It’s crazy to think a team that could potentially win the conference outright on Saturday could also fall to the fifth seed in the tournament, but that’s where Kentucky is right now.
The key to avoiding a plummet to the tourney’s fifth seed is pretty simple: beat LSU in Rupp Arena. Do that, and the Cats are either the No. 1 or 2 seed, depending on what Texas A&M does in its home game with Vanderbilt.
But if Kentucky were to lose to LSU, there is an outside chance it would have to play an additional game in Nashville. It sounds absurd, but it’s not out of the realm of possibility.
Here’s how it can happen:
— Texas A&M loses to Vanderbilt
— Kentucky loses to LSU
— South Carolina beats Georgia tonight and Arkansas on Saturday
That would create a five-way tie in the conference with a 12-6 record for all teams. In that case, the SEC would seed based on the winning percentage among the tied teams. Kentucky would hold a 2-4 record in the group, putting it in a tie with A&M behind the other three. A&M would then hold that tiebreaker by way of head-to-head record.
The top five seeds would look like this:
1. South Carolina
4. Texas A&M
Again, the easiest way to avoid this nightmare of a situation is to handle the business at home against LSU. But drop that one and then we start scoreboard watching.