Because it doesn’t get old.
Earlier this morning, Louisville advocate Mark Blankenbaker (of CatsandCards.com) posted an exhaustive look at the 2012 Governor’s Cup, taking past years’ results, as well as current offensive/defensive matchups, into account. The examination was, um, extremely thorough, clocking in at almost 9,000 words. At ~300 words per your average double-spaced page, that’s nearly thirty pages of football analysis. Or something like that. I can’t math. It’s a lot. So, if you’ve got a couple weeks to spare and love stats, it’s worth checking out.
The juicy bits, though? Less exciting. Not surprisingly, he picked the Cards. Specifically:
Simply put, I think this Kentucky team has a roster that could be something special down the road. I just think they are 1-2 years away from really showcasing that potential throughout an entire season.
That said, Louisville is the better team in 2012. The Cards are light at one position compared to Kentucky: Tight End. And while that position surely will impact the game, it won’t turn the tables. The game is at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium and Charlie Strong has made winning at home a point of emphasis this off-season. This group of Wildcats seems to have a good attitude and is forming its foundation, but I can’t pick Kentucky here:
Louisville 30-Kentucky 13
Though he picked the wrong team, the analysis is abundantly thorough (it would take at least two trips to the bathroom to finish it all) and largely fair. Blankenbaker highlights Kentucky’s future prospects, admitting that although the Cards are the favorites this year, the Wildcats have a lot to look forward to under sophomore Max Smith and a couple other talented freshmen QBs. It could just be salve on his stinging prognostication, but he’s probably right: however Kentucky fares this season, the next couple will likely be better.
Blankenbaker’s spread is a little out of hand at three scores, though, as many are expecting this to be a closer game. Not Phil Steele has even predicted a 21-20 Kentucky upset (and Not Not Phil Steele only has the Cards by a touchdown). But as we inch ever closer to this weekend’s Cup, every bit of analysis is worth knowing, whether it’s 9,000 words or 140 characters.
Now, back to what’s important: T minus 48 hours to Louisville Hate Day. It’s a Festivus miracle.