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December 28, 2006

Music City Breakdown: Kentucky

by @ 10:39 am. Filed under John W.

Only one other remaining bowl offers a spread as asymmetrical as Friday’s Music City (+10; Orange Bowl); needless to say, Kentucky strolls into Nashville/Hop-town facing quite the daunting task. Our Wildcats have proven their capability this season, and their resolve, as well. It was a fun season to say the least, as Kentucky proved their offensive muscle was capable of flexing on just about anyone’s watch. En route to leading the SEC in passing yards and passing touchdowns, QB Andre’ Woodson emerged from his timid cocoon of yesteryear to become an elite college gun-slinger. The Marty Jannetty to Woodson’s Shawn Michaels, WR Keenan Burton, was finally blessed with a season of health to fully showcase his NFL caliber skill. Couple that with the surfacing of the once-exiled Dickey Lyons, Jr. (DLJ to the out of loopers), the shimmy of handyman Rafael Little, and Commonwealth was graced with an exceptionally potent offense this season. Then, there’s da D…or whatever you call that kind of thing. Down there, at #118, wedged between behemoths like Temple and Louisiana Tech, you’ll find Kentucky’s total defense ranking. Through the 411 passing yards forfeited to Central Michigan, and the 351 rushing yards at the wily feet of Louisiana-Monroe, D-coordinator Mike Archer managed to keep his job (and a nice Christmas bonus to boot). As porous as the D has been this year, UK fans trekked through the Holiday season with an unfamiliar sweet taste in their mouths. As agonizing as Kentucky’s loss to Tennessee indeed was, Archer and Co. showed us that they are capable of the occasional 3 and out. Yet, even with these glaring stats of mediocrity, Kentucky lead the SEC in turnovers gained. Stunning when you think about it, but probably the only reason UK’s season didn’t end on the checkered turf of Neyland.

The X-factor
It’s clear that in terms of sheer talent, Clemson is a Benz to UK’s Volvo. But as the FSU’s, Miami’s, and UGA’s have recently reaffirmed, games are more than .40 yard dashes and bench-press competitions. Motivation. Kentucky and us fans are treating this like the Super Bowl, as the grueling trudge through probation has been both symbolically, and tangibly conquered. Kentucky took care of business at the right time, and comes in hot, winners of 5 of their last six. Like Kentucky, Clemson was not supposed to be here. Simply put, Clemson looks at this bowl as the fat chick tagged for prey by the Turkey Hunter. Can Bowden rally his troops? Does Bowden even care enough to rally his troops? We’ll have to wait and find out, but the one known truth is that UK is happier than white trash at Kings Island, while Clemson is the impatient businessman in charge of keeping 5 restless kids entertained with roller-coasters and funnel cakes.

My take: What a matchup: Kentucky’s sterling offense vs. Clemson’s steely defense. UK has proven they can move the sticks against the best of ‘em, and come in with massive shoulder chips and assured confidence. With their coach freshly inked, their fans overwhelming the stadium, and oh yeah, the first trip to the postseason in seven years, Kentucky could warm-up to “Tears in Heaven” and still be frothing to go. But where the Cats have the motivation edge, they’ll still have to find a way to contain Davis and Spiller…and I don’t think they have the horses to do it for 4 quarters. Archer’s best bet is to put at 8 in the box and hope Proctor can’t pick apart single coverage. On the other hand, the Tigers will face an aerial attack of the likes they have yet to see this year. Kentucky’s shaky O-line has to play big, with the likes of Adams lurking the trenches and speedy LB’s blitzing and keying the pass. No doubt, this is a shootout. If UK can force a couple of TO’s, and maybe get a big play on special teams, they can win. They can also lose, and lose big. I’ll say Clemson 38 Kentucky 27

135 Responses to “Music City Breakdown: Kentucky”

  1. Des Moines Rugby Says:

    If Archer doesn’t put 8 in the box and run blitz at least 70% of the time we have no chance.
    Make their weakest link beat us. Their QB hasn’t proven he can meet the challenge yet, so take
    the game to them. That is my biggest problem with Archer is he stays in his base defense and never
    makes adjustments. Our secondary is capable of man to man coverage and this type of defensive
    strategy gives us the best opportunity to pull out a win. Use our athletic linebackers to take the fight
    to the Tigers.

  2. Gimel Martinez Says:

    “but the one known truth is that UK is happier than white trash at Kings Island”

    Well done, good Intern. Well done indeed.

  3. Han Says:

    KY 40, Clemson 32.
    Odds aren’t good, but those are the numbers that came to me.

  4. Jacob Adam Brooks Says:

    agree #1… several times this year (and I mean several several times) an oppenent has done the same thing about 30 times… to the point where everyone at home and in the stands knows whats coming.. and Archer still didn’ tmake an adjustment. I remember the post game quotes from the UL Monroe game… the bit about how “THEY” made us try to figure out which one was gonig to get the ball… the qb or the rb…aka them running an offense… and that it was that scheme that caused problems for ARcher… if he doesn’t throw 8 in the box and attack their run they’ll put up 400 against us on the ground… I’d rather make Proctor try to beat us through the air…

  5. Gerald Says:

    My prediction:

    Clemson 45, UK 28

  6. kb22stang Says:

    My worry is more about our offense then our defense. The rationale is this. We know the defense stinks. We’ll probably give up 30+, then Tenn game was a fluke simply because they refused to just lineup and run it down our throats.

    The offense on the other hand is supposed to be our strong suite. But in the 2nd half vs UT and Fl and against LSU the offense hasn’t done jack squat. That can’t happen even for a half for us to have a shot.

    If the offense comes out and executes the entire game we have a shot. If not, it could be a 20+ point loss.

  7. Anonymous Says:

    Matt Jones blows the farm!!! Puke lover.

  8. cyeast97 Says:

    I think it’s all up to our O-Line…. like always
    If Woodson gets time we will not get blown out,
    I just hope Woodyard gets a good shot at Spiller.
    He nailed UT’s frosh RB and you know it got
    him a little rattled.

  9. seank Says:

    UK 45 Clemson 14

  10. seank Says:

    No, I’m not on crack……..tonite!! GO CATS!!!!!

  11. Simple Man Says:

    I hope I’m wrong, and the score is reversed, but I say Clemson wins, 44-17. Their ability to run the ball and our ability to not stop it worries me.

  12. Gimel Martinez Says:

    Intern, no offense, but I’m sure glad you and Matt were really wrong about this prediction. :)

  13. Tom Gray Says:

    Nearly got UK points right (off by 1). Giving credit where due.

  14. Des Moines Rugby Says:

    Other than going to the prevent too early our defensive scheme was as I suggested and worked to perfection. Proctor couldn’t make enough plays against our db’s claim a victory.

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