean? Championships, draft picks, #1, lotteries. No doubt, I would have 12 guys in the NBA All-Star game. No doubt. What about wins? So, let’s see if I can get in that type of shape so when I’m 75 I’m still doing this stuff.”

So, what would happen if Calipari stayed at Kentucky another 20 years, until 2036? I’m glad you asked…

 

🏆 2-3 more NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

So far, Calipari has one national championship at Kentucky, and if you do the math, that would mean he’ll get 2-3 more titles over the next twenty years. Considering the number of near misses in past years, this number could be MUCH higher.

3-4 National Championships TOTAL during Cal’s career at Kentucky, bringing Kentucky’s total to 10-11


FFbanner 11-12 more FINAL FOURS

Calipari has been to 4 Final Fours over the past seven seasons for a 0.57 per year average. Using that average, Kentucky is on pace to go to 11-12 more Final Fours over the next 20 years.

15-16 Final Fours TOTAL during Cal’s career at Kentucky, bringing Kentucky’s total to 28-29


🏀 620 more WINS

Calipari has amassed 217 wins at Kentucky so far, which averages out to 31 per season. Using that average, he’ll get 620 more wins at Kentucky over the next 20 years.

837 wins TOTAL during Cal’s career at Kentucky, bringing Kentucky’s total to 2,827 and Calipari’s career total to 1,282


9d866bb3f49329aa542413aeeafaccb3.image.280x280 83-84 more DRAFT PICKS

During the Calipari era, 25 players have been drafted, a sterling average of 4.17 per year. Using that average, 83-84 more Kentucky players will be drafted in the next 20 years.

108-109 draft picks TOTAL during Cal’s career at Kentucky, bringing the total number of players drafted in Calipari’s career to 117-118 and the total in Kentucky basketball history to 201-201.


💰💰 43-44 more LOTTERY PICKS

During the Calipari era, 13 players have been drafted in the lottery, an average of 2.17 per year. Using that average, 43-44 more Kentucky players will be lottery picks in the next 20 years.

56-57 lottery picks TOTAL during Calipari’s career at Kentucky, bringing the total number of lottery picks in Calipari’s career to 60-61.


☝️10 more #1 DRAFT PICKS

Three Kentucky players have been drafted first during the Calipari era (John Wall, Anthony Davis, Karl Towns). At this rate, Calipari will have ten more #1 draft picks over the next 20 years.

13 #1 draft picks TOTAL during Calipari’s career at Kentucky, bringing the total number in his career and Kentucky basketball history to 14.


p9fnb9ht1w6x7zz6mizwbrbpqAt least 10 more NBA ALL-STARS

Last year, three Kentucky players were named NBA All-Stars: John Wall, Anthony Davis, and DeMarcus Cousins. At that rate (which, given the talent UK has produced in the past seven years, is very conservative), at least 10 more players will be named NBA All-Stars. AT LEAST.

13 NBA All-Stars TOTAL during Calipari’s career at Kentucky, which eclipses his goal of 12.

 

Now, get in shape so this can happen, coach.

Article written by Mrs. Tyler Thompson

No, I will not make you a sandwich, but you can follow me on Twitter @MrsTylerKSR or email me.

30 Comments for What if Calipari stays at Kentucky another 20 years?



  1. Sarahvah
    2:08 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    2-4 titles in 20 years doesn’t look that appealing…

    but the rest is good stuff



    • CATSby90.5
      2:57 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      It’s more appealing than the single title we have won in the last 18 years…



    • UK Big Board Update
      10:28 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      It only took Cal 3 years, though. Not bad.



  2. FlatTopsAndBlockedShots
    2:14 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    All those numbers are very very flattering, but of course the only number I would be disappointed with is the national championships. I would hope 11/12 final four appearances would make for more than 2/3 championships considering in this hypothetical 20 year span Duke will be taking a small step back with whoever the next coach is, also recruits will figure out Kansas is a fraud, but Shaka will have Texas on the rise.



  3. RBT
    2:17 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    If you do the math, Calipari could crush all of Coach K’s win records based on their age difference, assuming Coach K retires at some point.



  4. fauxbobknight
    3:01 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    we are setting ourselves up for disappointment by trying to pencil in the number of championships cal will bring home. remember how poorly LeBron’s “Not 1, Not 2, Not 3, Not 4, Not 5” comments were received?

    he is enjoying the palace right now but nobody wants to stick around when being a top tier program year in and year out is no longer enough to satisfy the fans or the media.



  5. ukcamel
    3:07 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    Looking 20 years into the future is pretty unreasonable speculation for just about anyone. 20 years ago Cal was at UMass.



    • Megan
      11:23 am April 30, 2016 Permalink

      Oh, c’mon. Let your mind wander, perchance to dream.



  6. Angelo
    3:07 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    Greatest KSR post of all time!!!



  7. CW
    3:11 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    I’m amazed at how you all can pull some type of negativity out of the idea of 2-3 more championships. Are you kidding me? That would be incredible. We have EIGHT all time. If Cal just got two more he would be responsible for 30% of our national championships. I know we expect to be the best but give me a break. Try to temper the expectations a bit.



