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BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: 3-Horse Race Not Favoring Kentucky

Randy Sartin | USA Today

Randy Sartin | USA Today

For the second straight season, it looks like the race to the SEC title is going to be down to 3 teams.  Last year it was Kentucky, LSU, and Tennessee.  This year, the Tigers and Wildcats are in it again but Auburn has replaced the Vols.  It is hard to see any other SEC team making a run for the title.  Now that we are over halfway through the league season, every game is significant if you want to win the conference title.  Plus, we now have a pretty good sense of the haves and have nots in the league.  If you see Vanderbilt, Ole Miss, Georgia, or Missouri on the schedule, you are marking that down as a win.  Texas A&M has probably outperformed it’s talents so far and would be considered a big disappointment if you lost to them.  All other games are probably tricky.

So of the 3 teams in the running, who has the easiest schedule remaining?  Take a look:

HOME: Ole Miss, Florida, Auburn, Tennessee
ROAD: Vanderbilt, LSU, Texas A&M, Florida
Games Against Top Seven: 5
Games Against Bottom Seven: 3

HOME: Missouri, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Georgia
ROAD: Alabama, South Carolina, Florida, Arkansas
Games Against Top Seven: 3
Games Against Bottom Seven: 5

HOME: Alabama, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Texas A&M
ROAD: Missouri, Georgia, Kentucky, Tennessee
Games Against Top Seven: 3
Games Against Bottom Seven: 5

So I think it isn’t hard to conclude that Kentucky has the hardest road to the title.  Not only do they have to play both LSU and Auburn still, while the Tigers and Tigers have already finished their matchup, but UK still holds 2 more games with Florida as well.  Those are 4 really tough games.  LSU has 4 tricky road games still to go plus the Kentucky game but they probably will not be an underdog in any remaining game.  Auburn gets a redemption shot at Alabama at home and their road slate looks doable outside of Lexington.

Obviously the remaining games between UK-LSU and UK-Auburn will be the most significant matchups remaining but Kentucky doesn’t have many gimmes left.  All of the sudden Vanderbilt isn’t a complete layup.  Ole Miss has been playing better.  A&M is on the road.

How many wins will it take to get to the league crown?  Last year it was 16.  While I don’t think it will get there this year I wouldn’t be shocked by a 15-3 league record winning it and I would think a minimum of 14-4 is necessary.  Can the Cats go 6-2 down the stretch and get there?

Article written by Bryan the Intern

1 Comment for BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: 3-Horse Race Not Favoring Kentucky

  1. SuperTroy18
    12:25 pm February 10, 2020 Permalink

    Outside of the game in Baton Rouge, Cats should win out. And they should even give LSU the toughest game they can imagine. Cats COULD definitely win out if they play up to their potential. That would mean Auburn gets at least one more loss, and I think LSU stumbles a bit down the stretch. That loss to Vandy might have been the start of making this thing a two-horse race hopefully.