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ESPN says Kentucky will be the 2nd most successful team over the next three seasons

Cal Camp

ESPN Insider has a fun little series going on right now called the Future Power Rankings, in which a panel of analysts predict what will happen in the sport over the next three years. The panel includes Paul Biancardi, Jay Bilas, Fran Fraschilla, John Gasaway, Jeff Goodman, Seth Greenberg, Andy Katz and Miles Simon, and today’s topic is which teams will have the most success over the next three seasons (2013-2014, 2014-2015, and 2015-2016). They ranked each team on a 1-10 scale in five different categories: coaching (25%), current talent (25%), recruiting (25%), program power (15%) and stability (10%). How did Kentucky fare? They came in at #2, behind Duke:

1. Duke (95.19)

2. Kentucky (94.88)

(UK’s section is behind a paywall, so I’ll just give you a taste of it as to not piss off the Worldwide Leader.)

Screen shot 2013-09-25 at 11.00.40 AM

The bar graphs reflect the average rating given by the voters for each category. Category averages are weighted by importance to generate overall score.

Why they’re here: The pairing of John Calipari and the support in Lexington, Ky., both from the fan base and the administration, is a high-powered combination — and it has helped produce a current roster that ranked No. 1 in the talent category of these rankings. It’s also no shock that Calipari checked in first in the recruiting category. Two issues kept UK from edging Duke for the No. 1 overall spot: Calipari ranked sixth in the coaching category, while Krzyzewski tied for first, and the Wildcats ranked a little lower in stability, largely due to the regular turnover caused by players leaving early for the NBA. The past two seasons have shown us how relying on young talent can produce vastly different outcomes. –Jeff Goodman

3. Kansas (94.31)

4. Louisville (93.44)

5. Florida (92.31)

Interestingly, Seth Greenberg thinks there’s a chance that James Young sticks around another year, which is just too exciting of a prospect to think about for too long.

If you’re an Insider, check out the full list here:

[CBB Future Power Rankings: Ranking the 25 teams most likely to have success over next three seasons]

Article written by Mrs. Tyler Thompson

No, I will not make you a sandwich, but you can follow me on Twitter @MrsTylerKSR or email me.

23 Comments for ESPN says Kentucky will be the 2nd most successful team over the next three seasons



  1. tom
    1:04 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    Taking off my blue colored glasses, I think it’s a pretty fair assessment…especially the stability factor.



  2. Bobbysueflay
    1:14 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    Shocked try didn’t put unc up there as much as they kiss their a$$



  3. Bobbysueflay
    1:14 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    They



  4. Deepblue
    1:21 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    Louisville winning the title last year with the best team they’ll ever have under Rick and in the weakest year of college basketball possibly ever has led to every journalist in the sport losing their minds. UL will under-perform this year possibly making an elite 8 but more likely a sweet 16 and then the wheels are coming off next year. The fact that they are predicted 3rd….among ALL teams….for the next 3 years….is absurd beyond measure. How many of the “experts” picking this mess would be willing to place a bet down on UL finishing in the top 3 of the AP in 2014-2015, and 2015-2016? ***SPOILER ALERT*** None.



  5. Mack
    1:24 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    Again, these guys are attempting to create traffic to their sites via the BBN by downing the CATS. Several stories recently and most likely more to come.



  6. Mark
    1:30 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    Duke over us? I don’t know, the only season they might be better than us will be next season, if they get Okafor and Jones. Our 2015 class looks like another monster coming up, plus Willis, Hawkins, Ulis, and maybe Booker and Blackmon Jr., if they come here, might still be around for a sophomore season. 2015 might be the first real “monster class + loads of experience” team that Cal has had.



  7. SeaCat
    1:31 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    How old is Coach K and when will he retire?



  8. SeaCat
    1:37 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    Tyler, don’t you think James should wear an
    athletic supporter during practice? I am afraid
    he will get hurt.



  9. Micah
    1:43 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    James Young is balls out for UK



  10. cracka
    1:43 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    #4 i hear ya, but they are picked 4th on this list, not 3rd

    #6 if we’re not getting a bunch of top 10 recruits in 2014, ya gotta think a few of them will be back for 2015 … willis, hawkins, ulis and floreal are 4 year players



  11. The Truth
    1:51 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    If anyone actually takes the time to read the ESPN article, it is a fair accessment. The author gets an average from ratings in 5 categories. UK ranks marginally higher than Duke in three of the categories (current talent, recruiting, and program power). Duke ranks higher than UK in coaching and stablity. Coach K is a better x’s and o’s coach then Coach Cal. With equal talent, Coach K would outcoach Cal. However, Coach Cal is a significantly better recruiter, which makes up for the moderate coaching advantage Duke has. Duke has been a much more stable program during Coach K’s tenure. Again, I think the accessment was fair.



