If you ever read CBS sports, or if you follow
Dukie analyst Seth Davis on twitter, you’ve probably seen the popular column that he does where he buys, holds or sells the stock of certain teams. I know Davis isn’t the most popular figure around these parts, but I actually really like the idea of the articles.
When Davis writes the articles, though, he normally writes about the top-25 teams in the country, as they are generally the biggest talking points around the nation. But here on KSR, I thought it’d be cool to do the same, just with SEC teams. Here are five stocks in the SEC where I’d either buy, hold or sell:
Kentucky (11-3, AP #14): HOLD- I would advise you to buy the stock, but for the sake of this article I’m going to assume that you already bought the stock when the clamoring of a 40-0 season began. Perhaps you sold the stock after the early December losses to UNC and Baylor, but my guess is that you held on in hopes that UK’s potential is reached. Well, keep holding that stock, my friends. My best guess is that the Cats will look more like than the second half against Mississippi State than the first half going forward. I’d like to see some better play out of the twins today in their second SEC outing because their progression going forward could be the difference between a Sweet 16 season and number 9. This, coupled with the fact that UK should rack up tons of victories in the SEC is good enough reason to keep your stock.
Missouri (12-2, AP unranked): SELL- After a 12-1 start, the gamblers who bought Mizzou stock early (me), should sell because it isn’t going to get higher long-term. The Tigers were the beneficiaries of a bunch of close non-conference wins which generally spells doom later on. KenPom has Missouri ranked #58, which is far below their general perception. Their SEC season is already off to a bad start, as they lost to Georgia in overtime AT HOME. The only plus for this Mizzou team is that they only have to play UK and Florida once each. Don’t be surprised if this Missouri team falls to the bubble by season’s end.
Tennessee (10-4, AP unranked): BUY– Some tough non-conference losses caused a lot of people to sell this stock, but I’d buy it now because it’s as low as it’s going to get from here on out. All of Tennessee’s four losses were by less than 10 points, and all four were at least against decent opponents (UTEP being the most questionable, obviously). I’m not sure if they are as good as their KenPom ranking (#18), but it’s definitely a good sign that he has them ranked that high. Recently, the Vols have been fantastic, crushing a good Virginia team by 38 points at home, and then crushing a good LSU team by 18 in Baton Rouge. Even with the news of Robert Hubbs’ surgery, I still think the Vols can contend in the SEC.
Arkansas (11-3, AP unranked): HOLD, then SELL– It has begun. The annual Arkansas tease is already underway and you should sell the stock soon. The truth is, Arkansas is what they are: very good at home, mediocre at best away from Bud Walton Arena. The stock has already done pretty well if you were an early season buyer, as they had a pretty good non-conference slate that saw them pile up double-digit wins, a top-25 BPI ranking, and some NCAA consideration. The reason I’d hold for a bit longer is because their next two games are a hosting of Florida and Kentucky where we have every reason to believe that Arkansas will play well and increase national perception. After that, though, sell sell sell. The Hogs go on the road for five of their next eight games after the UK game where the annual Arkansas slide will commence.
Alabama (7-7, AP unranked): BUY– No teams outside of maybe Kentucky and Florida, played a tougher non-conference schedule in the SEC than Alabama. Oklahoma (neutral), Duke (neutral), Drexel (neutral), South Florida (away), Wichita State (home), Xavier (home), and UCLA (away) were the teams seven losses, and all seven were competitive, close games (all under 10 points). Is it bad luck, or is this team just really bad in close games? Probably a little of both, but I lean towards the former. The remaining schedule allows for them to get some strong wins as they have six games against Kentucky, Florida, Missouri and Tennessee. I think the tide will turn a bit for Bama in SEC play (pun intended).