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Joe Lunardi still has the Cats in the first four out

Screen shot 2013-03-05 at 9.46.59 AM

In his latest Bracketology, Joe Lunardi keeps the Cats in his “first four out,” along with Alabama, Southern Miss and Ole Miss. Alabama and Ole Miss actually play each other tonight, and unfortunately, both of them can’t lose. Who should you root for? Ole Miss, since the Cats beat them earlier this season, which may lead the Selection Committee to choose them over the Rebel Black Bears.

Drew Franklin will be by later with a full list of who you should root for in tonight’s games.


Article written by Mrs. Tyler Thompson

No, I will not make you a sandwich, but you can follow me on Twitter @MrsTylerKSR or email me.

30 Comments for Joe Lunardi still has the Cats in the first four out

  1. Big Blue 66
    11:20 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    I would bet none of his last four in are in, and regardless of how bad the SEC is, do you think Conf USA will put more teams in than the SEC, i would bet not, and no way Ole Miss is first four out, that loss against M St was brutal

  2. DrSayre
    11:21 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    You think this will set up a Friday game next week between UK and UT with the winner going to the NCAA?

  3. Bleaker
    11:24 am March 5, 2013 Permalink


  4. SexnNursinHomes
    11:24 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    So how many games can tennessee lose before they one of the first 4 out? Tennessee is 17-12 or 18-12. They won’t win the SEC tourney so that will give them 13 losses. Lunardi is high on crack.

    Temple and Villanova? ha ha. damn nation

  5. Cokely
    11:24 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    I posted this in the last post but this is the newest one so ill do it again real quick just to put into about how good our recruiting class really could be. I did the math last night. Using rivals ranking numbers. If you don’t count Willis but say we get wiggins and randle our total number combined is 53. Louisville’s first recruit is number 48. That’s 7 players combined vs 1

  6. TN Cat
    11:26 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    We lost at Arkansas and UT loses at Georgia and we switch places with them? Lunardi needs to get some sleep. He’s delusional.

  7. IowaUKWildcat
    11:38 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    I trust these Ph.D’s calculations more than all of these “bracketologist’s” educated guesses:

  8. Ouch
    11:46 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    7) even on that site we only have a 43% chance of getting in. me no likey

  9. Laker Cat 18
    11:59 am March 5, 2013 Permalink

    6. You do know we just got drilled by Tennessee by 30 a couple weeks ago right?

  10. Mc
    12:05 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    Sometimes I think an out-of-conference head-to-head blowout should trump a few good wins. Villanova did beat Louisville and Syracuse at home. They also lost to Columbia by 18 and are going to go into the Big East Tourny with a 3 game losing streak. They get love because it’s the Big East, and the SEC gets bashed for having a down year, which is true. But if Alabama beats Villanova by 22 on a neutral court that should move them into the last 4 in Nova out. Just my opinion. Nova got blown out by Bama on a neutral court. Who is the better team? Oh yeah, that doesn’t matter.

  11. TN Cat
    12:11 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    #9 Yes, I know that. But before the Arkansas game, Lunardi had us as First four in and UT as First four out. Now he has UK and UT switched after the results from Saturday. That’s why it makes no sense.

  12. ruppcrazy
    12:12 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    8) It says in the final paragraph that the bubble line is based on the current 68 team field while the percentages are based on the previous version of the tournament with only 65 teams. So our chances are actually a little higher than that.

  13. the brown eye
    12:12 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    No one, not even Matt, mentions one crucial point. These projections only count if there are NO upsets in conference tourneys. If Gonzaga loses and someone besides St Marys maybe, there goes a spot. If Memphis, Middle maybe even La Tech and Belmont dont win…more potential bubble spots gone.

    or if someeone weird gets hot and wins a major conference, like UGs in 2008, there goes another spot.

    I think only way Cats safe is to sweep this week and make it to Sunday in Nashville. we all know the committee does not look at Sunday games at all

  14. Cat Fan in Georgia
    12:15 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    I don’t like it but Lundardi had proven to be one of the best out there as far as predicting the field is concerned. Last year he got 67 of 68.

