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NBA could end one-and-done rule by 2020 Draft

This morning, the NCAA’s Commission on College Basketball called for the NBA to abolish the one-and-done rule and allow high school seniors to go directly to the NBA. Adrian Wojnarowski is reporting the NBA and Players Association plan to do just that, with change coming as early as the 2020 Draft.

The first recruiting class this could impact would be the 2020 class, making the 2019 class even more important. Yet another reason why John Calipari’s been a madman on the recruiting front, right? In addition to pushing some 2019 players to reclassify to 2018 (Ashton Hagans, Tyrese Maxey), Cal has reclaimed his role as head recruiter, putting in the legwork with James Wiseman, Vernon Carey, Scottie Lewis, Bryan Antoine, Matthew Hurt, etc.

So, what will happen to the players who aren’t elite once the one-and-done rule ends? The NBA has started to expand its G-League, which could end up as a farm system, a concept Calipari spoke out against in March.

“If you send high school kids to the D-League, how many of them will make the NBA? Give me a number. Five percent? You know that’s too high. Probably two or three percent. What do we do with the ones that don’t make it? Tell me.”

An expanded G-League seems inevitable, so Calipari met with the Players Association last week to encourage them to establish a combine for high school juniors to better educate them on who should make the jump to the pros and who should go to school. That’s a noble move by Cal, but with the prospect of finally being able to straight to the league ahead of them, several players will go regardless of whether or not they’re ready.

In the end, you better hope the NBA ends the one-and-done rule because the NCAA’s alternatives are horrible. This morning, the committee recommended reinstating freshmen ineligibility or locking the scholarships so that if a player does go pro after one year, the school can’t use it for three or four years, which are both terrible ideas and would lead to a mass exodus of talent to the G-League or overseas. If the one-and-done rule goes, the best of the best would go straight to the league but you would hopefully see the next tier of talent in college; if the one-and-done rule stays and the NCAA adopts freshmen ineligibility or locks the scholarships, any player with any hopes of a legit NBA career would run for the hills, and who could blame them?

If Woj’s report is correct, the end of the one-and-done era is near; for now, take heart that Calipari is doing everything he can to prepare for it.


Article written by Mrs. Tyler Thompson

No, I will not make you a sandwich, but you can follow me on Twitter @MrsTylerKSR or email me.

47 Comments for NBA could end one-and-done rule by 2020 Draft

  1. UKinIN
    10:14 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    How is the NCAA going to lock players into a 3-4 year commitment? Are they going to demand that schools build walls to keep players prisoners? Only the professional leagues have the ability to restrict player access. (Which they should.). The NCAA would likely punish a school with scholarship reductions if a player left without fulfilling the NCAA’s 3-4 year requirement. We all knew the NCAA would propose punishments over solutions that benefited the people involved with the sport.

    • Han
      11:22 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Punishing the school is exactly what it does. It says that if you recruit a kid you know is leaving early, you suffer. Of course, it also says that if you recruit a kid, he has a fantastic year, and then he wants to begin his career, then the team that helped him succeed suffers.

      You’d don’t penalize a computer science department because a student drops out to be an entrapeneur, so you shouldn’t penalize college basketball programs for the same thing.

  2. Biglaw Dawgin'
    10:16 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    I don’t know why the NBA would eliminate the one-and-done rule since it’s in their favor to see the kids play a year and, ultimately, in 90% of the kids favor since most 5-star kids figure out in their freshman year that they actually need another year or two.

    • Biglaw Dawgin'
      10:20 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

      With that said, the new rule won’t affect Kentucky. It may even help actually. UK will still be pulling in the top class of the recruits that don’t go pro. And with these classes, the kids may even stick around for two or three years. So, yeah, maybe no more Anthony Davis’s come through, but a team of five senior 4-star players would be pretty dadgum good too.

  3. njCat
    10:23 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Love it. Make freshmen ineligible. That will stir things up.

    Two best recommendations:
    – end one and done, and
    – allow players to return if not drafted

  4. Truman Claytor
    10:27 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    The idea would be similar to baseball, where if a kid goes to college to play baseball, he isn’t eligible for the draft until he completes his 3rd year, ot football which does the amae (minus straight feom HS). Not sure who governs these rules, MLB/NFL or NCAA. Either way, it will make recruiting a nightmare..

