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Defensive Havoc Statistics Equaled Wins or Losses


Defensive “Havoc” statistics are explosive plays that alter the course of a drive or opposing offensive series. For example; tackles for loss, quarterback sacks, forced fumbles, and quarterback hurries are a few classifications that align with this category. It should come as no surprise that the higher number of havoc statistics produce a greater likelihood for victory. This theory was tested and proven by the Wildcats over the course of 13 games in 2017.

Let’s take a look at how those numbers were distributed in wins and losses as well as by position groups over the course of the 2017 season:

@Southern Miss–Win, 24-17

Total Yards Surrendered: 364

Tackles for Loss: 8

  • Linebacker-5
  • Secondary-2
  • Defensive Line-1

Quarterback Sacks: 2

  • Linebacker-2
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

Eastern Kentucky–Win, 27-16

Total Yards Surrendered: 318

Tackles for Loss: 3

  • Linebacker-1.5
  • Secondary-1
  • Defensive Line-.5

Quarterback Sacks: 1

  • Linebacker-1
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

@South Carolina–Win, 23-13

Total Yards Surrendered: 358

Tackles for Loss: 3

  • Linebacker-1.5
  • Secondary-1
  • Defensive Line-.5

Quarterback Sacks: 2

  • Linebacker-2
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

Florida–Loss, 27-28

Total Yards Surrendered: 395

Tackles for Loss: 4

  • Linebacker-3
  • Secondary-1
  • Defensive Line-0

Quarterback Sacks: 1

  • Linebacker-1
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

Eastern Michigan–Win, 24-20

Total Yards Surrendered: 312

 Tackles for Loss: 7

  • Linebacker-5
  • Secondary-
  • Defensive Line-2

Quarterback Sacks: 5

  • Linebacker-3
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-2

Missouri–Win, 40-34

Total Yards Surrendered: 568

Tackles for Loss: 2

  • Linebacker-1.5
  • Secondary-.5
  • Defensive Line-0

Quarterback Sacks: 1

  • Linebacker-1
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

@Mississippi State–Loss, 7-45

Total Yards Surrendered: 441

Tackles for Loss: 3

  • Linebacker-2
  • Secondary-1
  • Defensive Line-0

Quarterback Sacks: 0

  • Linebacker-0
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line- 0

Tennessee–Win, 29-26

Total Yards Surrendered: 445

Tackles for Loss: 12

  • Linebacker-6.5
  • Secondary-3.5
  • Defensive Line-2

Quarterback Sacks: 7

  • Linebacker-4
  • Secondary-2
  • Defensive Line-1 

Ole Miss–Loss, 34-37

Total Yards Surrendered: 473

Tackles for Loss: 7

  • Linebacker-5
  • Secondary-2
  • Defensive Line-0

Quarterback Sacks: 3

  • Linebacker-3
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

@Vanderbilt–Win, 44-21

Total Yards Surrendered: 368

Tackles for Loss: 6

  • Linebacker-4
  • Secondary-1
  • Defensive Line- 1

Quarterback Sacks: 3

  • Linebacker-3
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

@Georgia–Loss, 13-42

Total Yards Surrendered: 504

Tackles for Loss: 1

  • Linebacker-0
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-1

Quarterback Sacks: 1

  • Linebacker-0
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-1

Louisville–Loss, 17-44

Total Yards Surrendered: 562

Tackles for Loss: 2

  • Linebacker-.5
  • Secondary-.5
  • Defensive Line-1

Quarterback Sacks: 0

  • Linebacker-0
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-0

Northwestern–Loss, 23-24

Total Yards Surrendered: 442

Tackles for Loss: 5

  • Linebacker-2
  • Secondary-.5
  • Defensive Line- 2.5

Quarterback Sacks: 2

  • Linebacker-1
  • Secondary-0
  • Defensive Line-1

What does all this mean?

Simple math indicates that Kentucky averaged 5.9 tackles for loss and 3 quarterback sacks in its seven wins. Losses tell a different numerical story. The Wildcats averaged just 3.6 tackles for loss and 1.1 quarterback sacks in defeat.

A factor that must be considered is that the Cats faced multiple offenses that relied upon a quick-passing scheme which resulted in a low number of TFL’s and sacks across the board. It must also be noted that UK averaged just 2 tackles for loss and 0.33 quarterback sacks in its three lopsided losses against Mississippi State, Georgia, and Louisville.

I do my best to interpret coach speak during press conferences. Mark Stoops was rather matter-of-fact when discussing his defensive line. This means that an emphasis will be placed on production. With rising depth comes increased on-field accountability. Quinton Bohanna is a rising star and will be joined by true freshman Marquan McCall at nose tackle. The Josh Paschal Effect will cost another presumed starter his job. That only leaves one spot on the first team and that position will be highly contested. Competition is a handy coaching tool that has been rare during Stoops’ first five years at the helm.

Mark Stoops has been a 3-4 coach during his stay in Lexington. An emphasis has been placed on the linebackers. During its seven victories, the four linebacker positions averaged 3.5 tackles for loss and 2.2 quarterback sacks. However, in its six losses, the LB’s produced just 2 tackles for loss and 0.8 quarterback sacks. These numbers indicate just how vital the linebackers are within the 3-4 scheme.

The bottom line is that UK must intensify its “Havoc” stats in 2018. With three All SEC linebackers returning to go along with Josh Paschal moving inside to join Quinton Bohanna as well as a senior laden secondary, I’d expect for these numbers to increase.

Article written by Freddie Maggard

Former University of Kentucky Quarterback and Andy Griffith Fan Club President

5 responses to “Defensive Havoc Statistics Equaled Wins or Losses”

  1. cats646

    Keep the football posts comin Freddie!! Can’t wait till season!

  2. Bill the Cat

    Disappointing year from the secondary helped prevent alot of pressure in my opin. I still think we play too far off the ball with our DBs sometimes which only helps a QB with his hot read. Hard for a DB to make a play without penalty when the receiver has so much room to close the angle on him early in the route. Looking forward to this season!

  3. notFromhere

    And the 3 games they should’ve won were won in the havoc stats, but lost by the offense not taking advantage. Really need to upgrade the offensive (mostly passing) stats to get to 10 this year and in the years ahead. To get to SEC title, need to also add more depth of talent in the defensive interior that they have in the OLB and secondary.

  4. UoKFB PHAN

    Hey Freddie, do you really think Marquan McCall will see the field as a true freshman? If so, do you think it will be more out of necessity or because of this ability to come in and perform? Yes, he has size but as we all know that doesn’t necessarily relate to performance.

  5. Glenn Fohr

    Freddie, we going 4-3 this year? We truly stink in the 3-4. Can’t stop the run, can’t stop the pass.