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BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: Just How Improbable Is This??


Here were the 4 major themes that I think came from this weekend:

 1. How in the hell did Butler make the Final Four AGAIN?
2. How in the hell did UCONN make the Final Four with just 1 player?
3. How in the hell did VCU make the Final Four by beating Kansas by 10?
4. How in the hell did Kentucky make the Final Four with their draw?

Whether or not it has been the best NCAA Tournament in history is up for debate.  But, there can be no dispute about it being the most improbable tournament in history.  Never has there been a Final 4 with no 1 or 2 seeds.  It is the highest cumulative seed total for any Final Four in history.  And as amazing as this seems, none of the Final 4 participants won their conference in the regular season.  But, even though Kentucky is the betting favorite in Houston, their run might be the most improbable, when you consider the opponents. 

For comparisons sake, compare some of these past Final 4 teams to the 2011 version (since the tourney expanded in 1985):

COMBINED SEEDS BEATEN TO REACH THE FINAL FOUR
2011: 21 (13, 5, 1, 2)
1997: 30 (16, 8, 4, 2)
1996: 31 (16, 9, 4, 2)
1993: 32 (16, 8, 5, 3)
1998: 32 (15, 10, 6, 1)

COMBINED MARGIN OF VICTORY TO REACH FINAL FOUR
2011: 19 points
1998: 70 points
1997: 72 points
1996: 113 points
1993: 124 points

-Kentucky had NEVER even reached the Elite 8 as anything worse than a 3-seed since the tournament expanded in 1985. 

-Kentucky had NEVER reached the Final Four as anything worse than a 2-seed since seeding began in 1979.

-Kentucky had NEVER won an NCAA Tournament game with a basket inside of 10 seconds.  They have done it twice in 2011.

-Kentucky had NEVER beaten Ohio State or North Carolina in the NCAA Tournament, a total of 7 losses.

And despite all of that above being against the Cats, and they overcame it, the most improbable statement of them all is this: 

KENTUCKY IS FAVORED TO WIN THE TITLE!!!

Personally, I like “The Improbables” for this team.  I know “The Avengers” has gained some steam, but if this team wins it all, IMPROBABLE is the most accurate word to describe them.

Article written by Bryan the Intern

127 responses to “BTI’s Rants and Ramblings: Just How Improbable Is This??”

  1. martinbluther

    Is there a 1 seed this year?

  2. BlueWorldOrder

    What is going on with the math?

  3. Jeff

    This post makes no sense.

  4. A Cat In The Swamp

    “The Improbables” sorta sounds a little disrespectful to the players. It’s accurate, but a nickname that sounds like we did not have faith in there abilities seems like one we could do without.

  5. Check your seeds

    May want to proof read BTI

  6. mike

    Your numbers for the seeds do not support the claim in the paragraph above it and 3 times you have 16 seeds in the final four………you suck

  7. BigBlueOne

    I think BTI was drinking when he came up with the seeding thing. Not accurate.

  8. Czech KY Fan

    BTI, your Kenpom research on what ‘ratings’ a final four team needs.. was full of it.

    Here’s some numbers for you.

    3+4/2,000.43*43.33*2(15/88.43)/65,002.29-1+6=BTI sucks.

  9. LB

    A 16 seed has never beaten a 1 seed, but 3 of them made the Final Four…impressive!

  10. not a dog person

    Never would have thunk it, but we may actually see Jorts’ jersey hanging in Rupp

  11. martinbluther

    Yeah, there is a 26 total seed number for the FF this year.

  12. not a dog person

    ummmm you complainers are misreading bti’s post

  13. WHAT!

    SO your Saying that ’96 KY was NOT a #1 seed….dude…

  14. For reals

    Listened to the post game yesterday online. BTI sounds like a big dork. GO CATS!!!

  15. ukodiak

    He is listing the combined seeds that were beaten on UK’s Final Four teams, not the combined seeds that made the Final Four. This year they beat a 13, 5, 1 and 2 seed.

  16. Manbearpig

    Understand the numbers BTI the combined seeds are the seeds UK had to beat in order to get to the Final 4, this year compared to other years UK basically got the shafted and still won.