    • TomEcaster
      10:34 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

      The leagues make those rules on that. The NCAA can’t make someone stay. And the NBA wouldn’t do that if they are letting high school kids in already

    • BallDontLie
      3:08 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Thats only the case in baseball when a player is drafted out of high school and instead decides to go to college and play. But kids can be drafted out of high school and go pro. An important distinction nobody seems to bother to mention when bringing up the baseball rule.

  5. ukbradstith
    10:30 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Can’t understand why the NBA would lower their age limit. The league was getting really terrible when so many high schoolers were entering the league, which is why they made the rule in the first place. Now it’s back to as good as it’s ever been. It seems the players would want the young guys kept out as long as possible too. If anything I think the age limit should be 20.

    • az1006
      10:47 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Before the rule was instituted, the G-League didn’t exist. That’s the difference. Now, these kids that go straight from high school and get picked up that maybe aren’t quite ready to contribute can spend a couple of years in the G-League and then move up the ladder. They get to get paid to play, and get coached by NBA staffs. Good decision for a lot of kids.

      As for the rest of it…This won’t impact Kentucky much. Maybe 10-12 kids go straight to the NBA out of high school. WE’ll stil get the second tier of talent. I think it’s best for everybody.

  6. ukbradstith
    10:31 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    And requiring players to stay 3-4 years is impossible, and I am dumber for having heard that suggestion.

    • Basteballer
      2:04 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      It doesn’t require them to stay 3-4 years. It punishes the school by locking the scholarship if they leave early.

  7. lexslamman
    10:34 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    I like the ideas of freshman ineligibility and requiring kids to stay in through their junior season, but I like the idea of ending athletic scholarships even better. I would like to see even stricter rules delineating the amateur-professional divide moving forward, including taking the professionals back out of the international game, especially in the Olympics.

    • krautdog
      10:50 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

      This is all getting very nasty!

    • BBNDan7
      10:52 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Please tell me this was sarcasm. Please.

    • lexslamman
      11:33 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

      The last time I looked, colleges and universities were meant to be institutions of research and education. It’s unseemly to give out scholarships based on athletic skill.

      And the idea of professionals playing in the Olympics distorts team sports further towards superpowers/continental countries like Russia, China and the U.S. The “Dream Team” was cool back in 1992 and 1996, but now it’s ridiculous and out of hand.

      Kids who want to play a sport representing a college or university should be required to be serious degree-seeking students of said college or university, not tourists looking for temporary lodging before they go to the NBA.

    • BBNDan7
      5:47 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Oh it wasn’t, you’re just that dumb

    • DelrayCat
      12:01 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Lex is making entirely too much sense for this board!
      However, it ain’t gonna happen.

    • BBNDan7
      5:48 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      No, no he’s not. You go to school, any school, to make a living in your field. Sports are no different. Ignorance

    • Basteballer
      2:07 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Are you instituting employment rules for all students or just those who happen to be athletes? Your suggestion is “unseemly” and ignorant. I don’t mean that as an insult; just a statement of fact.

  8. Realme
    10:49 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Even if the NBA changed THEIR one and done rule to allow players to go straight in, that doesn’t mean there won’t be lots of players who would play a year in college, prove themselves, and enter the draft after a year of college. You can’t force someone to stay in school.

