When you look at the Missouri football team’s stats, nothing makes sense.
Their offense average 445 yards per game, third in the SEC, but only scores 25 points per game. They had more than 800 yards in the season-opener and scored 72 points, but since then the Tigers have not scored more than 14 points in a game.
Quarterback Drew Lock is widely-considered the best or second-best quarterback in the SEC. He’s currently second in passing with 278.8 yards per game. He doesn’t have to do it all either. Demarea Crockett rushed for more than 1,000 yards in 2016 as a true freshman; this year he’s fourth in the conference with 93.8 yards per game.
How does this offense not score points? Turnovers and third downs.
Lock has thrown six interceptions to help give the Tigers a -9 turnover margin, ranked last in the SEC and tied for 127th in the nation. On third down, the Missouri offense is in the middle of the road, converting 38 percent of the time (just a hair better than UK), but the Missouri defense is a completely different story. They let their opponents convert on third down 50 percent of the time (No. 121 in the nation).
The Missouri defense has NFL talent, yet they might be the worst defense in the history of defenses (and I remember Hal Mumme’s porous defensive product). If you look in the national rankings in the four major statistical categories, you will not find Missouri until you get into the 100s.
- Scoring Defense: 40 points per game, #123
- Rushing Defense: 192.3 yards per game, #102
- Passing Defense: 257.8 yards, #105
- Total Defense: 452 yards, #107
Judging purely off the stats, the Tigers look like a team with a bad defense and an offense than can be great if they don’t turn the ball over. The recipe for a Kentucky win: score points, force Mizzou to make some mistakes and posses the football.