    There’s too many names we can call this team but I’m only happy with one, NCAA CHAMPIONS!!!

  17. Manbearpig

    Understand the numbers BTI the combined seeds are the seeds UK had to beat in order to get to the Final 4, this year compared to other years UK basically got the shafted and still won.

    There’s too many names we can call this team but I’m only happy with one, NCAA CHAMPIONS!!!

  18. martinbluther

    13 for 2010

  19. Manbearpig

    *why did it post twice?? fml

  20. Markedman

    I like the label “unbelieveables” myself.

  21. martinbluther

    22 in 2000

  22. Jay-Z

    “Jigga’s Jort’s Cat’s” FTMFW

  23. martinbluther

    13 in 92

  24. eric

    He is giving the seeds that we have beaten this year to make the final 4, compared to previous tourney runs

  25. mike

    apologies BTI…….just glanced at the stats cause I normally can’t bear to read your entire submissions :)

  26. martinbluther

    15 in 86; BTI’s point is well-taken. As far as the numbers go, only 200 was even close, really, to having the underdog factor that this year has…. maybe it was a typing error…

  27. redemption

    the rematch cats

  28. Matt Jones is God

    Less BTI articles, more celebration videos.

  29. martinbluther

    15 in 86; BTI’s point is well-taken. As far as the numbers go, only 2000 was even close, really, to having the underdog factor that this year has…. maybe it was a typing error…

  30. Old man sleeping in lower arena

    That was the seeds we beat fellas. Was that hard to understand? I forgive u. We all blue in this biach.

  31. thoughts

    the “i’m comin after ur momma” cats

  32. Paducah UK fan

    Wonder if Trevor watched the games this past weekend. If Cal comes knocking–you should sign on the dotted line NOW.

  33. Mattius00
  34. Grammar King

    I don’t think the “Improbables” would be how this team would want to be remembered. Sure, it might represent them in some way, but I think the “Redeem Team” represents them better and has a much more positive connotation.

  35. bluesince66

    Gotta give you credit BTI on keeping your cool for the most part. People get on here and completely misread your post and call you an idiot.

  36. 193

    TEAM REDEMPTION!

  37. TSlone08

    I’m thinking “The Undeniables”

  38. Lloyd Christmas

    good post B…i agree on the name “The Improbables”

  39. BlooBloodCat

    THE REDEEM TEAM

  40. Lloyd Christmas

    actually our team should be called “Avenged Sevenfold” (Florida, Alabama, Georgia, Vandy, West Virginia, UNC, UConn) god damn you Ole Miss for making it 8

  41. swammy

    PAYBACK CATS

  42. jmh1304

    All UK team don’t have to have a nickname just to be having one. If it’s forced it’s not the same as one just sticking with a team. I go with #18 on this nickname thing, NCAA CHAMPIONS!!!

  43. Boogiewoogie

    I’m glad everybody decided to chill out and see what BTI was trying to do. Good post BTI. This team has earned everything in this tourney. No free passes, no cake walks. Let the haters hate, the Cats have had to beat the best to get to Houston. Now they have to face the best player in the country to move on. It’s not about the best player, it’s about the best team!

    Go Cats!!!

  44. swammy

    @34, maybe we could alter it a bit for more of a deandre lean: “don’t do it cats”

  45. RickRobey

    I like “THE REDEEM TEAM”

  46. J.D.

    If we cut down the nets in Houston, how ’bout The Unstoppables?

  47. Aziz

    I’m with 49 – THE REDEEM TEAM!!

  48. Al's IndiCats

    Who ever posted “The Redeem Team” or Team redeem I like that! I still can’t believe it. This has been one badass team!

  49. CoachButcher

    What about “The Believers”? I mean we may think of them as the “Improbables” but they had to believe in themselves and their coaches.

  50. AlwaysTrueBlue(ATB)

    That’s because we were seeded wrong by the selection committee.