  9. Wade
    10:58 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    The players from states can go straight to nba or uk they wont have to stay home that hurts colleges. KEntucky the state has prolly never had a one and doner so we don’t have to worry about losing instate talent we’re gonna eat. But say Oklahoma would have never got tre young an Oklahoma product. Off to nba he would of went. shooters league hes a nba player. There would have been no tracker on the bottom of Espn on everyone’s tv, no history, drama. Ohlahoma loses not us , and others will lose on big talent. we’re gonna eat. Without those players around we will still get the best it’s hurting others with local talent who want to stay home.To make NCAA great you need these guys to compete against the best 17-23 year olds.even 5 leave a year it affects the college game where I believe it’s the purest. We have had only wall and Davis I believe who could have gone straight to nba. But that was cals first yr and needed him and ad is a champ so it affects the game. Do you think wall and Davis would succeed like they do wo cal. Even the great pat riley says all cals players come in ready. I think it’s fair to let a kid try and go and give him a draft setup with drills and competition. I believe you declare weigh options and if you sign with a agent your gone. Aau and agents , shoe company’s cause the problems so less contact. If you don’t get drafted I say you lose your scholarship. And can pay your own way since you don’t appreciate a free education and want more. Maybe a stipend and insurance is enough. When you leave it affects our game if you don’t get picked up and are trying overseas and can’t make it go to junior college or lavar balls league idk or beg to come back if you didn’t get your spot taken. Coaches shouldn’t have to wait for kids who don’t want to be there. If your the 60th pick and want to leave like pj go on I like the kid but I like blue and white more. If he comes back I love him just the same if he leaves. I know it’s his dream but it’s a little souring when u want to go no matter what so coach should push him out and offer others.

  10. Wade
    11:02 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    If you have to stay at school 3 years the euroleague will be new nba guarantee.

  11. ScratchtheMascot
    11:11 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    I would be in favor of requiring a degree to play in the NBA. Otherwise, college has nothing to do with playing professionally. If a player makes the decision to go to a college and represent their educational institution, they should be made to complete a 4 year degree before moving on to becoming a pro. If they skip college and don’t get a degree, the G-league should be the highest they can land immediately after high school and then it would take them longer than 4 years to make it to the league. A lot of other professions require a degree to enter, maybe the NBA should require one as well.

    • BallDontLie
      12:25 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      So dense, that logic you just tried to use.

    • ScratchtheMascot
      12:36 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      A university should not be a stepping stone to a sports career unless you get a degree. College basketball has nothing to do with the NBA. Just like any other program, you should have to finish it before you see the rewards. If they choose to not go to college, then they go to the G-league and work their way up. If they go to college, they go for 4 years and get a degree and then move on to the NBA.

    • BallDontLie
      12:41 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      You just repeated what you already said, i am just saying that its dense, the logic you are using.

    • ScratchtheMascot
      1:18 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Well I was trying to make it a little less dense. I’m not sure what that even means, really. Oh well. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

    • BallDontLie
      1:41 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      If a company requires a degree for a job its either because they need a specific education for that job or the company is trying to set a way to differentiate between the entire population of candidates. The NBA doesnt have a large enough pool of employees to choose from because obviously a percantage of 1 percent of the world’s population can play in the nba. so requiring a 4 year degree doesnt serve either purpose. The degree has nothing to do with being able to play basketball and they dont need to differentiate the potential employees because their skill set does that already.

    • runningunnin.454
      2:04 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      True or False; did Julius Erving hold a doctorate?
      Dr J revolutionized the game.

    • Basteballer
      2:11 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      I keep being amazed at the ignorance of people who think like this. It’s so ludicrous that I can’t really imagine how they reached the conclusion that they should go public with it.

    • ScratchtheMascot
      2:16 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      Well it’s just a difference of opinion. I don’t think you need to take it that far, really. It’s incentive to finish college. If you enter college, you have to stay for 4 years. If you don’t, you have to start off in the G-league. I don’t think that’s SO ludicrous. The point of college is to get an education. That’s ensuring that they aren’t wasting anyone’s time at college including their own, and they are developed enough to enter the NBA. Either route they take, they probably aren’t ready at 18.

    11:33 am April 25, 2018 Permalink

    How about this “one and done”? A one and done for the idiots running the NCAA.

  13. check
    12:01 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Let’s consider Calipari for a second. If the one and done rule is abolished, he will be recruiting lesser talent. Now, granted that every other coach will be doing the same, but now it may take the four years to maybe produce NBA talent. Will Coach Cal still have that motivation? His main drive is making NBA players. A rule change stifles his purpose. I don’t believe he will be so thrilled to stay. Also, he’s stated that Kentucky eats first. That’s true. So we could be looking at teams with more veterans in a few years regardless of who’s coaching. I am pro-Cal, but I understand if he wants to move on. Because as far as coaches go, Kentucky eats first.

