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The Wizards would be double-digits favorites

A lot has been made of the UK vs. an NBA team debate, and has finally put that debate to rest with whatever technology it uses to generate its score predictions. The sports forecasting website simulated the game 50,000 times and determined that Washington would win 70.2% of the time if playing on no rest in Rupp Arena.

The website gives Kentucky the advantage in two key matchups: Doron Lamb vs. Jordan Crawford and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist vs. Chris Singleton, while Wall, Booker, and Nene hold the edge over Teague, Jones, and Davis due to experience.

You can the entire breakdown here.

I say we skip this simulating rubbish and put the two teams against each other in an exhibition game for charity. All of the proceeds can go to Washington getting better at basketball.

Article written by Drew Franklin

I can recite every line from Forrest Gump, blindfolded. Follow me on Twitter: @DrewFranklinKSR

22 Comments for The Wizards would be double-digits favorites

  1. Joe big blue
    10:37 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    This will never happen. No NBA would risk losing to a college team on a bad night.

  2. CHIcatGO
    10:39 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    That’s all good except Nene hardly plays this season because of injuries and especially misses on those consecutive games…The matchup against his backup favors us too.

  3. mudcreekmark
    10:45 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    Come on people, we cannot beat an NBA team. This team couldn’t compete with the ’96 team. That team had too much experience. If the 2012 team stayed together for 4 years, then we’d have an arguement.

  4. anthonyeppsdrivingschool
    10:46 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    I dont care about the matchup against the Wizards. I want to know what the probability would be against the Bobcats. The worst team in the NBA.

  5. Wu Tang Financial
    10:51 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    #3 I think this team compares with the 96 team. I know they were deeper and had 9 NBA guys, but you can only play five on the court at the same time. These guys can run for days and we have a solid first 7. I think its closer than you think

  6. uklaw95
    10:51 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    Do we get to pick who coaches them? Cus if its Isiah Thomas, I think we gotta shot.

  7. Lonnieb
    10:52 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    Your nuts if you think this team could not compete against 96. Its a different game now and players play different. Im not saying they would win consistently or anything. But saying they cant compete is nuts. The top 6 is pretty much a wash is just as good; it would come down to foul trouble and such with davis and tj.

  8. BobKYCats
    10:52 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    That is one of the most awesome photoshops I have ever seen.

  9. anthonyeppsdrivingschool
    10:53 am April 5, 2012 Permalink


    Davis vs Pope
    Jones vs McCarty
    Gilchrist vs Walker
    Lamb/Miller vs Mercer/sheppard/anderson
    Teague vs Delk/Epps/Turner

    96 had depth, but I would still choose 12′ because of davis

  10. BobKYCats
    11:00 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    Just ran a sim on In a neutral site game, the ’96 Wildcats would win 90-78 over the ’12 Wildcats.

  11. Bigbluecalizone
    11:17 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    This entire conversation is stupid, and the only reason it caught fire to begin with was the national medias attempt to distract our kids. But on a lighter note, anybody else notice how the mothership finally started climbing on board with us during the tourny? By the way, anyone heard from Knight after our win? Just curious.

  12. dgtuk
    11:22 am April 5, 2012 Permalink


    Actually…old Bobby was complimentary of Kentucky the day after we beat Kansas. In addition to comparing AD to a “young Bill Russell”, Knight was very complimentary of the “UK coach”. He praised Cal’s ability to get UK to play as a team, play great defense, etc. While I was shocked that Knight said such positive things…it was still funny that he did so without mentioning Cal’s name….ie.the UK coach…

  13. Musehobo
    11:56 am April 5, 2012 Permalink

    70%?…So you’re telling me there’s a chance!

  14. TAXman
    12:03 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    Chances are next year, either gilchrist or davis will be playing WITH the wizards. i live 1.5 hours away and they will be my new favorite team.

  15. Owen
    12:19 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    What about the Bobcats, though? I actually would like that match-up other than at PG. Maggette has been horrible this year and he’s their best player. Biyombo is a complete offensive liability and Jones would probably be about as good as their forwards. Not to mention, the Bobcats are extremely young and a lot of their guys that have been in the league for a long time really never saw playing time before this season.

  16. blindsided
    12:28 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    I don’t care about the match-up with the Wizards. I only care about the match-up with Loserville. Oh wait, We already beat them this year….TWICE!!

  17. John Wilmhoff
    12:43 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    It would be much less of an upset than the USA 1980 Olympic Hockey team comprised of college players beating the Soviet Union, a professional all-star team. Also, think about how that Dominican team did against a team full of NBA pros last summer. How has Team USA basketball ever lost to these foreign teams with little or no NBA players? Things like this can happen.

  18. Bradley
    1:35 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    Well, the question has simply been, could this team beat an NBA team. According to this the answer is…yes, nearly 1/3 of the time they could.

  19. Ally Barton
    3:05 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    for once I toally agree with Pat Forde, much as I love this team:

    “This isn’t even the best Kentucky team of the past 20 years. That title still belongs to the 1996 Wildcats, who went 34-2 with seven NBA players and a 10-deep rotation. And it’s not particularly close.

    The average margin of victory in the NCAA tournament for the ’96 team was 21.5 points. The average margin of NCAA tourney victory for this UK team was 11.8.

    The average margin of victory in a 16-0 run through the SEC for the ’96 team was 23.6 points — and the SEC that season put two teams in the Final Four and four in the Sweet 16. The average margin of victory in a 16-0 run through the SEC for this UK team was 16.4.

    So don’t get carried away thinking of where this team ranks among the all-time greats. The coach of the ‘Cats isn’t……”

  20. Ally Barton
    4:07 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    The Untouchables could beat some teams this year…

    4:59 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    The idea that UK could play its standard 7 man rotation against a full NBA team and win is simply silly. I mean maybe….maybe 1 out of 10 games they could win. Right now. And if it is a NBA length 48 minute game with 24 second shot clocks….well UK would simply get run out of the gym by sheer numbers alone. These comparisons are stupid. Sure, you take all these guys in say 3-5 years and play them against a below average NBA team, and maybe they win 3 out of 5. But lets end all this nonsense about UK being better than ANY NBA team.

  22. RandyLovesTheVols!
    11:32 pm April 5, 2012 Permalink

    People forget that the entire Wizards roster is full of actual NBA players, not journeyman, not euroleague, not ABA/CBA/NBDL, THEY”RE NBA PLAYERS!!!!!!

    Have you all already forgotten about John Wall????? He’s almost averaging 10 assists a game with THAT roster. He would shred the Kentucky backcourt.