[Moderated by Matt Jones, Drew Franklin and Tyler Thompson]
Mississippi State will enter Commonwealth Stadium, quite possibly as the best Bulldogs team Starkville has seen in a long time. In recent memory, MSU along with Ole Miss have been those make-it or break-it games for Kentucky’s season. Win them and you’re on your way to a bowl game – or you make up an earlier blunder to get back on track. Lose it, and you’re slipping mightily.
Mississippi State is no joke anymore. They’re thinking SEC Championship, and they will have no fear of Kentucky on the road during this trip to Lexington.
Below are a few charts to compare where each team is currently at this season in offensive and defensive categories.
In the passing game, Kentucky is currently sitting at a 60.9% completion percentage, while Mississippi State is at 54.5%. Advantage in the passing game would go to Kentucky if Maxwell Smith were playing. But with Jalen Whitlow and possibly Patrick Towles, there’s not telling what will happen.
On the ground, Mississippi State has the clear advantage, running for 5-yards per attempt. Kentucky is running for 4.3-yards per attempt, which isn’t horrible, but Kentucky’s backs are banged up, and MSU has a deep platoon fall back on.
Some big discrepancies here. Mississippi State is scoring a lot more points and giving up a lot less, while Kentucky is scoring a lot less points and giving up a lot more. Turnovers could become a problem as well. MSU has picked off nine passes in four games, good for second-best in the country. The Cats will be running out a pair of freshmen quarterbacks…
Something to consider, however, is a stat that won’t appear in most box scores. The combined opponent’s record. Kentucky opponents are 21-2, with one loss coming to Alabama and the other loss being Kent State’s defeat at the hands of Kentucky. Compare that to the combined record of Mississippi State opponents of 8-11.
This final chart is a good showing that Kentucky struggles to do a lot of little things. Red zone scoring should be better and field goals percentage has been awful so far. One positive is that third down conversions have been much improved over last season, partially because the offense is moving the ball on first and second down. Fourth down conversions, however, are 0-for-8.
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Bill Keightley Report : Never to be forgotten.
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October 3rd, 2012 at 8:15 pm
Should have listed Miss. States awful schedule so far this year.
Sat, Sept 1
vs
Jackson State
W
56-9
Sat, Sept 8
vs
Auburn
W
28-10
Sat, Sept 15
@
Troy
W
30-24
Sat, Sept 22
vs
South Alabama
W
30-10
October 3rd, 2012 at 8:25 pm
And who is their next opponent ?
October 3rd, 2012 at 8:25 pm
Why would anybody fear Ky ????
October 3rd, 2012 at 8:39 pm
UK has a football team????
October 3rd, 2012 at 8:45 pm
“if Maxwell Smith were playing”. Glad you finally came out from under your rock.
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:02 pm
HATE that Max got hurt – BUT – let’s quit acting like he is / was Peyton Manning. Max has lost most of his starts AND lost to Western. We will not be able to live down the Western loss for a LONG, LONG time.
What will it say about Max / joker is 2 freshmen (or 1 90% of the time) can beat a SEC team that is favored by 10+ points?
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:02 pm
that post read “harrison twins, harrison twins, harrison twins, harrison twins, harrison twins, harrison twins, 5pm ESPNU, harrison twins, harrison twins, unless it leaks first, harrison twins, harrison twins…….”
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:09 pm
jai lucas is playing in latvia. if anybody was wondering
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:14 pm
I thought football season ended weeks ago…
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:15 pm
Towles will lead UK to a win over MSU and the Maxwell Smith era will officially be over
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:22 pm
And another Loss for UK. FIRE JOKER
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:23 pm
I know this is off topic, but someone please give Obama a Tele prompter. He stumbling on his words and looks out of place.
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:26 pm
I cannot stop watching the blinking!!! STOP THE MADNESS!!!
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:33 pm
I’m getting crushed in this debate.
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:36 pm
won’t be long now:
http://mycountdown.org/fullpage.php?cp3_Hex=0F0200&cp2_Hex=EDEFF4&cp1_Hex=025EA5&ham=0&img=&hbg=0&hfg=0&sid=0&fwdt=400&lab=1&text1=Big%20Blue%20Madness&text2=Big%20Blue%20Madness&group=Event&countdown=New%20Season&widget_number=3010&event_time=1350068400&timezone=America/New_York
October 3rd, 2012 at 9:55 pm
In all seriousness, whats going on with Obama tonite hes just not himself. Is it because Romney has stepped up his game?
October 4th, 2012 at 1:35 pm
Its because the man can not think on his feet. Majority of the interviews he gives,,,he gets the questions ahead of time and limits the scope of the interview. He stepped up to the podium and the teleprompters were not there and it was over. As for Romney,,,,he had something like 20 debates with Gingrich,,,he is not afraid of Obama.