Jeff Sagarin is a man with a lot of time on his hands and a lot more knowledge of mathematics and statistics than you or me. Sagarin is known for developing a method for ranking and rating teams in several sports, which has been a feature in USA Today since 1985, and used by the NCAA Tournament selection committee since 1984. So he knows what he is doing, apparently.
Let’s hope he is wrong on this one…
Sagarin currently ranks Louisville first in his predictor rankings, a method of determining the favorite among any two given teams. Kentucky currently ranks much lower at 24th in his predictor rankings, giving Louisville the early edge for the December 26th game.
If his current projection is accurate, Louisville will win the game by 5.39 points.
But what does he really know? Because that’s stupid. How can a team score .39 points? I’m not buying it.