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Nerlens Noel-onger a consensus top pick

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Even before the 2012-13 college basketball season began, experts predicted Kentucky center Nerlens Noel to be a one-and-done top pick this June. That prediction held up throughout the season, despite the devastating ACL injury, and into the off-season. Noel has been locked by projections into the first pick of the 2013 NBA Draft almost all the way. Until now. NBADraft.net and Hoops World published updates to its 2013 mock draft, and Noel took a hit on both.

NBADraft.net’s board shows Cleveland selecting Ben McLemore from Kansas with the first overall pick, and Noel going second to the Orlando Magic.

Hoops World’s board shows the Cavaliers drafting Otto Porter out of Georgetown, the Magic drafting McLemore, and Noel dropping to the third pick by the Washington Wizards. Although something tells me a John Wall — Nerlens Noel duo in D.C. wouldn’t be all that bad.

These two updates drop Noel’s once-unanimous No. 1 pick status from these eight major draft boards.

Below is a compilation of eight of the most highly-regarded mock drafts (not including ESPN’s Chad Ford who publishes his predictions in the pay-only ESPN Insider section).

You can find each mock draft here:

CBS — Matt Moore

Sports Illustrated — Chris Mannix

NBADraft.net

NBA.com — Scott Howard-Cooper

Draft Express

Hoops World — Steve Kyler

Sporting News — Sean Deveney

Sheridan Hoops — Joe Kotoch

Article written by Stuart Hammer

B.S. Broadcast Journalism from the University of Kentucky. @StuartHammerKSR

8 Comments for Nerlens Noel-onger a consensus top pick



  1. JP
    10:05 pm May 29, 2013 Permalink

    Whenever you see a Plumlee in the top 20, you know that draft is terrible.



  2. Rei
    10:08 pm May 29, 2013 Permalink

    hoopsworld sounds like a cheaply made website. I still don’t know why the Cavs would take another SG when they need a front court. Noel or Otto would be the two that make the most sense.



  3. Ville Cat
    10:11 pm May 29, 2013 Permalink

    Still think he goes #1, but if not, I would like to see him go #3 to team up with Wall in Washington.



  4. Frankthetank
    10:34 pm May 29, 2013 Permalink

    You forgot deeznuts sports. They have NN going 1st. Any news on the Wiggins kid?



  5. Chaz
    10:59 pm May 29, 2013 Permalink

    OK, BBN this is from CBS/Jeff Borzello. It’s a revenue based report that may neglect the fact Jefferson Co. residents fund bonds for a modern venue even if they had rather not. Personally I feel “best fan base” will be settled by UK and UL fans and their respective team on the court, not by a ratings driven media network.

    >>EyeOn College Basketball: http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/blog/eye-on-college-basketball/22321420/study-louisville-has-no-1-fan-base-kentucky-no-7

    Study: Louisville has No. 1 fan base, Kentucky No. 7
    By Jeff Borzello | College Basketball Writer
    May 29, 2013 1:34 PM ET

    Louisville finished the 2012-13 season ranked No. 1 in the country after winning the national championship.

    And now the Cardinals are No. 1 in another ranking — best fan base.

    This, according to a new study from the Emory Sports Marketing Analytics, which measured fan base as “a school’s men’s basketball revenue relative to the team’s performance.” They used a model that predicted team revenues compared to a team’s winning and postseason success.

    The key insight is that when a team achieves revenues that greatly exceed what would be expected based on team performance, it is an indication of significant brand equity. The analysis therefore avoids bandwagon effects and gets at the core loyal fan bases.

    Here’s the top 10:

    1. Louisville
    2. Arizona
    3. Duke
    4. Arkansas
    5. North Carolina
    6. Texas
    7. Kentucky
    8. Syracuse
    9. Marquette
    10. Oklahoma State

    That’s right, Kentucky is only seventh on the list — two spots behind No. 5 Arkansas. Naturally, we’re not the only ones who were surprised by this order.

    The key is that while both Arkansas and Kentucky receive outstanding support, Arkansas’ support occurs despite less on-court success. The other possible interpretation is that Kentucky tends to underprice and may collect less revenues than possible.

    >>This should go over well with Big Blue Nation.

    Poor little Jeffery, you really have no clue, do you? Before you, during you, after you-Kentucky Basketball.



  6. This Is It...
    9:01 am May 30, 2013 Permalink

    WOW…Having to go to Orlando “instead” of Cleveland…How terrible!!!…Miss out on all that cold and snow instead of the girls and sunshine…Tough life…



  7. inlinefor9
    9:16 am May 30, 2013 Permalink

    #5 that’s an odd approach they used. They’re focusing too much on the revenue and not the revenue drivers. If they were going to use this area to determine fan support, why not take a 10, 20, 30 year average of merchandise sales, by quantity, not revenue. Ticket sales avg as a % of capacity, not revenue.

    This eliminates their need to give different interpretations like they did when saying UK could underprice. This revenue-based approach requires things to all be equal, which is impossible. Too many variables this way.

    Doesn’t upset me like Borzello says, just a good approach gone wrong.



  8. Chicago Chris
    10:09 am May 30, 2013 Permalink

    Who cares? – is my opinion. He’ll go 1-3, make lots of money. He’ll probably be better off not going #1 with the burden that carries. Look at Sam Bowie’s legacy. Through no fault of his own, he was drafted before Jordan and he’s remembered more for that in the NBA than anything else.

    If I’m Noel, after that kind of injury, I’m just happy to be here.