I stumbled upon an article projecting the final standings of the 2012 SEC Football Season based on the schedules that were released a couple of weeks ago. Its early, I know, but it can’t hurt to look a couple months down the road to season that will define Coach Phillips’ tenure at UK.
The author of the article, Bill Connelly, based his predictions on two things. First, he took into account the results of the 2011 season. With the addition of Missouri and Texas A&M to SEC schedules next year, there isn’t much of a history with the current teams in the conference and the former Big 12 schools. That leads Connelly to use the 2011 season and a combination of his second basis, individual team football rankings, to reach his predictions. These rankings come from the Football Outsiders, a statistic analysis website that ranks teams on practically every category you can think of, both offensively and defensively. Based off Kentucky’s 5-7 season it’s no surprise they finished 89th in the nation. Do I think there were 88 teams better than UK last year? No, I think they should be higher on the list. Most of the teams above the Wildcats don’t play a brutal SEC schedule is my main reasoning.
Let’s take a look at Kentucky’s 2012 schedule (from ukathletics.com):
Connelly went game by game through next season’s schedule and came up with this prediction:
He has the Cats losing all conference games next year, mostly notably a 45 point loss to Florida in Gainesville. He also sees Kentucky dropping an out-of-conference game too, presumably to Louisville. There will also be a rematch of UGA and LSU in the conference championship. Does Connelly have it right? How do you see the Cats finishing next year? The SEC?
You can read the entire article here.