  15. Cat Fan in Georgia
    12:15 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    * Lunardi

  16. ruppcrazy
    12:16 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    13) That’s what scares me. Conference tournament week is a scary one. However, I disagree about what you think we have to do to be safe. If we sweep this week, we’re safe for sure. If we can reel off three straight here, then we’re talking about bumping our seed up to get to the bottom half of a bracket instead of being a 12 seed.

  17. struggler
    12:20 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    Bottom line Cats need to do all they can to win out… tall order for this crew to be sure, but winning cures many ills. That said I do not get all the Tennessee talk now. Yes – they were on a hot streak and thumped us by 30… but then they lost to UGA? That logic reminds me of the week Indiana lost to Illinois, but for some reason that didn’t count against them in the rankings. A forgotten result. Tennessee is definitely playing better at the right time (early on this team struggled to break scoring 40 points a game), but certainly shouldn’t be anyone’s last 4 in.

  18. Mc
    12:24 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    I hope we get in, and get a 12 seed to play the 5 and winner of 4/13. I also agree with you #13. However, for a few (maybe not all) conferences if the conference leader gets upset-say Belmont, I think the winner is the only team to get in and Belmont gets left out. However, if it’s a team like what Georgia did a few years ago, then a bubble team gets knocked out.
    Bottomline, win some games and create our own destiny.

  19. ptbarnum
    12:53 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    It’s just Lunardi getting as much interest for his blog and bracket game as he can, he has no idea who’s in or out anymore than the rest of us. It’s a suckers game to get people to pay attention to him… It is what it is, win two, play in NCAA..
    Win the SEC Tourney and get the auto bid… That simple…

  20. 3cats
    12:57 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    I do believe Joe is playing a game here, Nova losses two in roll one to Seton Hall and Tn gets beat by UGA in! Bosie St lost to Air Force played no one all yr in. I just hope the people that makes the call don’t look at his picks. He is really out there this year. Several 17-12 teams in thats a joke. I know, win out and we’re in. You can’t go by our lose to Tn Duke got beat by a million by the Cains does that make Duke suck? I think Joe just joined the Hater club this year.

  21. CatFan
    12:58 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    UT got lucky that they got to play us at home right after losing Noel and got to play FL at home when they had 2 guys out. We ultimately decide out own destiny but I do not agree with his list. Also after Ole Miss loses to South Carolina and Miss St, they need to be in the next four out.

  22. ajh
    1:05 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    Like it or not…this is pretty accurate. All 4 of those last teams in have better resumes than UK. even Tennessee. But i will say that we do not necessarily HAVE to beat UF if some of those other teams start dropping some games and we against a good opponent in the sec tourney

  23. ajh
    1:06 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    20 Villanova has a better resume than UK!!!!!!! just stop

  24. Delk for 3
    1:08 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    Don’t worry about anything but Thursday night. Let’s get a W there, first and foremost.

  25. Delk for 3
    1:10 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    I think we can beat anybody in the nation at home. Beat Georgia first, and then the Gators are going down.

  26. bluey
    1:12 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    Come on Tubby send those Cartnuls home.

  27. Heisenberg
    1:13 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    24 – I feel the same way. The only thing we need to worry about is the game on Thursday AT Georgia. We should beat them but who knows, we have been playing up and down all year, hopefully it be an up game Thursday.

  28. Butch
    4:04 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    Joe gets more notice with UK being out, remember the nation is full of UK Haters, jealous bastards.

  29. Brainiac
    4:07 pm March 5, 2013 Permalink

    Maybe UK should hire the Mountain West consultant who recommended the non-conference opponents for their members. This guy out west learned how to schedule tweak the RPI to favor the Mountain West teams. Freaking New Mexico is number 2 in RPI.

  30. Russell
    9:10 pm March 7, 2013 Permalink

    How does Joe Lunardi have tennessee in and kentucky out? We both lost to georgia by 10..?