    Call them whatever in the heck you want I plan on calling them Champions :)

  51. DaNastyJuan

    I like “The Unstoppables”…. went through more road blocks than any team in UK history to reach this point…

  52. ukchampion

    the improbables sounds too impersonal. like you’re just stating a mathematical fact about the team’s low odds of making it this far. in other words its just way too “BTI”, and no one wants to be remembered that way.

    I’m not good at nicknames but i like any of the others better than that. i mean seriously – the improbables – that’s what you come up with?? do us all a favor and please remove yourself from having any input on the nickname.

    otherwise good post!

  53. DirtyDeeds

    I think what has stood out the most for me these past few games has been the resiliency of our guys in the last minute or few seconds of the game, I’m calling them “THE CLUTCH CATS”.

  54. Steady

    2010-2001 NCAA Champions has a nice ring to it.

  55. GoCatsGo

    Cal’s Cardiac Cats.

  56. Steady

    i misspelled a number….fml—-2010-2011

  57. NegativeForNoReason

    Nice post BTI….I prefer the Avengers though. It makes them sound like superheroes.

  58. cracka

    i don’t think you even worry about the team nickname unless they win the tourney

  59. BLUECATFAN

    I say the Savy Six.

  60. Josh

    I know the shtick on this site is to flame BTI for anything and everything he posts, but I think he does a good job quantifying what we have all been feeling about this team’s special run.

    Plus he is doing a fabulous job on the radio show. Maybe it’s time to get off his back a little?

  61. SheaDaddy

    The better nickname for this team: The Undeniables. These guys simply will not be denied!

  62. Keith

    I think that we need to identify the coaching staff on this one…what about Cal’s Incredibles?

  63. jim russell

    The Sensational Six

  64. jggfc

    Uconn does not just have one player. Jeremy Lamb is a first round pick. Saying that we are still gonna win.

  65. HiMyNameIs

    How about…”2011 NCAA Men’s Basketball Champions” that’s my personal favorite.

  66. JNaismith

    Bellarmine and Pikeville are champions, UK is in the final four. The state of Kentucky is once again at the center of the basketball universe, just as I planned.

  67. Bledsoe's Biceps

    The Eunuchs – because they did it without an Enes. :-) Couldn’t resist. I like the Redeem Team suggestion.

  68. bandalumnus

    A friend of mine who is a UNC grad texted me after the game to say congratulations, and commented that the “payback tour” continues in Houston, which I thought was very funny. So, my choice of a nickname would be the “Payback Cats.”

  69. Don

    The Irreplaceables

    The Unbreakables

  70. swammy

    can we just take another teams name?? Team USA was the redeem team, we need something that when someone says it in conversation you don’t have to ask, “which one?”

  71. bigbluecats350

    right now lets just hope we are calling them National Champions next monday night. Ill go with that

  72. RodneyfromMcKee

    I like “The Unstoppables”, but my preference would be
    “Lil’ Josh and the Miracles”

  73. Greg Evans

    I think we should be called “TEAM REDEMPTION.” I mean not only did we avenge the loss to WVU from last year, but we have also beat 5 of the 8 teams that we have lost to this year, and a chance to make UCONN #6. On top of that, the teams that we have beat in UNC and Ohio St., typically in the past have gave us problems. Not to mention the GROWN A** Man that Jorts has turned into when everyone including myself doubted him. This team has more then exceeded expectations, and made people like myself who doubted them early in the year, “TRUE BELIEVERS.” The legend of JORTS continues……. GO BIG BLUE!!!!

  74. TrueBlueinPaducah

    I like the “Redeem Team” or “the Avengers”

  75. Greg Evans

    I think we should be called “TEAM REDEMPTION.” I mean not only did we avenge the loss to WVU from last year, but we have also beat 5 of the 8 teams that we have lost to this year, and a chance to make UCONN #6. On top of that, the teams that we have beat in UNC and Ohio St., typically in the past have gave us problems. Not to mention the GROWN A** Man that Jorts has turned into when everyone including myself doubted him. This team has more then exceeded expectations, and made people like myself who doubted them early in the year, “TRUE BELIEVERS.” The legend of JORTS continues……. GO BIG BLUE!!!!

