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Kentucky football scoring breakdown

I know, I know. It’s another football post. This season has been horrible. The Cats are staring a winless SEC season in the face for the first time since 2000. It’s not fun to talk about, especially with basketball season tipping off on Thursday.

But before we put the football team to bed in the next several weeks, I want to begin doing some analysis on what the heck went wrong. Other than the obvious, “we suck” or “Joker sucks,” I want to look at the stats; letting the numbers paint a picture for what happened with this team.

I’m starting by comparing the scoring of Kentucky versus its nine opponents thus far, and how they score their points. Broken down by quarter, you can see the total number of points scored by the nine opponents versus UK. The results shouldn’t shock you, because we all know Kentucky is 1-8 on the season. But it does give us a bit of insight on how Joker Phillips is preparing his team each week.

Kentucky has one of the toughest schedules in the nation. Even in the most ideal scenario, Kentucky likely wouldn’t be in too much of a better place than they are now. However, more than just wins and losses, the total points scored tell a tale of how this team progresses through each game, and how the team has progresses over the course of the last two seasons.

Opponents of Kentucky have blown open the game with 80 points, compared to Kentucky’s measly 17. If it weren’t for the past two weeks against Georgia and Missouri and the offense finding the end zone in the first quarter for the first time in its last 20 games that number would represent a lone field goal.

The second quarter has been Kentucky’s most productive so far, scoring 65 points. But that is really not saying much; Kentucky’s best still comes up short against their opponent’s worst. But in the games Kentucky was perhaps the most competitive, against Kent State and South Carolina, the Cats scored the majority of points in the second quarter.

Ironically, the second quarter is also the best for their opponents. Louisville, Western Kentucky, Florida and Georgia all did most of their damage against the Cats in the second quarter. And Arkansas was just piling on. If Kentucky is to be a “second quarter team,” it is certainly being lost in the fact the defense surrenders the most amount of points in that frame.

Moving to quarter number three, Kentucky’s opponents are cashing it in, the defense is often softer and reserves are checking in, right? Things are looking up for the offense. Time to move the chains and chip away? Not so much. Kentucky’s offense is actually slightly less productive in the second half, scoring 47 percent of its total points there. Not a drastic statistic by any means, but considering most of Kentucky’s opponents should be weakening its forces late in the game, does that suggest Joker Phillips is making bad halftime adjustments?

A season ago, Kentucky was scoring more points in the second half, at 53 percent.

The fourth quarter, where Kentucky’s opponents are leading by an average of two touchdowns, is the next-weakest for the Cats. There is no “finish strong” for the team so far. Literally, teams are holding big leads and points are still not being made. Do these numbers suggest the Cats are giving up?

I’m enjoying this football season just as much as the next guy. Which is not at all. But in my quest to discover how this team is fairing quarter to quarter, I now have more questions than answers. Nothing about this data is good, but maybe a visual like this will be just another nail in Joker’s coffin.

— Thanks to Clark for the story concept

Article written by Stuart Hammer

B.S. Broadcast Journalism from the University of Kentucky. @StuartHammerKSR

31 Comments for Kentucky football scoring breakdown

  1. TAXman
    6:11 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Can anyone tell me anything about the joker and mary jo perino fling or whatever? I see it pop up all the time. What happened?

  2. Double Entendre
    6:12 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Watch your back. Clark is trying to get your fired.

  3. Sources Close To Program
    6:16 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Terry Bradshaw was looking to buy a home on my street today…..just saying!

  4. Done and Dead.
    6:18 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Only a dumbass would do all this work.

  5. WhyBother?
    6:22 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    What #4 said….

  6. the space between liza minellis eyes
    6:24 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    My figures show Kentucky outscoring their opponents only once this year

  7. bluezzzzz
    6:30 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Lol @4

  8. Breal1515
    6:35 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    All this research and work, just sum it up with another loss and 1-9 with only three more games left

  9. Brad in Portland
    6:43 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Is Joker still the coach?

  10. wildcat502
    6:53 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    No halftime adjustments, the opponent backs off and plays their subs in the second half

  11. Blue Jesus
    6:53 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Haha, very nice #2 and #6

  12. UKMike
    6:54 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    please. for the sake of the fans, let’s stop these inane football posts. its over. done. finished. beat in every quarter.

  13. Booger
    6:57 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Hire Kevin Wallace at Bowling Green High-He is good recruiter and will probably be the only hire we can make to keep us off probation in the years to come.

