With one week left until the SEC Tournament, Kentucky’s seed is still very much up in the air. Arkansas’ win over Auburn last night threw a wrench into Kentucky’s path to the double bye to the point that we won’t know for sure whether the Cats will be a three, four, or five-seed until Saturday.
For Kentucky to secure the double-bye, they’re either going to have to win out or get a little help from Missouri.
First thing’s first: Beat Ole Miss
Kentucky is currently a 9.5-point favorite vs. Ole Miss tonight. With a win, they would move to 10-7, placing them in a three-way tie for third with Florida and Arkansas. Using SEC tiebreakers, Florida would get the three seed (2-0 vs. UK & Ark.), leaving Arkansas and Kentucky tied with matching 1-1 records between the three teams. If the season was over tomorrow, Kentucky would get the four-seed because they beat Arkansas last week, but it doesn’t, which makes Saturday so important.
Here are the scenarios:
If Kentucky goes 2-0 = Three-seed
If the Cats take care of business tonight vs. Ole Miss and pull off a win vs. Florida in Gainesville, they will play the late game Friday night with a potential rematch with two-seed Tennessee looming in the semifinals.
If Kentucky goes 1-1 (beats Ole Miss, loses to Florida) and Missouri beats Arkansas = Four-seed
If Missouri beats Arkansas, they would enter a three-way tie with Kentucky and the Razorbacks for fourth. Kentucky would get the four-seed due to tiebreakers (UK 2-1, Missouri 2-2, Arkansas 1-2) and play Friday afternoon around 3 p.m. ET.
If Kentucky goes 1-1 (beats Ole Miss, loses to Florida) and Arkansas beats Missouri = Five-seed
If Arkansas knocks off Missouri in Columbia and Kentucky loses to Florida, the Razorbacks would jump the Cats in the standings, meaning Kentucky would play on Thursday afternoon at 3 p.m. ET.
If Kentucky goes 0-2 = Chaos
I can’t even go there. Don’t make me go there, Kentucky.
Missouri hosts Arkansas Saturday night at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Can I get a “GO TIGERS”?