As we move closer and closer to tournament time, I have come to the conclusion that there are only two teams that I believe can win the title, Duke and UCONN. This is an odd conclusion for me as I usually go into every NCAA Tournament with 5-7 teams that can win and a guarantee that one of them will pull it out. The only time that one of my 5-7 has not won in the last ten years was the 97 Arizona team. Thus I usually feel fairly confident of my ultimate pick in the NCAA pool.
But this year is different. I can only see these two teams winning. Every other team has way too many holes and just doesnt seem like a champion. Now I do think that both Duke and UConn are beatable, and if that happens, SOMEBODY has to win. But I just dont see any of the other teams as being strong enough. Gonzaga and Memphis are not challenged enough by their conference slates, Nova cant handle a team with a dominant big guy (althought here arent many of those), George Washington is bizarrely ranked too high, Florida is very vulnerable and the list goes on.
So when it comes tourney time, my money goes on these two….although with a lot more hesitation than in years past.