  14. kycatman
    6:58 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Come on Stuart, Please quit this football stuff already. We are really really getting tired of all this statistic stuff your looking up whenever we all know how bad UK sux at Football. Give us some good news, first with Jokers firing and then the hiring of a coach that can get to where we were at least. Hopefully a very good Coach!!!!!!!! Go Cats!!!!!!!! Go Cal!!!!!!!!

  15. MHFaulkner
    7:07 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    These numbers suggest one thing:

    These games are over after the 1st quarter.

    If teams wanted to score 102 each quarter, I don’t see why they couldn’t.

  16. [email protected]
    7:10 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Here is what this graph is telling us. In the first half, we are getting killed and in some cases the score is so lopsided the opposing coach begins to have sympathy on the Cats. In the 2nd half, the 2nd and 3rd string units come in and we make things somewhat respectable.

  17. WKU alumni
    7:21 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Add to the chart Overtime:
    Western 6
    UK 3

    Last in the SEC
    3rd best team in Kentucky
    1st SEC team Missouri ever beat.

  18. Manbearpig
    7:21 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Taxman you troll much?

  19. TAXman
    7:24 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    18- i just see alot of rumors that no one addresses. Is that a problem

  20. me
    8:04 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Have to agree with ‘TAXman’ – the rumor has been floating around forever. There never seems to be a definitive answer. I do find it extremely odd that Joker gets credit for being an upstanding guy yet this rumor is always hanging around.

    So we wont hire Pertino cause he has a girlfriend but we’ll keep Joker around, and around, and around…

  21. MrRandomComment
    8:08 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    I like carmel corn

  22. Catlogic15
    8:09 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    Ho Hum. Yawn. Etc.

  23. wildcat502
    8:23 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    I`d bet Joker is given an extension

  24. Hardware store
    8:57 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    We are surely running out of nails to put in that coffin. We are also out of last straws for this staff.

  25. Duke Sucks
    9:04 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    #18 I see that posted all the time too. I dought that too many people know Joker close enuff to know who he is sleeping with. Joker sucks as a head coach point blank period he’s personal life has no bearings on anything. What got Patrino fired wasn’t just his girlfriend. It was that they had violated Arkansas laws paying her to much money and not interviewing others for her job and the whole thing with Nutt having a girlfriend in the media.

  26. barn
    9:30 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    vegas has us as only 7 1/2pt dogs against vandy. i smell moral victory saturday

  27. Manbearpig
    10:26 pm October 30, 2012 Permalink

    The only reason why I responded to Taxman was because on another thread he was asking about Matt and him splitting from KSTV and an alledge fight.

  28. Joker
    12:12 am October 31, 2012 Permalink

    Alright guys…Listen you have been valiant in your efforts but we have got to play to the whistle. I want the president of the university to come to me and say” Coach I need these guys to ease off a little bit. I’ll pull you off of them, you understand….I’LL PULL YOU OFF OF THEM!!!

    Until then we are free to move about the cabin

  29. Bulldawg
    1:21 am October 31, 2012 Permalink

    @17 dumb WKU alumn that doesn’t even know that his team won by 1 point. Overtime score UK – 7, WKU 8. Take that buddy. You only beat us by 1, HA!!! #moralvictories

  30. Big Whoop
    5:25 am October 31, 2012 Permalink

    # 17 has it pretty close.

    The claim our schedule is one of the toughest in the nation is misleading at best. What you fail to point out is that UK weakens the schedule of our opponents. Every SEC team has a tough schedule. Ask Missouri and A&M if they feel UK has a tougher schedule. Ask Arkansas or Vanderbilt.

    Particularly noteworthy is the absence of Alabama and LSU on UK’s schedule. In the SEC, UK’s schedule is easier than those who play the Tide and the Bengal Tigers. I also strongly believe that we are lucky not having A&M on our schedule.

    As for your points made about scoring, you’ve pretty much illustrated why we suck. We rank 113 nationally in scoring offense and 96 in scoring defense, both last in the SEC. As you point out, our first quarter scoring is indicative of a team not prepared to play at the beginning of a game and your fourth quarter shows that our defense has been on the field far too much because of our offensive ineptitude.

    After watching every game this season on TV, I’ve come to the conclusion that this coaching staff has no idea how to prepare for a game and they have no clue how to prepare a team to actually win a tough game. I feel sorry for our players because I believe we have the talent to compete. IMO, they deserve better coaching than what they’re getting.

    As bad as it is, we’ve had worse teams in years past. That doesn’t mean that UK shouldn’t fix THIS coaching problem.

  31. Blitzandstunt
    9:33 am October 31, 2012 Permalink

    Do we have a football team:)