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NCAA Football ’14: Ten season simulation

KENTUCKY-NCAA-FOOTBALL-14

Last week I brought you a season simulation of the Kentucky Wildcats football team, compliments of the new NCAA Football ’14 from EA Sports. That post included a one-season simulation that went into detail about the year and end results of the 12-game slate. This time we’re doing a ten-season simulation (including that simulation as the first result) with the same schedule and the same roster. Here is what we have…

**********

SIM 1

WKU: L 28-19
MIA: L 31-17
UL: L 33-14
UF: L 33-17
USC: L 35-24
ALA: L 42-14
MISS ST: L 31-17
ALA ST: W 33-17
MIZZOU: W 34-29
VANDY: W 21-7
UGA: L 17-14
TENN: L 21-18

FINAL RECORD: 3-9

 

SIM 2

WKU: L 30-23 OT
MIA: L 21-20
UL: L 40-7
UF: L 38-21
USC: L 45-3
ALA: L 38-14
MISS ST: 37-20
ALA ST: W 48-10
MIZZOU: L 24-21 OT
VANDY: L 24-10
UGA: L 55-13
TEN: L 31-18

FINAL RECORD: 1-11

 

SIM 3

WKU: W 31-16
MIA: L 21-20
UL: L 42-20
UF: L 30-16
USC: L 38-14
ALA: L 52-17
MISS ST: L 30-10
ALA ST: W 42-11
MIZZOU: L 21-10
VANDY: W 17-10
UGA: L 41-17
TENN: L 37-20

FINAL RECORD: 3-9

 

SIM 4

WKU: W 28-24
MIA: W 45-26
UL: W 27-17
UF: L 41-14
USC: L 38-35
ALA: L 55-10
MISS ST: L 36-24
ALA ST: W 35-14
MIZZOU: L 34-10
VANDY: L 24-13
UGA: W 38-35 OT
TENN: L 14-13

FINAL RECORD: 5-7

 

SIM 5

WKU: W 30-13
MIA: W 31-24
UL: L 33-28
UF: L 38-35 OT
USC: L 63-7
ALA: L 38-10
MISS ST: L 27-20
ALA ST: W 24-13
MIZZOU: L 51-24
VANDY: W 24-17
UGA: L 24-7
TENN: L 31-3

FINAL RECORD: 4-8

SIM 6

WKU: W 41-31
MIA: L 37-14
UL: L 28-17
UF: L 45-32
USC: L 28-21
ALA: L 45-17
MISS ST: W 27-24
ALA ST: L 17-0
MIZZOU: W 37-34 OT
VANDY: W 24-14
UGA: L 42-23
TENN: W 31-24

FINAL RECORD: 5-7

 

SIM 7

WKU: W 21-14
MIA: L 41-7
UL: L 52-17
UF: L 40-30
USC: L 21-16
ALA: L 42-31
MISS ST: L 35-30
ALA ST: W 37-7
MIZZOU: L 45-21
VANDY: W 34-19
UGA: L 49-24
TENN: L 30-20

FINAL RECORD: 3-9

 

SIM 8

WKU: L 23-20 OT
MIA: W 48-28
UL: L 45-24
UF: W 20-17
USC: W 35-28
ALA: L 45-14
MISS ST: L 42-14
ALA ST: W 44-3
MIZZOU: W 31-21
VANDY: L 34-31
UGA: L 42-32
TENN: L 20-7

FINAL RECORD: 5-7

 

SIM 9

WKU: W 45-7
MIA: W 54-14
UL: L 31-17
UF: L 48-17
USC: L 41-38 OT
ALA: L 45-10
MISS ST: L 49-24
ALA ST: L 27-20
MIZZOU: L 41-21
VANDY: L 31-24
UGA: L 38-24
TENN: L 49-21

FINAL RECORD: 2-10

 

SIM 10

WKU: L 21-20
MIA: W 35-13
UL: W 28-10
UF: L 45-3
USC: L 49-14
ALA: L 44-3
MISS ST: W 28-17
ALA ST: W 13-10
MIZZOU: L 34-17
VANDY: L 20-17
UGA: L 38-17
TENN: L 20-13