  12. What's an accessment?
    2:06 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    Assessment is probably what you meant.



  13. bbr
    2:11 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    I understand where folks are coming from in defending the two categories that dUKe ranks higher, but assuming that is accurate, simply compiling those categories into a prediction has no merit at all. It makes the assumption that all five categories have the same eight in the outcome called success. Secondly, “program power is a pretty nebulous term and I think a strong argument could be made that UK’s program wields a larger margin in this category. For example, get outside of the little circle around dUKe and the staff of ESPN for the most part and no one likes dUKe. Their fans do not travel so an away game is a problem for them (if they ever played an away game in the first two rounds of the tourney this would come in to play even then).
    Secondly, I would definitely argue that coach krybaby is significantly better at coaching than Cal. For years the man had 6 to 10 McD AA’s and produced mediocre results. His coaching REQUIRES a player to stick around for four years before they get it right – can you say Austin Rivers? Now that he is not pulling in quite the number of AA’s he is not doing quite as well (thank you Cal). I look for him to continue to slip. On Jones and Okafor – next year’s recruiting class is a lot like last year’s. the talent level overall is nowhere near this year’s. While Jones and Okafor may be two of the top players they would not have been in the top 10, maybe not the top 15 of this year’s class.



  14. bbr
    2:13 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    *weight not eight



  15. Bobbysueflay
    2:32 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    13. So if next years class is so bad and we are not getting many top players are you trying to say next year will be a repeat of 2012?



  16. RahRah
    3:07 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    I refuse to get caught up in the excitement of James Young (or any of the other star players) coming back for another year. I was destroyed when MKG left after promising to come back. lol Not falling for it again. If we win the championship, we lose at least 7.



  17. Allen
    3:07 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    I noticed that our score in this survey is ironically similiar to the score of the 1978 NCAA title game. UK 94 Duke 88. Oh the irony.



  18. cmart0907
    3:13 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    James Young already said he is a 1 and Done. He wants to take care of his Grandma.



  19. bbr
    4:23 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    “So if next years class is so bad and we are not getting many top players are you trying to say next year will be a repeat of 2012?”
    I don’t think it will be a repeat of 2012-13, but it could be a “down year” for us. I believe last year was an anomaly becasue not only did we have to try and rebuild after losing so many players with a class that was weaker, but there were serious chemistry issues with that team and we lost our only real elite player to an injury. That combination, not just the weaker recruiting class is what hurt us. Noel doesn’t go down and we are an NCAA team. The attitude and chemistry problems and the short bench hurt us more than the weaker recruiting class. I don’t think we will see that combination again.
    In addition there are a lot of other variables that are impossible to predict, such as who will leave and who will stay (not just for UK, but for all teams). I do beleive that next year will be another year that favors xperienced teams like last year did.



  20. bbr
    4:27 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    “13. So if next years class is so bad and we are not getting many top players are you trying to say next year will be a repeat of 2012?”
    Also, who said we are not getting many top players next year? I think that is far from being decided. My point is that like last year, the top players aren’t as good as the top players in other classes, like this year’s and the class with Davis and Kidd-Gilchrist (and the class in two years, which appears as if it might be loaded again). Tyus Jones is the number 1 or number 2 ranked point guard in next year’s class. From everything I have seen he is nowhere near the level of point guard that Wall or Harrison, or Knight are\were.



  21. Michael
    6:24 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    UK got a 9.9 for recruiting, what the hell requires a 10?



  22. Jen
    6:28 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    All of you who are pretending to be fair and objective and conceding that Coach K is better than Coach Cal as a bench coach are pitiful. Where’s your proof? We’re talking about something so impossible to measure it might as well be subjective, yet you want to pretend that you’re fair because you regurgitate conventional wisdom. Spouting what everyone else is spouting is what it takes to be considered serious and objective. It’s a joke. Where was Coach K’s genius when he burned all of his time-outs in the 1998 Elite Eight? Perhaps he hid it behind Kentucky’s 1998 national championship banner?



  23. bigcatstanding
    7:51 pm September 25, 2013 Permalink

    So it looks like it comes down to the one and done again, at least that’s what it looks like stability isn’t that part of keeping your players together. Basically Kentucky will bring home the championships, just with different players lol. Its always nice to be ranked behind Dook, the team that gets bounced early from the tournament early every year after having another one seed given to them. BBN RULES. ILF#9