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Kentucky Jumps to a 53% Favorite

Via FiveThirtyEight.com

Via FiveThirtyEight.com

Via FiveThirtyEight.com

It’s that time of the week once again. Time to check in with the statistical models from around the web and see if they like the Cats in their upcoming games. First up is Five Thirty Eight which has vaulted Kentucky from 41% to 53% as fewer teams are left in the field. Nate Silver’s model really likes Kentucky and Duke to meet in the Championship as both teams are over 65% favorites to win their Final Four match-ups.

The Power Rank has updated their model as well but they still place UK a bit lower. They have the Cats advancing to the National Championship game 64.7% of the time and a chance at winning the title of 42.3%. That’s a jump of almost 5 percentage points since we took a peak at the numbers last week.

The numbers all place Kentucky as a pretty heavy favorite to win the championship. But as Notre Dame proved, numbers don’t mean much when the ball is up in the air. Still, it gives me some stress relief to see models pick the Cats to go all the way.

Article written by Andrew Cassady

Follow me @ACassady_KSR

2 Comments for Kentucky Jumps to a 532.000000avorite



  1. madarchitect
    10:58 pm March 31, 2015 Permalink


  2. ukjaybrat
    9:06 am April 1, 2015 Permalink

    53 + 22 + 19 + 7 = 101%
    damn rounding errors…