FINAL RECORD: 4-8

**********

SUMMARY

Average wins: 3.5
Average losses: 8.5
Average points for: 22.09
Average points against: 30.36

Record vs. teams (average score (UK — Opponent)):

WKU:  6-4  (27.8 — 20.7)
MIA:  5-5  (29.1 — 25.6)
UL:  2-8  (19.9 — 33.1)
UF:  1-9  (20.5 — 37.5)
USC:  1-9  (20.7 — 38.6)
ALA:  0-10  (14 — 44.6)
MISS ST:  2-8  (21.4 — 32.8)
ALA ST:  8-2  (29.6 — 12.9)
MIZZOU:  3-7  (22.6 — 33.4)
VANDY:  5-5  (22.2 — 19.3)
UGA:  1-9  (20.9 — 38.1)
TENN : 1-9  (16.4 — 27.7)

Other than Alabama, in ten tries Kentucky was able to beat every team on the schedule at least once. Hopefully when it comes to the real thing, the Cats will have better odds than what we see here, especially on the Western Kentucky, Miami, Missouri, and Vanderbilt games — four games that can make or break a season with pretty low expectations.

Note: To clarify what you are seeing… This is ten separate simulations of the 2013 season. Notice how the schedules are the exact same. I simulated this upcoming season, recorded the results, then started a new season simulation. If you are familiar with NCAA Football, this is NOT a 10-year dynasty going into year 2023 where player and coaching progressions influence the team.

Article written by Stuart Hammer

B.S. Broadcast Journalism from the University of Kentucky. @StuartHammerKSR

29 Comments for NCAA Football ’14: Ten season simulation



  1. Blue Virus
    3:32 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    This is HANDS DOWN, the dumbest post I have ever seen on this site.



  2. Highway119
    3:38 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    What a surprise it will be for EA when we go bowling this year!



  3. cardsfanf
    3:38 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    really #1? you have to hate on your own authors posts about a game? there is more people in this world that enjoy video games and posts like this. evan cards fans. nice work



  4. Torn
    3:40 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    I can’t figure out if I want KSR to ban the idiot commenters that only complain about everything and/or fail to understand some of the jokes that come with this site, or if I want to keep them here for the sense of “charm” they provide to the response section.



  5. Golly gee
    3:41 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Thanks for the video game report. I am sitting here listening to Coach Stoops at the SEC media days.
    Glad we are up on video games. Who cares about the real season! By the way, they are meeting in Alabama.
    They have an Xbox in my room.



  6. catscatscats
    3:43 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    I think this post is cool because I play video games, but I also know that in the dynasty simulation, there is no way to improve coaching or steadily improve recruiting unless you play all ten seasons. I think Mark Stoops will have much better results than these. It is just sad how awful EA sports thinks UK football is.



  7. Nick
    3:47 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    genuinely unsure why people are hating on this. This is neat, and a pretty good way to see how the season shakes out, given all the research EA puts into the teams year after year. Or, at least, until this year.



  8. Rise
    3:48 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    If sim #4 were to really happen I would be ecstatic.



  9. Seven Eight Nine
    3:49 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Pretty much what I expected. UK will probably have 3-5 wins this season



  10. Correction
    3:50 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    2 – LOL!

    6 – You worded your last sentence a little funny. I think it should read, “It is just sad how awful UK football is.”



  11. Stuart Hammer
    3:51 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    6 – I think you misunderstand what this is. This is ten separate simulations of the 2013 season. Notice how the schedules are the exact same. I simulated this upcoming season, recorded the results, then started a new season simulation. This is NOT a 10-year dynasty going into year 2023. I’ll add a note at the bottom of the post to clarify just in case it wasn’t clear.



  12. Taylor
    3:52 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    UK didn’t win against Bama in any of the simulations



  13. Al/in/Indy
    3:54 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Why so much hate in here? Actually it’s kinda comical to read some of the Debbie downers than the actual article. I do not do those games because I really suck at them, but to piss and moan all the time on how a person writes in here, I’ll just bet they’re a riot at funerals and car crashes.
    5-7, and we beat Uvel.