  76. Greg Evans

    I think we should be called “TEAM REDEMPTION.” I mean not only did we avenge the loss to WVU from last year, but we have also beat 5 of the 8 teams that we have lost to this year, and a chance to make UCONN #6. On top of that, the teams that we have beat in UNC and Ohio St., typically in the past have gave us problems. Not to mention the GROWN A** Man that Jorts has turned into when everyone including myself doubted him. This team has more then exceeded expectations, and made people like myself who doubted them early in the year, “TRUE BELIEVERS.” The legend of JORTS continues……. GO BIG BLUE!!!!

  77. Herewego

    what an amazing run!!! Hope all the UK fans who were bashing this team a month ago are hiding in a corner somewhere, all those who commented on the one and dones, all those saying Cal is a good recruiter but not a good coach. Hows that crow tasting now? You really don’t deserve to enjoy what this team has done, but never the less I hope you have enjoyed it as much as I have. Go CAts!

  78. LtDan

    When I looked outside this morning it was snowing, BUT I knew it was spring time because there were 5 cardinals sitting on a fence watching the CATS play!

  79. martinbluther

    my bad… maybe i misread this originally…

  80. mjblue2

    I like “Payback Cats” also. Also, I don’t understand why some of you guys are always given BTI such a hard time. It is obvious he listed those seeds in the order the games were played. You may not like every post but looking for a reason to @itch is just silly. FINAL FOUR–GO CATS!!

  81. dwcts

    Undeniables

  82. steve

    This team has been winning by sheer deterination.
    There is no adjective/noun/adverb that describes them
    better than “Determinators.”

  83. steve

    This team has won by sheer determination.
    And, there is no better adjective/noun/adverb
    that better describes them than “Determinators.”

  84. en2ec

    I like “The Avengers.” With the exception of Arkansas because they only played them once this year, this team has avenged every loss from this year and now will do the same with UCONN. Plus, they avenged the loss to WVU last year. Having never beaten OSU and UNC in the tournament, they also avenged all of those previous losses, not to mention the loss to UNC earlier this year.

  85. tgaines

    I want credit for this name if it sticks: The Undeniables

  86. OneAndDone

    The Payback Cats

  87. Jmet80

    How about the revengers, culminated this Saturday Night

  88. calipeari

    redeam team

  89. TreyDay

    Payback Cats have my vote. WVU (loss last year in tourney), OSU (5 losses in tourney), UNC (2 losses in tourney & regular season), UCONN (loss in regular season, knocked KY out in 2006).

  90. JortsNshorts

    THE UNDENIABLES!!!

  91. JortsNshorts

    THE UNDENIABLES!!!

  92. bhazzy

    Payback Cats…The Avengers are superheros and the Redeem Team was Team USA…I want to have our own name that is special to just UK and this team!

  93. The Jortstache

    I think I can grow myself in a weeks time…

  94. TheywantobeusCats

    The THEY WANT TO BE US CATS…….they is really NO other option. Anengers, undeniable…(by the way im sick of UN). It’s the They Want To Be Us Cats. /endthread

  95. TheywantobeusCats

    The They Want To Be Us Cats

  96. GoBLUE11

    #98 I’m down with The They Want To Be Us Cats. Sweet name.

  97. UKPT

    The Improbables, although true, seems slightly disrespectful; but what has this team become? A group of individuals who have faced adversity and become heros of BIG BLUE NATION. What is more fitting than naming this dynamic group of heros THE AVENGERS?!
    Coach Cal or Darius Miller if you prefer a player-CAPTAIN AMERICA
    Josh Harrellson-THE INCREDIBLE HULK
    Brandon Knight-IRON MAN
    Deandre Liggins-THOR
    GO CATS!!!

  98. Scott Stewart

    Dub thee:

    No question… It’s between UNDENIABLES and REDEEMABLES!
    Next Kemba Walker CAN’T WAIT!

  99. Loyal Royal

    This is too easy. The Bounceback Cats!