  14. timer2
    12:16 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Love the idea of making freshmen ineligible for competition. College basketball would be just fine (football too). It’s time for universities to stop allowing the NBA, shoe companies, and TV networks to make the rules.

    • Basteballer
      2:12 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

      I think you left the “Old” off your screen name. This is an idea without merit and borne of a different generation.

  15. JHannibalSmith
    12:32 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    If they raise the G-League salaries significantly I worry that most of the top 100 would skip college & choose to develop their games at that level, making decent money & not having to go to class. Division 1 basketball would then look like the 16th region, IMO. I’ve always thought something like Larry Bird’s draft situation could work. He was property of the Celtics while he played his SR year at ISU. Make every college player eligible for the draft & allow teams to draft underclassmen who would join the team once they turn 21 or complete 2-3 years of college, or whatever requirements they settle on. Upon being drafted kids could get their signing bonus or have it put into an account they can access once their college/eligibility obligations are fulfilled. For example, say the Hawks draft Knox. He comes back to play his SO & JR seasons as property of Atlanta & would join them once he’s eligible. It protects against injury concerns bc they would get their signing bonus regardless. And, there could be other insurance policies to also protect them from lost earnings if they were to suffer a career ending injury prior to becoming eligible. Whatever they do they HAVE to figure out a way to keep the top talent in college basketball somehow or it will die a very swift death.

  16. Aar
    12:35 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    All five star and some four star players will go into whatever feeder system emerges upon abolition of the NBA’s age limit. The NCAA will need to relax their amateurism rules to keep a flow of that level of talent into member schools.

    I suspect their definition of amateur will be defined as a player that has never dressed for a top level pro game – meaning the NBA in the US and it’s international equivalents. Anything more restrictive will see the talent of NCAA D1 basketball players drop to a point at which shoe companies are no longer willing to pay much.

    However, college players will get to be upperclassmen and the quality of college play will climb. I’m not so certain that’s a bad thing for fans, colleges, etc. The victims will be players who take an early call up to a top league team on a minimum contract for only a few games. Though it will never happen, those call up offers should come with a college scholarship. It would reduce the incentive for owners to call up marginal prospects and keep it real for those marginal players.

  17. Ukfan1010
    12:36 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Can I go ahead and coin the term, two and through??

  18. kentuckyjoe
    12:42 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Players should be able to go to the Bigs whenever they so choose. They also should be allowed to return to college and play as an amateur if they so choose. Neither the pros or colleges should restrict eligibility. If you’re good enough you can play in the pros. If you’re smart enough you can go to college. And if you’re willing to be an amateur, regardless of previous professionalism, then you can play college ball. My two cents.

  19. Headhurts
    12:48 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    One thing is for sure, no matter how this shakes out, Cal will be one step ahead of the curve. In Cal I trust.

  20. lex cath
    12:56 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    I’m all in favor of a rule change, get rid of the one and done forever

  21. SuperTroy18
    1:25 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    No matter what happens: “Kentucky eats first.”

  22. Basteballer
    2:15 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    If the NCAA keeps trying to screw its members like this, Cal’s right… the Power 5 will pull out and create the NCAA Replacement League.

    I kinda think that’s coming anyway. But they’re trying to hurry it along.

  23. recliner coach
    10:31 pm April 25, 2018 Permalink

    Watching Karl Anthony make 3’s in the playoffs reminds me Of a quote by a former wildcat that said he wasn’t allowed to do that at UK. Think Trey Lyles had the same rule. Seems to me it would be a much greater coaching accomplishment winning by knowing ur players strengths and adjusting offense accordingly rather than winning by making players play a position/style where they are not comfortable thus not realizing there greatest potential. Molding the offense around ur players rather than trying to force a square into a round hole.

  24. Arch Stanton
    5:27 am April 26, 2018 Permalink

    We will still be getting the best of what’s left over and those guys will still be trying to make the jump after one year, so I don’t know how this changes anything for us.

  25. Fitz
    7:17 am April 28, 2018 Permalink

    Love to see the onendone be done for once. Let em go pro and never have a chance to come back. Maybe we will finally have some stability in college basketball., maybe without some outstanding players, but something we can get our arms around. It’s like a circus now.