Kentucky Sports Radio
[Moderated by Matt Jones]
[Moderated by Matt Jones]
As I was perusing the lines for this Saturday’s games and looking for some winners, I was SHOCKED at the UK line. South Carolina a three point favorite? Are you kidding me? I understand that South Carolina can win the game….but UK is at home, coming off a good Alabama performance and South Carolina has been only solid for one game this season (the last one). I can see calling the Cats a favorite….I can see calling the game a toss-up. But in Commonwealth Stadium, the Cats cant be a three point dog….that is saying they are a 6 point dog on a neutral field. That to me, is impossible.
Yes beating Spurrier will be hard. But I look at sports wagering as a “if they played 100 times, what would happen” type of deal. The median performance for 100 games, is not the Cocks by 3 (in my view, the Cats win this game 58 out of 100 times….very scientific formulation by the way). What does that mean? Load up on the Cats.
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October 10th, 2008 at 2:03 pm
yummy!
October 10th, 2008 at 2:10 pm
more like scary
October 10th, 2008 at 2:11 pm
Vegas has never liked UK football… NEVER.
October 10th, 2008 at 2:17 pm
Yeah I guess “Vegas” is prejudice against UK football rather than attempting to make a profit on the spread.
October 10th, 2008 at 2:23 pm
Spreads are set by “trends” regardless of the difference in teams. The “trend” is that Spurrier has had our number, so he has a way to beat us. Not that I believe it because every team and year is different but there is a lot to be said about how close the odds makers get on their predictions.
The odds makers do this for a living and we (gamblers) try to make a living gambling. They did not build those big buildings and lights everywhere by being stupid.
There are a lot of people licking their chops at this line and I hope the CATS make fools out of the odds makers.
Go Cats (and welcome aboard Daniel. LOL)
October 10th, 2008 at 2:24 pm
#4 Exactly. It isn’t Vegas, its the people betting in Vegas. Vegas makes their money regardless and the odds reflect that.
October 10th, 2008 at 2:26 pm
Odds=spread
October 10th, 2008 at 2:29 pm
Wait are we talking about the blonde nicknamed “Cocky”? She is easy on the eyes.
This is the CATS year against Spurrier. Take the CATS and the Points to the Bank ( or maybe the Credit Union would be safer)!
October 10th, 2008 at 2:36 pm
Your right, but the spread is set to get the money flowing at a level that is equal. UK fans look at this and say, “Are you kidding me?” (Like Jonesy and the rest of us) while the Rednecked Cocky Nation (by the way, Columbia is the Armpit of the south–worse place I have ever visited) believes that they will crush UK’s hopes on the last play of the game or fore 47 turnovers like last year.
In the end, Vegas wins and they have started the ball rolling. This spread will surely change once the money starts rolling in. It makes no sense how they determined this except by looking at the “trends”.
October 10th, 2008 at 2:40 pm
Until UK can actually move the ball, they deserve to be dogs. So far they have given no indication that they can score (or even move the ball) against any SEC caliber defenses.
October 10th, 2008 at 2:49 pm
The line opened Tuesday at Uk by 1 but it has been hammered by people betting the Cocks. Thats why its been such a big shift
October 10th, 2008 at 2:51 pm
TITTIES!!
October 10th, 2008 at 2:56 pm
UK is going to win this game…just a feeling.
October 10th, 2008 at 2:57 pm
The spread against Alabama was 16.5. How’d that work out. Cats will win!
October 10th, 2008 at 3:29 pm
Hey Matt good to know I’m not alone on the crazy sports betting formulations. However, I must admit the one you presented was actually feasible. I love home dogs when the teams are evenly matched. We owe them from last time they visited the Commonwealth.
October 10th, 2008 at 3:31 pm
I’d like to eat her liver with a side of fava beans and a bottle of Chianti!! Cats by 14
October 10th, 2008 at 3:40 pm
I’d like to show her my cocky.
October 10th, 2008 at 4:04 pm
This is a MUST win for the Cats, and I hope they play like it.
October 10th, 2008 at 4:28 pm
Actually I saw the line earlier this week with the CATS as a 2.5 favorite. So what has happened is that people don’t
know college football other than the elite teams and they see Kentucky as still a doormat team and they see that Spurrier
is at South Carolina so they bet Carolina. So much was bet on Carolina apparently that the line has changed? I’m not
a big gambler, but if I were I’d bet the farm on the CATS and 3 points.
Here’s to us ending Spurrier’s time as coach at USCjr, cause if they lose this game, they will be calling for his job.
October 11th, 2008 at 4:31 pm
What now Matt Jones? Your an idiot