It’s been one of the stranger UK/UofL preview weeks around here because this game’s one of the hardest to predict in recent memory. Even with the murky waters, we can narrow it down to four scenarios, which I’ve broken down for you below:
1. UK wins in a blowout
In my opinion, this is the least likely scenario on Saturday. Even if Kentucky plays very well, I just don’t see them running away from the Cards.
2. UK wins in a close game
The fact that this game is going down in Rupp gives the Cats a slight advantage, and I have them winning by about five points. The crowd will be a huge factor, especially for a young and impressionable team like Kentucky. All of UK’s losses have happened outside Rupp this year–could it be the crowd that saves them against Louisville?
3. UofL wins in a close game
Of course, the Cards are athletic and experienced, which could be the deciding factor if Kentucky falls out of sync like they have so many times this season. Julius Randle shrank away from the competition in the first half against Michigan State, against Baylor, and in Chapel Hill. Will he do the same against Montrezl Harrell or will he follow in the footsteps of DeMarcus Cousins, Josh Harrellson, and Anthony Davis, UK greats who have stepped up against the Cards?
4. UofL wins in a blowout
The Cats are getting better, but they’re still very inconsistent. However, all of their losses have been close, and at home, it’s hard to envision a Cardinal blowout. Also, the basketball gods aren’t that cruel. Are they?
Which scenario do you see playing out on Saturday?