  8. deltasig41
    3:35 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    All in fun. Because, realistically, Cal won’t be here even 10 more years, imo. But, even if he is here that long, at some point diminishing returns has to set in. It’d be ridiculous to assume he’d keep up the incredible success he’s had at this pace for another 20 years. But hell…Coach K keeps doing it.

    Cal can stay as long as he wants to, as far as I’m concerned. And hopefully it IS 20 more years.



  9. Loother
    3:36 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    If you can’t win a Nat Cship with the 2015 Team – not sure how you can say you’ll ever win another…



    • CW
      3:40 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      That makes zero sense.



    • deltasig41
      4:36 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      People said the same thing when the 2010 team didn’t win. Heard multiple people say “If he can’t win a title with that group, he’ll never do it.” Well…He did. And if he continues to get the level of talent he’s gotten since he arrived, he’ll win another one sooner rather than later.

      The fact is, Calipari takes more criticism for not winning enough, when he’s won more than just about everybody else for the last decade. Championships are hard to win, no matter how talented your team is. Sometimes it comes down to dumb luck. A call that goes your way here. The other team missing a wide open 3 there. That 2015 group, for example, didn’t do themselves any favors down the stretch against Wisconsin. But, regardless, if the shot clock violation is called, that game likely has a different outcome. Sometimes it is THAT simple.

      He’ll win another one. Probably more than one.



    • UK Big Board Update
      10:24 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      I love the trolls that totally act like 2012 didn’t happen.

      And for the Louisville fans: yeah, he’s won just as many titles as Rick has at UL, but he did it first, and in half the time.



    • UK Big Board Update
      10:29 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      *CORRECTION* He did it in a quarter of the time.



    • RealCatsFan
      8:45 am April 30, 2016 Permalink

      Winner, winner chicken dinner – best post on here and very well said, DeltaSig. If Heywood’s shot is an inch more on center, you can erase one of the dook wins. Besides, if the NCAA practiced equal enforcement two of their championships would have been vacated. There have been dizens of near misses that could have been championships throughout UK’s storied history. We need a dislike button in addition to the like button, because LOother is a UL fan and noted troll.



  10. mlw333
    4:04 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    Maybe in the AD position. There is no way he could maintain the pace of travel and energy he spends on the recruiting trail.



    • UK Big Board Update
      10:27 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      Here’s this idiot again…..



  11. mlw333
    4:07 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    Like it or not he’s not on Coach k aka rat face level when it comes to actual coaching. At this point he shoutd have 3 titles. But instead his number one goal is to get player to the league ASAP. I hAve no issue with that, I hope all players go and succeed and get that SECOND contract which is when the big money is earned.



    • runningunnin.454
      4:57 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

      Puh-lease; not on K’s level? You see more diversity in Cal’s game that you’ll ever see with Duke.
      For the last several yrs Duke as lived and died by the 3 pt shot.
      Their last title was only due to some circus shots by Jones; their inside game even with Okafor was non-existant.



  12. Neal Orac
    5:01 pm April 29, 2016 Permalink

    Amazing how many cynical fans UK has. Post a positive post and their first response is to spot the negative. It’s a learned behavior, mostly by their parents.

    Anyway, blog post.



  13. Bleedblueky
    9:50 am April 30, 2016 Permalink

    PLEASE BBN – WAKE UP AND SMELL THE COFFEE!
    Don’t be too greedy or so hard to please guys! If Cal would choose to stay for another twenty years, there would be guaranteed LOTS OF FUN AND EXCITEMENT watching and enjoying his special teams every year and I wouldn’t really care these winning records since if Cal is here, they would come!
    IN CAL WE TRUST 🙂



  14. leon singleton
    10:13 am April 30, 2016 Permalink

    Sooner then later the NCAA is going to nail Cal with violations and Carolina and Duke will pass us with wins. I wish Cal could run a clean program like Duke and Carolina.



    • UK Big Board Update
      3:06 pm April 30, 2016 Permalink

      *than

      leon has taken his trolling to the next level.



  15. Jiminy Crickets
    10:33 am April 30, 2016 Permalink

    No offense, but looking at that picture on this post, I’m not sure Cal Will be alive in 20 years. He looks like he is aged 20 years in the seven years he’s been here.



  16. kybigblue
    11:22 am April 30, 2016 Permalink

    If he were to stay even 10 years, each year there would be rumors of retirement instead of rumors of the NBA.



  17. Megan
    11:27 am April 30, 2016 Permalink

    We won’t have to wait 20 years. I think we win a couple more championships in the next handful of years.



  18. WillB
    1:42 pm April 30, 2016 Permalink

    2-3 Championships in 11-12 Final Fours? Thats barely 25%. I know its one out four but got to think with the talent that UK teams have had in the Calipari era, we could reasonably expect to win at least 40% of the Final Fours we make, if not 100%.



    • UK Big Board Update
      3:06 pm April 30, 2016 Permalink

      Don’t be so obvious, bro.