  100. UKPT

    The Improbables, although true, seems slightly disrespectful to the team, but I digress. This team has become a group of individuals who have faced adversity time and time again and have risen to the challenges, becoming victorious when everything is on the line. Essentially, they have become heros to the BIG BLUE NATION!!! What better way to describe their heriocs than by naming them after a group of superheros, while also describing what they have done all tournament long in both the SEC tournament and the NCAA tournament (avenged previous short-comings)? THE AVENGERS…
    CAPTAIN AMERICA-DARIUS MILLER
    THE INCREDIBLE HULK-JOSH “JORTS/LET’S PLAY DODGEBALL” HARRELLSON
    IRON MAN-BRANDON KNIGHT
    THOR-DEANDRE LIGGINS
    GOOOO CATS!!!

  101. Terrybleedsblue

    haha I like the Cal one of They want to be us cats. So true.

  102. UKPT

    Sorry about the double post, didn’t see my original comment pop up.

  103. KittyCat

    I still like the name “Undeniables” Think about all they have overcome and they will not be denied their/UK’s title: NCAA Champions! They tried & succeeded to take Kanter away from us (insert numerous examples where this was not even an issue in other schools), the refs always hate us-always and just the fact that we have only 6 players basically, among other obstacles we have overcome….yes, Undeniables is very nice indeed…

  104. HRM

    Once upon a time, Mako asked Arnold Schwarzenegger “Conan, what is best in life?” The answer, of course, was “To defeat your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of their women.”

    Well, out Cats took care of the first two, but you can all enjoy the lamentation of the small red village by checking out *any* of the Tardinal boards. They are crying so hard, and their tears taste so sweet!

    Suggestions like “change the NCAA rules so crappy teams [I guess like Morehead] don’t get in” and “fire Pitino and hire Brad Stevens!” It is amazing and delicious gravy on top of this amazing run by our CATS!

    Congrats Cats I love you guys!

  105. Everybodyandtheirbrother

    Unbreakables?

  106. Ladygagablue

    PLEASE! Anything other than a UN to start it.

  107. jkw1974

    When does the first “When will they have to give this one back?” appear?

  108. shagarifan

    the “Undeniables” is the best term that decscribes this team.

  109. Scott Stewart

    OK.. When we beat UCONN… ugh CAN’T WAIT
    It’s without a doubt… THE REDEEMABLES…
    Tolerablezz or whatever is not catchy…
    Undeniables is great as well.

    Trust me I’m a Musician…

  110. jake

    Sensational Six

  111. Kevin

    Why do we feel the need to name teams? If it naturally happens, then ok. But otherwise, it is emarrassing as a Cat fan.

  112. MtnCat

    Would someone please get Liggins off that kid’s head.

  113. bluesince66

    Well I just used this concept to look at this years fianl four and only one team, Butler has had a tougher road as far as seeds than UK. UConns is 27, we’re tied with VCU at 20 counting four ganes each and not the play in game and Butler is 16. I realize VCU has played one more game and it was against another 11 seed.

  114. dsawyer

    “The Redeem Team”

  115. Gato Salvaje

    BTI – if you’re saying that UConn only has one player, you clearly didn’t watch any of their games the last 3 weekends. Kemba makes the big plays in crunch time, but Napier and Lamb can drain the 3, Oriaki is a good athletic big man, and they play solid D.

  116. floydfan

    I say we call them the “Payback Cats”.

  117. Jeff Shepherd

    “Un” names are lame and PLAYED OUT. “The Avengers” have avenged almost every lost, and beaten every team they’ve played this year.

    So when that gay Florida fan talk sh*t about how we got lucky, you can remember that the Avengers beat everybody they faced.

  118. Dagummit Larry

    Still like The UnFourSeedables

  119. jpi

    How unexpected, which makes this so much sweeter!

  120. Scott Stewart

    For shiz and gigs. I dub thee
    The Charlie Sheens , b/c we are Winners DUH!!!

  121. Questionformatt

    UNDENIABLES IT’S GOTTA BE….

  122. martinbluther

    The Unforseeables! 122 was close….!

  123. Dagummit Larry

    126. That’s what makes UnFourSeedable great. The NCAA thought we were a four seed and we proved them wrong. Nobody dreamed this team would go this far, hence unforseeable. The UnFourSeedables is a perfect morphed name. :-)