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KSR FBS Power Ratings (Week 9)

Now that nine weeks of the college football season have come and gone we are starting to move closer towards determining the nation’s most elite football team.  The weekly BCS rankings have come out and, per usual, brought a heaping helping of controversy alongside with them.  A particular instance of controversy would be Notre Dame trailing Kansas State despite a tough schedule and defeating a common opponent by more than Bill Snyder’s Wildcats.  Yes, controversy reigns supreme in college football, particularly in the computer rating systems that get constantly berated by the general public.  One reason for controversy; the systems in use are not allowed to take margin of victory into consideration when tallying their individual calculations, frequently making them disagree with the “eye test.”  So, in order to give a better idea of how teams are actually performing on the field I created my own rating system in the mold of Ken Pomeroy’s basketball ratings so that margin of victory can be used in evaluations.

This system may be difficult to understand to those who aren’t familiar with a Pythagorean Rating System, but it’s really not very difficult to comprehend.  The more in-depth rules can be found here if you’re so inclined, but a more condensed version is as follows.  My system measures tempo-free scoring margin, meaning teams who play slow or fast aren’t punished or rewarded for doing so, this is important when using scoring margin.  The system measures the ratio of points scored/allowed, not actual margin.  FCS games are de-emphasized.   And finally strength of schedule is taken heavily into consideration.

 

Without further delay here are the ratings for Week 9 that have been adjusted for strength of schedule.

The nation’s elite:

#1 Alabama

Nick Saban’s Crimson Tide just keep doing what they’ve been doing all season long, and that is crushing the hopes and dreams of innocent peasants everywhere.  Alabama has suplexed every team in their path and are constantly taking new applicants to be their next punching bag. In terms of adjusted score against an average opponent (what my system measures), Alabama would beat the theoretical average team  41.7-8.6 in a 12 possession game, a full touchdown more than the next best team.

#2 Florida State

Despite a one point road loss to N.C. State, the Seminoles have decimated everyone else in their path.  Florida State is a prime example of why the 2014 playoff is needed now.  One measly point is all that separates Florida State from being the consensus #2 team in the human polls, but they’ll have to settle for being #2 in my ratings.

#3 Notre Dame

The Irish are back despite your personal feelings toward them and they are doing so with a devastating defense and a much improved offense. Is this really surprising though?  Last season, if it weren’t for turnovers deep in their opponents’ red-zone in two games, the Irish would likely finished 10-2 on the regular season.  So it’s not surprising, to me at least, that Notre Dame is among the nation’s best this season.

 

The next tier:

#4 Oklahoma, #5 Florida, #6 Kansas State, #7 Oregon

This group of teams is honestly interchangeable in terms of whom would win in a theoretical match-up, it may just depend on the day as to who would be victorious.  All four have a case for being the best of the bunch.  Oklahoma has only lost to two elite teams (albeit at home) and Florida has only lost once in a close game. Kansas State and Oregon are undefeated, but Kansas State’s defense leaves a little something to be desired and Oregon’s best win comes over Arizona. Truthfully these teams have performed very similarly despite what their records say, so it’s difficult to choose any real clear cut favorite here.

The bottom tier:

(h/t Thujone)

#94 Gene Chizik (pictured above) Auburn, #105 Kentucky, and #122 Colorado

Perhaps there are no better examples of teams who have fallen harder in terms of performance than the three listed above. Auburn, fresh off a national championship two years ago can’t even buy a win against Vanderbilt.  Colorado, a team that took home the 1990 national title, is making their case for worst power conference team of all-time (and making a resounding argument I may add).  While Kentucky hasn’t recently won a national title like these two programs, the nosedive in terms of performance is undeniable and can only be described by this 7 second video.  From 5 straight bowl games to #105 in the country in less than two years, there are very few plunges that can match Kentucky’s. But thankfully, Auburn is here to soften the blow.

Article written by Jonathan Schuette

25 Comments for KSR FBS Power Ratings (Week 9)



  1. goUKats
    8:10 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    Maybe there should be a losers bowl.That way Uk would be assured of a bowl,and couls play for the worst team in award.One they could win hands down.