  14. OwensboroDavid
    3:58 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Man, UK is AWFUL in NCAA 14. I play as UK when I play online, and I’m 2-5 right now. If I play zone on defense, I get picked apart. If I go man, their receivers blow right past my dudes. Other than the occasional Bud Dupree sack, my D is horrid. Offense isn’t much better. The oline gives my about a second and a half to get rid of the ball, and thats in the rare case a reciever is open. I HOPE EA sports is underrating us. If they got it right, its gonna be a long year. I usually can make do with UK in online games, but its real, real, real, tough this year to win.



  15. NotSatire
    4:14 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    All you negative ninnys are going to feel silly when UK wins a bunch of football games.



  16. CatsFanFrankfort
    4:16 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    #12. Yea, obviously. That was stated in the post. And I would TOTALLY be cool with the season as a whole if it followed sim #4 or sim #8. Win the first three games and beat UGA in OT? That would be huge. Or beating Florida and South Carolina back-to-back? Even though we’d still only get 3 SEC wins, it would send HUGE shockwaves through the SEC and we’d get a big boost on the national level too.

    And before any one comments that I am an idiot and that could never happen, I obviously realize this is a simulation and would be extremely unlikely. But just imagine if we did do that – it would be close to the level of excitement when we knocked off #9 Louisville and #1 LSU in 2007…..wish the simulation would have at least given us another win, against say UofL or WKU, so we’d be bowl eligible in that one. But you know…whatever. Interesting post anyway with not much else going on.



  17. Bicycle Seat Sniffer
    4:32 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    I think this is a cool post. In no means representative of whats to come, but a good idea. Give me the results of sim 4. Sim 8 would by my second choice. Sim 8 would be #1 if not for the WKU loss. The WKU game is MUST win in my eyes. To quote Lil Wayne, no ifs ands or butt effs.



  18. classof68
    4:32 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    I have to agree with no. 1. After all, he is no.1. Is this guy talking about this season or next? It says 2014 in the post title.



  19. CatsFanFrankfort
    4:37 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    At the end of the post, it also says that this is a 10 game simulation of the 2013 season. It says 2014 in the post title because that is the title of the new college football video game released by EA Sports (NCAA Football ’14). Most of the sports games released by EA are titled for the next year, while they are usually released in the second half of the previous year, very similar to new cars.



  20. CatsFanFrankfort
    4:40 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    #17, I like that reasoning as well for Sim 4. Going 3-0 would be huge for us this year and our national perception. And I also feel that if we got to 4-4 on the season after the Alabama State game, we could pull 2 wins from the remaining games in order to push us into bowl territory (Mizzou, Vandy, UGA, Tenn).



  21. JP
    5:12 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Man, whoever did this SIM must be terrible at recruiting…. I am past year 10, on the hardest level and the worst year I had was 6-6 and that was year 1…. and no I didn’t play any games, just straight SIM… we won a title by year 8



  22. Nick
    5:16 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    @JP … again … this is not a dynasty. This is ten sims of the same season.



  23. UK Homer
    5:17 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Great post! I’m actually shocked we don’t go 0-10 versus more SEC teams given it has Miami OH playing us so competitively in a lot of these. Other than the 2013 Stoops recruits, I see EA’s forecasts as being heavily influenced by last season. I think the Stoops coaching element will carry us beyond these predictions. At least now we know we know we have a “shot” in every game but Bama. That’s more than enough reason for me to show up. Go Cats!



  24. jimlowe7
    7:07 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Someone PLEASE tell me the people who put together this “simulation” have MISUNDERSTOOD that the “Miami” on our schedule is MIAMI of OHIO!!



  25. Elmer
    8:18 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    Stuart don’t pay no attention to those who call you moron and retard

    Keep up the great work



  26. football school
    10:59 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    7-5 or 8-4 THIS year! Write it Down! We showed some real flashes of good football last year and we have the staff to build those flashes into full games this year. We’re going to do a whole lot better than anyone expects. And who is the coach in the ’14 game? That makes a difference.



  27. 13th. Grade
    11:39 pm July 17, 2013 Permalink

    I can live with sim #4. At least we handle our in-state business.



  28. football university
    8:09 am July 18, 2013 Permalink

    27 – Go home, you’re drunk.



  29. football university
    8:09 am July 18, 2013 Permalink

    sorry, I mean 26