In order to find the true No. 1 team in the land, Sports Illustrated’s College Basketball Projection System simulates every team’s season. And then it simulates them again. And again. And again. It simulates them 10,000 times, then ranks every team accordingly.
Last year it was pretty spot on. It predicted the top four teams in adjusted efficiency (in exact order) and determined Duke and Wisconsin would have the most efficient offenses, which they did. It tabbed Kentucky as its No. 1 overall team.
This year the S.I.C.B.P.S. determined North Carolina is the top team, with the Cats falling just shy of a repeat preseason ranking at No. 3. The fancy analytical system that I’ll never understand projects Kentucky will rank fifth in offense efficiency and 12th defensively at season’s end, with a conference championship and one-seed in the tournament.
Have a look for yourself, via SI.com.
Now, would someone mind explaining to me how it equates all this stuff when Kentucky returns less than 15 percent of its scoring and 23 percent of its rebounding? I don’t get it. Seems like there aren’t a lot of numbers to go by.