  2. Bands a make her dance
    8:18 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    MJP will be there to soften the blow for Joke. I’d love to see us schedule some of those teams Kent State has been beating this season. Can you say guaranteed W’s? Poor Chizik, he will never get the credit for that championship…it’ll all be about Scam Newton.



  3. AaronJ
    8:31 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    Actually we have won a national championship in football, under coach “Bear” Bryant



  4. BoCoCat
    8:49 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    Sigh…football is incredibly sad this year for this UK grad/current Colorado student 🙁



  5. Billy Clyde
    8:58 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    Seriously this list is absolute garbage



  6. Catfan
    9:04 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    U of L in top 10 in BCS and 46 in this ranking behind missourri by 20 spots seems a bit skewed even for a caftan. Please explain some of the more noticeable aberrations from the BCS rankings which also account for multiple things.



  7. jj
    9:06 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    dumbest rankings in the history of rankings



  8. bigbellyrun
    9:23 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    LOL how the hell did this person get a job with KSR? These rankings tell me this guy his just about mentally retarded which means he should probably be writing for a UL blog. FSU #2 with KSU#6 and Oregon #7? Even Stevie Wonder can see that is insane!



  9. Catlogic15
    9:35 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    Why do we have to endure this stupid post every week when our football team is so pathetic. It’s like rubbing salt in our already open wound.



  10. JackB
    10:11 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    This is a truely bad ranking. FSU, UF and OU overrated, UGA and Ore underrated. I understand not being sold on KSU yet.



  11. Matt in Franklin
    10:22 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    …but that screaming sheep is awesome!



  12. cats9
    10:35 pm October 29, 2012 Permalink

    How are you not sold on a KSU D that beat OU and crushed WVU on the road??



  13. KatzFan123
    12:31 am October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Lol UK sux go cards!!!!!!!!!! Cardnation reprezent. Ha. Just kidding. But forreal, Louisville FTW



  14. goducks
    12:34 am October 30, 2012 Permalink

    i think notre dame is fine at 3 … but one could argue that the ACC is even weaker than the PAC12 … give Oregon some love and get FSU the duck outa there



  15. Nathan
    12:48 am October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Wow Jonathan Schuette sucks at writing



  16. Seems Legit..
    12:52 am October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Louisville at #46 behind UNC(#31) and Cincinnati (#16), two teams they’ve beaten this year….. Seems Legit to me



  17. WeSuck
    8:09 am October 30, 2012 Permalink

    #3 Says a moron with a computer not born untill 1963….



  18. FalseStats&Titles
    9:58 am October 30, 2012 Permalink

    #18 Jeff Sagarin,Having totally screwed up the top rankings,has some other schools ranked in places that are so totally absurd, it would appear he formulated his rankings by picking the schools out of a hat. He actually has the dysfunctional brain surgeons picking UK in 1950, who have never won a title, and who had only a few really top seasons without violating NCAA rules.
    Although I do believe he was born in 1948….which would have made him 2 in 1950…



  19. SweetWm
    11:52 am October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Being a big Alabama football fan I hate to admit that Oregon has the greatest college team I have seen in some time. There is no substitute for SPEED, they have an over supply. Beware of the Ducks.



  20. Logic
    8:55 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Louisville at #46 doesn’t sound like sour grapes at all



  21. what??
    9:33 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    what idiot runs this site what terrible ranking system



  22. FireMitch&Joker
    10:18 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Way to go Jonathon, adding fuel to the fire that we UK fans are a bunch of dumba$$es. This site is becoming more and more of a joke every day!



  23. haha!
    5:12 am October 31, 2012 Permalink

    These rankings are a joke right? Oh, no he was actually being serious. Wow, someone please take this guy’s computer away from him before he makes Kentucky fans look dumber again.



  24. Wow
    11:56 am October 31, 2012 Permalink

    Missouri at #29. Now THAT is funny.