With five games remaining on Kentucky’s schedule, the final path looks a lot different than anyone could’ve imagined before the season began. Leaving Georgia out of the conversation, the Wildcats could be favored in every game as the upcoming opponents aren’t what we expected at the start.
Let’s check in on the current state of each of those five opponents left in Kentucky’s way in 2017…
Lexington, Ky. | Saturday, October 28
Tennessee is in shambles. It’s a dumpster fire down there in Knoxville as the Vols have now gone a full calendar month without scoring an offensive touchdown. Butch Jones still has his job, somehow, but if Kentucky handles its business on Saturday, he gone.
The Vols are so bad.
ESPN FPI Win Probability: 56.2%
Lexington, Ky. | Saturday, November 4
Ole Miss was a scary team for the Wildcats — until Shea Patterson suffered a torn knee ligament that will keep him out the rest of the season. Patterson is the SEC’s leading passer with 2,259 yards through the air, but he will not be making the trip to Lexington in two weeks. The Cats will now see Jordan Ta’amu, a JUCO transfer with seven career completions, at QB for the Rebels.
While the news of Patterson’s unfortunate injury likely increases Kentucky’s odds in that game, it’s worth noting that Jordan Ta’amu is a running quarterback. So, there’s that.
ESPN FPI Win Probability: 59.6%
Nashville, Tn. | Saturday, November 11
Vanderbilt had a bye this past weekend, so it did not lose a football game for a fifth consecutive Saturday, which is nice. The Commodores will see South Carolina and Western Kentucky to right the ship before hosting the Wildcats in Nashville, where Kentucky hasn’t won since 2009.
ESPN FPI Win Probability: 53.5%
Athens, Ga. | Saturday, November 18
After watching Mississippi State run all over Kentucky for 282 yards this past weekend, there is very little reason to believe in the Cats at Georgia. Georgia’s rushing attack averages 283 yards per game, which ranks 11th in the entire nation, and the defense ranks third with only 253 total yards allowed per game.
ESPN FPI Win Probability: 5.8%
Lexington, Ky. | Saturday, November 25
Lamar Jackson is special. Everyone else on Louisville’s roster, is not.
Maybe he’ll fumble again?
ESPN FPI Win Probability: 31.5%