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Kentucky and NCAA Tournament Seeding

ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has released his updated “Bracketology” today and Kentucky is still projected as a No. 1 seed.

Lundardi has the Cats facing the winner of the play-in game in the East (Syracuse) bracket. The early round games would be played in Milwaukee.

The current projection is obvious for the second-ranked Wildcats (25-1). The real question now is what do the Cats need to do to hold on to a top seed.

Currently, Lunardi projects his top seeds as UK, Syracuse, Kansas and Purdue. The No. 2 seeds are Villanova, Duke, Kansas State and West Virginia.

If I were currently ranking those, I would place Kentucky and Kansas on level 1a and Syracuse at 1b. I think Purdue, although they have won 9 in a row, would be the closest to the next level and Villanova would likely be the top-rated No. 2 seed.

Kentucky has been given some “wiggle” room recently with untimely losses by Syracuse and Villanova.

Looking at the remaining schedule, I feel pretty confident that Kentucky can afford to lose two remaining games and still be in pretty solid shape for a No. 1 seed. If they lose three games, they will be on the borderline and anything over three would likely send us to the No. 2 seed line.

Remaining Games:

Feb. 20: at #19 Vanderbilt
Feb. 25: South Carolina
Feb. 27:  at #18 Tennessee
Mar. 3:  at Georgia
Mar. 7:  Florida
TBA:  SEC Tournament

I’ll be straight with you: tomorrow’s game is a potential loss. I want to say that Kentucky will go in an grab an outstanding road victory, but crazy things tend to happen in Memorial Gym – particularly when Vandy has a decent team.

I think South Carolina, Florida and Georgia are wins. Tennessee is a 75/25 (W/L) game, just because it’s a tough road game.

If Kentucky can finish that schedule at 5-0 or 4-1, I think the No. 1 seed is a lock. If they finish at 3-2 or 2-3, they’ll need a nice run in the SEC Tournament. Anything else and UK is playing for the No. 2 seed.

Do you agree or disagree?

Article written by Anthony Wireman